Overview
U.S. fire-grilled chicken chain's Q4 revenue rose, slightly beating analyst expectations
Adjusted EPS for Q4 rose 25% YoY, beating estimates
Restaurant-level margin improved due to operating efficiencies and higher menu prices
Outlook
El Pollo Loco expects 2026 system-wide comparable restaurant sales growth of 1% to 3%
Company plans to open 3-4 company-operated and 15-16 franchised restaurants in 2026
El Pollo Loco expects 2026 adjusted EBITDA between $66 mln and $68 mln
Result Drivers
ADDITIONAL OPERATING WEEK - Q4 revenue included $5.3 mln from an extra week compared to the prior year
AVERAGE CHECK GROWTH - Company-operated comparable sales rose 0.4%, as a 2.7% increase in average check size was mostly offset by a 2.3% decline in transactions
FRANCHISE EXPANSION - Franchise revenue rose due to new store openings, an extra week, and a 3.3% increase in franchise comparable sales
Company press release: ID:nGNX7q4tK8
Key Details
Metric
Beat/Miss
Actual
Consensus Estimate
Q4 Revenue
Slight Beat*
$123.50 mln
$122.78 mln (6 Analysts)
Q4 Adjusted EPS
Beat
$0.25
$0.20 (5 Analysts)
Q4 EPS
$0.22
Q4 Adjusted Net Income
$7.30 mln
Q4 Net Income
$6.50 mln
Q4 Adjusted EBITDA
$16.90 mln
Q4 Operating Income
$10.30 mln
*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 2 "strong buy" or "buy", 4 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the restaurants & bars peer group is "buy"
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc is $13.50, about 21.3% above its March 11 closing price of $11.13
The stock recently traded at 12 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 11 three months ago
For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.
(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)