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Jack in the Box Q3 adjusted operating EPS beats estimates

Jack in the Box Q3 adjusted operating EPS beats estimates


Overview

  • U.S. hamburger chain's Q3 revenue fell 1.8% yr/yr due to lower same-store sales and restaurant count

  • Adjusted EPS for Q3 beat analyst expectations

  • Company says sales decline was driven by fewer transactions, partially offset by price increases


Outlook

  • Jack in the Box expects fiscal 2026 restaurant count of about 2,100 with 25 openings, 50-60 closures

  • Company expects fiscal 2026 company-owned restaurant margin of about 16.5%, with mid-single-digit commodity inflation

  • Jack in the Box maintains guidance for low single-digit same-store sales decline for fiscal 2026


Result Drivers

  • LOWER TRANSACTIONS - Co said sales performance was primarily driven by a decline in customer transactions, partially offset by higher prices

  • RESTAURANT CLOSURES - Lower revenue was also attributed to a reduced number of restaurants, with more closures than openings in the quarter

  • MARGIN PRESSURE - Commodity cost inflation and changes in restaurant mix weighed on restaurant-level margin

  • FRANCHISE PROFITABILITY - Franchise-level margin decreased due to lower sales, reduced rent and royalty revenue, fewer restaurants, and higher bad debt expense


Company press release: ID:nBw5143LFa


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Company Restaurant Sales

$96.27 mln

Q3 non-GAAP Operating EPS

Beat

$0.96

$0.88 (17 Analysts)

Q3 EPS

$1.04

Q3 Net Income

$20.12 mln

Q3 Adjusted EBITDA

$61.20 mln

Q3 Operating Income

$52.80 mln

Q3 Pretax Profit

$33.36 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 4 "strong buy" or "buy", 13 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the restaurants & bars peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Jack in the Box Inc is $15.00, about 16% below its August 11 closing price of $17.86

  • The stock recently traded at 5 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 3 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Aug 11 - For McDonald's and rivals, cheap deals no longer do the trick

  • Aug 12 - Brinker Q4 revenue slightly beats on higher menu pricing, guest traffic

  • Aug 12 - Peltz-led group preparing bid to take Wendy's private, source says


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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