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REG-Halfords Group PLC FY21 20-week Trading Update

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   Halfords Group PLC (HFD)
   FY21 20-week Trading Update

   08-Sep-2020 / 07:00 GMT/BST
   Dissemination of a Regulatory Announcement that contains inside
   information according to REGULATION (EU) No 596/2014 (MAR), transmitted by
   EQS Group.
   The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.

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   8 September 2020

                               Halfords Group plc

                          FY21 20-week Trading Update

   Halfords Group plc ("the  Group"), the UK's  leading provider of  motoring
   and cycling products and services, today updates the market on its trading
   performance for  the 20-week  period  to 21  August 2020  ("the  period");
   progress on the execution of  its strategy; revised outlook comments;  and
   release of investment case summary.

   Key highlights

     • The Group delivered a strong  trading performance in the period,  with
       sales up +5.0% on a LFL basis, driven by:

          ◦ a larger cycling market and a positive impact from the current
            staycation trend,
          ◦ the benefits of our new Group web platform, and
          ◦ increasing scale in our motoring services business.

     • We  delivered  strong  growth  in   our  areas  of  strategic   focus:
       Service-related sales were up +6.3%, B2B grew +25.9% and Online  sales
       grew +160%. We are also  on track to deliver  300 bps of gross  margin
       improvement in our Cycling business in FY21.
     • Strong strategic execution and operational agility allowed us to fully
       capitalise on market tailwinds
     • Assuming expected  demand levels  in September  and stability  in  the
       relative value of the US dollar,  underlying H1 FY21 PBT1 is  expected
       to be in the range of £35-40m.
     • Significant  uncertainty  remains  for  H2  FY21.  Given  the  natural
       fall-off in the relative strength  of cycling and staycation  products
       during winter months, alongside a difficult economic outlook, H2  FY21
       PBT could be significantly lower than H1 FY21.
     • Our strategy  will  see  us  further  develop  into  areas  with  good
       long-term  growth  prospects,  such  as  motoring  services,  B2B  and
       electric mobility, which  will also  provide us  with higher  customer
       retention, more resilient demand and higher returns on capital.
     • We  also  believe  some  market  tailwinds,  supported  by  Government
       investment in infrastructure, will continue for the medium-term.

   (1) profit before tax, pre-IFRS 16

   Graham Stapleton, Chief Executive Officer, commented:

   "This 20-week trading period  started on 4  April and therefore  coincides
   with the most significant  impacts of COVID-19 in  the UK. Our number  one
   priority  has  always  been  the  health,  safety  and  wellbeing  of  our
   colleagues and customers,  and on  behalf of our  Board, I  would like  to
   express my  sincere  gratitude  to  our  dedicated  colleagues  and  loyal
   customers for their support and patience during such a challenging time.

    

   We are pleased to have delivered  a strong trading performance during  the
   period.  We have been able to move  quickly in order to capitalise on  the
   continued strong demand for cycling products, with sales of electric bikes
   and scooters  up  230%  year-on-year, while  cycling  services  have  been
   boosted by our free 32-point bike check and the Government's Fix your Bike
   Voucher scheme.  We have  also seen  a return  to growth  in our  motoring
   business, driven by an  increase in car  journeys and by  a high level  of
   demand for staycation-related products such as roof bars and roof boxes.

    

   It has been especially encouraging to see our investments in key strategic
   initiatives both drive, and enable, such a resilient performance, allowing
   us to capitalise  on favourable market  shifts. In the  last 12 months  we
   have tripled our investment in the ongoing development of our web platform
   to enable  a  dramatic shift  to  online  ordering, with  sales  up  +160%
   year-on-year and representing 54% of total revenue in the period. We  have
   also reaped the benefits in motoring services of a more scaled  operation,
   a Group  web platform,  a  best-in-class digital  operating model  in  our
   garages and  a  new  media  campaign to  raise  awareness  of  our  unique
   proposition. And our strategic  focus on B2B  channels continues to  drive
   strong double-digit growth.

