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LOPE — Grand Canyon Education News Story

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Grand Canyon Education Q2 service revenue rises on higher enrollments

Grand Canyon Education Q2 service revenue rises on higher enrollments


Overview

  • U.S. education services provider's Q2 service revenue rose 6.7% yr/yr on higher enrollments

  • Q2 adjusted EBITDA and pretax profit beat analyst expectations

  • Revenue per student declined slightly due to contract changes and enrollment mix


Outlook

  • Company sees Q3 2026 service revenue between $268.5 mln and $270.5 mln

  • Grand Canyon Education expects Q4 2026 diluted EPS between $3.69 and $3.79

  • Company forecasts full-year 2026 service revenue between $1.165 bln and $1.172 bln


Result Drivers

  • ENROLLMENT GROWTH - Higher university partner enrollments, including at GCU and off-campus sites, drove service revenue increase

  • CONTRACT MODIFICATIONS - Revenue per student declined slightly due to contract changes with one partner reducing revenue share percentage

  • STUDENT MIX SHIFT - Continued shift toward students with lower net tuition rates and a decline in higher-paying ground students weighed on revenue per student


Company press release: ID:nPn6TynXWa


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Net Income

$45.85 mln

Q2 Adjusted EBITDA

Beat

$73.40 mln

$68.22 mln (3 Analysts)

Q2 Pretax Profit

Beat

$60.85 mln

$56.61 mln (3 Analysts)

Q2 Operating Income

$58.15 mln

Q2 Service revenue

$264.05 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 3 "strong buy" or "buy", no "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the miscellaneous educational service providers peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Grand Canyon Education Inc is $200.00, about 25.5% above its July 29 closing price of $159.31

  • The stock recently traded at 15 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 16 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • July 29 - Strategic Education Q2 revenue beats estimates on education technology growth

  • July 30 - Laureate Education beats Q2 estimates on strong enrollment growth

  • July 29 - Coursera Q2 revenue beats estimates, outlook raised


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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