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Fair Isaac Q3 revenue rises but slightly misses estimates, leaving investors unimpressed

Fair Isaac Q3 revenue rises but slightly misses estimates, leaving investors unimpressed


Overview

  • Analytics software firm's fiscal Q3 revenue rose 26% yr/yr, slightly missing analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for fiscal Q3 beat analyst expectations

  • Company raised full-year guidance for revenue and earnings


Outlook

  • Fair Isaac raises fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to $2.53 bln from $2.45 bln

  • Company now sees fiscal 2026 GAAP EPS at $36.86, up from $35.60

  • Fair Isaac lifts fiscal 2026 non-GAAP EPS forecast to $42.43 from $40.45


Result Drivers

  • B2B SCORES GROWTH - Revenue from business-to-business scoring solutions rose 49%, mainly due to higher mortgage origination scores unit prices

  • B2C SCORES ROYALTIES - Business-to-consumer scores revenue increased 5%, mainly from higher royalties on scores sold indirectly to consumers

  • PLATFORM SOFTWARE ARR - Platform software annual recurring revenue rose 62%, offsetting a 17% decline in non-platform ARR


Company press release: ID:nBwb55Kmda


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Revenue

Slight Miss*

$674.19 mln

$678.87 mln (18 Analysts)

Q3 Adjusted EPS

Beat

$12.18

$11.74 (18 Analysts)

Q3 Net Income

$237.17 mln

Q3 Operating income

$362.63 mln

Q3 Pretax Profit

$314.66 mln

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 16 "strong buy" or "buy", 6 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the software peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Fair Isaac Corp is $1,521.50, about 13.9% above its July 28 closing price of $1,336.22

  • The stock recently traded at 26 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 22 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • July 28 - TransUnion beats Q2 revenue estimates, raises 2026 revenue growth outlook

  • July 28 - S&P Global Q2 revenue beats estimates on divisional growth

  • July 29 - Verisk Analytics quarterly profit falls as expenses rise


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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