    

   However, there  is  still significant  uncertainty  around the  impact  of
   COVID-19 and the macro-economic environment in the coming months, and as a
   result we are  cautious on  the outlook for  the remainder  of this  year.
   Looking further ahead, we are confident  in the long-term strategy of  our
   business and in the growth prospects  of the cycling and motoring  markets
   in which we operate."

    

   Trading performance for the 20-week period ended 21 August 2020

   % change, year-on-year   P1      P2      P3      Q1      P4     P5    YTD
                          4 Apr - 2 May - 30 May  4 Apr - 4 Jul - 1 Aug 4 Apr
                           1 May  29 May  - 3 Jul  3 Jul  31 Jul  - 21  - 21
                                                                   Aug   Aug
   TOTAL REVENUE                                                           
   Halfords Group          -19.3   -4.0    +14.3   -2.8    +25.3  +29.6 +7.5
            Retail         -18.8   -8.0    +8.9    -5.8    +20.8  +24.2 +3.8
            Autocentres    -21.9   +21.0   +45.7   +14.8   +54.7  +65.2 +30.2
                                                                           
   LIKE FOR LIKE ("LFL")                                                   
   REVENUE
   Halfords Group          -23.0   -7.2    +10.1   -6.5    +21.4  +30.9 +5.0
            Retail         -20.8   -5.9    +11.2   -4.3    +23.2  +32.9 +7.0
                           -62.1   -48.4   -24.8   -45.4   -0.3   +7.1  -28.6
   Motoring
                           +43.9   +57.2   +65.9   +57.1   +59.1  +71.0 +59.1
   Cycling
            Autocentres    -46.9   -15.1   +3.6    -19.2   +9.7   +18.7 -7.6
                                                                           
   Number of weeks           4       4       5      13       4      3    20

                                        

   A strong trading performance driven by a larger cycling market and strong
    demand for staycation products, alongside the benefits seen from our new
   Group web platform and increasing scale in our motoring services business

                                        

   Financial highlights

     • Group revenue  was up  +7.5% and  +5.0% on  a L4L  basis, with  growth
       accelerating strongly throughout the period.
     • Strong underlying  improvements in  gross  margin, where  our  Cycling
       optimisation plan is gaining real traction. Coupled with recent growth
       in our higher-margin motoring  services segment, the stronger  cycling
       margin is helping to partially offset the mix impact of  unprecedented
       growth in the category.
     • Liquidity was strong throughout the period, with net cash of £105m  on
       21 August  2020, approximately  £70m better  than the  same date  last
       year, driven in part by lower cycling stock levels but also by  strong
       cash management  and planned  faster stock  turn as  a consequence  of
       improved  lead  times,   the  consolidation  of   ranges  and   better
       sell-through.
     • In Retail:

          • Cycling LFL revenue was up +59.1%, with strong growth across all
            product categories and up +76% in our performance cycling
            business, Tredz. Driven by an increased focus on bringing unique
            and differentiated products to market, sales of new products were
            up 114% in the period, with our new Carrera range a notable
            highlight.
          • Motoring LFL revenue was down -28.6% for the 20-week period but
            returned to growth in period 5. An increase in car journeys and
            our unique fitting proposition drove strong growth in 3Bs
            (batteries, bulbs, blades), which were up +13% in periods 4 and
            5, whilst staycation-related products, such as roof bars and
            boxes, grew +28.4% in the same period. Demand for more
            discretionary products, technology in particular, remained
            subdued.

     • In Autocentres:

          • Total revenue was up +30.2%, with our acquisitions of McConechy's
            and Tyres on the Drive contributing significantly. On a LFL
            basis, revenue was down -7.6% overall but was in growth from June
            onwards, as we benefitted from increased customer traffic from
            our recently-launched Group web platform, and reaped the customer
            and operational benefits of upgrading our digital operating model
            ('PACE') towards the end of FY20.
          • Demand for our mobile services proposition remained high
            throughout the period, with record job numbers and sales over the
            summer period as the benefits of convenience resonated with
            customers and our increasing scale allowed a broader geographic
            reach.

