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RNS Number : 5906C Foresight Sustain. Forestry Co PLC 14 June 2023
Foresight Sustainable Forestry (FSF)
14/06/2023
Results analysis from Kepler Trust Intelligence
· Foresight Sustainable Forestry (FSF) has reported its results for the
six months ending 31/03/2023. Despite numerous macroeconomic headwinds, the
trust proved resilient, with its net asset value (NAV) increasing from
£180.6m to 186.6m. The trust's shares also rose by 1.9% over the period.
· The increase in NAV was mainly driven by revaluations of the trust's
afforestation sites - plots of land that are converted into forestry.
Completion of planting at four sites that had been acquired by the trust was a
key driver of returns. This provides validation of the argument managers
Robert Guest and Richard Kelly of Foresight Group have made since IPO in
November 2021, namely that converting plots of land into forestry should prove
accretive to NAV.
· In December, FSF also became the first investment company to receive
the Voluntary Carbon Market designation from the London Stock Exchange. The
VCM accreditation shows that FSF's carbon credits are subject to high quality
oversight and verification. FSF's Board plan to allow shareholders the choice
to either receive carbon credits from 2030 onwards as in specie dividends to
offset their unavoidable emissions, or to receive an equivalent dividend in
cash.
· FSF Chair Richard Davidson said: "The long-term demand outlook for
sustainable timber in both the UK and Europe remains positive and underpinned
by the prevailing decarbonisation agenda. As we embark on the next six months,
FSF is well positioned to leverage a range of environmental tailwinds whilst
it continues to deliver on its business objectives."
Kepler View
Foresight Sustainable Forestry (FSF) is the only investment trust listed today
that provides investors with exposure to the UK's natural capital and
sustainable forestry sector. The Investment Manager, Foresight Group LLP,
drives returns by investing in afforestation projects. This takes relatively
lower grade agricultural land and transforms it into more valuable forestry
once fully planted and the trees are established. Returns are also generated
by investing in and upgrading existing forestry sites, with the intention of
harvesting and selling the timber they produce, and by tapping into the
nascent market for carbon credits, which afforestation sites generate.
FSF only launched in November 2021 but these latest half-year performance
figures are positive and build on prior results that suggest the trust's
strategy is working. The Company has delivered a total NAV per Ordinary Share
return of 10.6% since IPO and increased its NAV to £186.6 million
(30/09/2022: £180.6 million) during the period. As noted, a key driver of
returns has been the upward revaluation of land that has been converted into
forestry. So far, these revaluations have been stark. For example, one FSF
site - Mountmill Burn in Scotland - saw a 97% uplift to its acquisition value
when planting was complete.
That uplifts to NAV continued in the most recent half-year period whilst
timber prices were relatively muted also illustrates the resilience of UK
forestry assets to interest rate hikes. Acquisitions in the sector are not
typically reliant on large amounts of debt, meaning rate hikes are less
impactful than on other property investments. FSF has also traded with lower
volatility and at a premium to NAV for several prolonged periods. We think
this illustrates the trust is relatively resilient to wider macroeconomic
headwinds, such as inflation, as well as offering strong portfolio
diversification benefits, given its low correlation to other asset classes,
like bonds and equities.
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