     • We delivered strong  growth in  our areas of  strategic focus:  Online
       sales grew +160%,  Service-related sales  were up +6.3%  and B2B  grew
       +25.9% in the period.

    

   Strategic highlights

   Our long-term strategy, which will evolve Halfords into a consumer and B2B
   services-focussed business, with a greater emphasis on motoring and a more
   profitable cycling category, remains unchanged. In our preliminary results
   on 7 July 2020 we laid out our strategic focus for FY21, which was centred
   on adapting quickly to new  customer trends and laying strong  foundations
   for FY22.  Less  than  halfway  through FY21,  we  have  made  significant
   progress towards these objectives and some highlights are detailed below:

    

     • Services:

          ◦ Service-related sales grew +6.3% in the period, driven by last
            year's acquisitions of McConechy's and Tyres on the Drive, as we
            scaled our motoring services business to take share in a highly
            fragmented market.
          ◦ We added 16 Mobile Expert Vans to serve the increased demand for
            this channel, taking the current total to 91 vans, well
            progressed towards our target of 125 vans by the year-end.
          ◦ Similar to sales of cycling products, we also delivered strong
            growth in Cycling Services, up +17.5% in the 20-week period and
            +48% in periods 4 and 5, boosted by our free 32-point bike check
            and the Government's Fix your Bike Voucher scheme, of which we've
            taken a sizeable share.
          ◦ We invested in a media campaign to drive awareness of our
            integrated motoring services offer across retail stores, garages
            and mobile vans. This drove considerable uplift in awareness
            metrics and boosted consideration of Halfords by nearly 40%.

     • Cycling profitability:

          ◦ We are on track to improve our Cycling gross margin by 300 bps in
            FY21, driven by more favourable buying terms, component
            rationalisation and more effective promotional activity.

     • Cost and Efficiency:

          ◦ Regardless of stronger than expected sales so far this year, we
            will continue to target operating cost reductions across the
            Group, through location closures, labour efficiencies, and other
            initiatives. Specifically, as announced in our preliminary
            results on 7 July 2020, we have accelerated the right-sizing of
            our physical estate (across both stores and garages) that was
            already underway prior to the COVID-19 outbreak. We are making
            good progress towards our target of closing up to 10% of our
            property estate in FY21 (c. 80 sites), of which we have exited 22
            Cycle Republic stores and seven additional stores and garages so
            far this financial year.

   The successful execution  of our strategic  areas of focus  in FY21 and  a
   strong balance sheet to enable further investment, will place the Group in
   a  strong   position  to   continue  its   strategic  journey   in   FY22.
   Notwithstanding the near-term challenges, the successful execution of  our
   strategy has enabled us to capitalise  on market tailwinds, some of  which
   we believe will continue for the medium-term even if H2 proves to be  more
   difficult than H1.  Higher levels of  bike ownership are  likely to  drive
   longer-term demand for accessories, servicing and replacements;  avoidance
   of public transport and the consequential increase in shorter car journeys
   may lead to higher servicing requirements; and the staycation trend  could
   continue for the foreseeable future given fears of travelling abroad.

    

   For  the  longer-term,  we  remain  confident  in  our  strategy  and  the
   underlying strength  of  the  markets  in which  we  operate.  We  have  a
   market-leading  retail   business,   supported  by   strong   omni-channel
   capabilities and a strong portfolio of unique and differentiated  products
   and services. Our  strategy will also  see us further  develop into  areas
   with good long-term growth prospects,  such as motoring services, B2B  and
   electric mobility,  which  will  also  provide  us  with  higher  customer
   retention, more resilient demand and higher returns on capital. 

    

   Outlook

   In our  preliminary  results announcement  on  7 July  2020,  we  provided
   details of potential outcomes for profit  and net debt based on  differing
   LFL trading scenarios for the remaining  three quarters of the year.  This
   provided insight on the margin and cost impact of a higher cycling mix and
   the incremental costs of operating  with COVID-19. These factors have  not
   changed and so the relative dynamics  of the scenarios remain valid  today
   when applied to a range of  possible performance outcomes. Since our  last
   market update,  our trading  performance has  strengthened and  the  seven
   weeks since  Q1 were  significantly better  than we  anticipated in  early
   July. This has  given us more  confidence in our  profit2 outturn for  H1,
   which, assuming expected levels of  trading in September and stability  in
   the relative value of the US dollar, we  now expect to be in the range  of
   £35-40m.

    

   Beyond H1, there remains too  much uncertainty in the trading  environment
   to provide meaningful full  year guidance. Within  our own business  there
   are stark differences  in the relative  performance of product  categories
   and this is exacerbated  by extreme uncertainty on  macro factors such  as
   the impact of second waves of COVID-19, an economic contraction driven  by
   rising unemployment, and the impact of Brexit. Like most retail businesses
   currently, relatively  high  operating  leverage and  a  highly  uncertain
   trading environment mean that the range of possible profit outcomes for H2
   is very wide. The  macro headwinds we are  likely to face, the  continuing
   cost of operating with COVID-19, and   a natural fall-off in the  relative
   strength of  cycling and  staycation products  during the  winter  months,
   means that profit in the second half could be significantly lower than the
   first half.

    

   (2) Underlying profit before tax, pre-IFRS 16

    

   Investment Case

   Our investment case can be found on our corporate website using this link:
    1 https://www.halfordscompany.com/investors/investment-case/

    

   Next trading statement

   We will report our interim results on 18 November 2020.

    

   Enquiries                                   
   Investors & Analysts (Halfords)                                          
   Loraine Woodhouse, Chief Financial Officer                               
                                                        +44 (0) 7483 360 675
   Neil Ferris, Corporate Finance Director
                                                  neil.ferris@halfords.co.uk
                                                         +44 (0) 1527 513189
   Andy Lynch, Head of Investor Relations
                                                 andrew.lynch@halfords.co.uk
                                                                            
   Media (Powerscourt)                                  +44 (0) 20 7250 1446
   Rob Greening                               halfords@powerscourt-group.com
   Lisa Kavanagh                                                            

    

   Conference call

   A conference call for analysts and investors will be held today,  starting
   at 08:30am UK time. Attendance is by invitation only. A transcript of  the
   call will be  available at  2 www.halfordscompany.com  in due course.  For
   further details please contact Powerscourt on the details above.

    

   Notes to Editors

   www.halfords.com                   3 www.halfordscompany.com              
    4 www.tredz.co.uk

   Halfords is the UK's leading provider of motoring and cycling products and
   services. Customers shop  at 444  Halfords stores,  3 Performance  Cycling
   stores (trading  as Tredz  and Giant),  367 garages  (trading as  Halfords
   Autocentres and McConechy's)  and have  access to 91  mobile service  vans
   (trading as Halfords Mobile Expert and Tyres on the Drive). Customers  can
   also shop at halfords.com and tredz.co.uk for pick up at their local store
   or direct home  delivery, as  well as  booking garage  services online  at
   halfords.com.

    

   Cautionary statement

   This report contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to
   the financial condition, results of operations, and businesses of Halfords
   Group plc. These statements and forecasts involve risk, uncertainty and
   assumptions because they relate to events and depend upon circumstances
   that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could
   cause actual results or developments to differ materially from those
   expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These
   forward-looking statements are made only as at the date of this
   announcement. Nothing in this announcement should be construed as a profit
   forecast. Except as required by law, Halfords Group plc has no obligation
   to update the forward-looking statements or to correct any inaccuracies
   therein

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   ISIN:          GB00B012TP20
   Category Code: TST
   TIDM:          HFD
   LEI Code:      54930086FKBWWJIOBI79
   Sequence No.:  83663
   EQS News ID:   1128415


    
   End of Announcement EQS News Service

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