** Shares of paint maker Kansai Nerolac Ltd KANE.NS rise
as much as 8.6% to 312.97 rupees - their highest since Oct. 4
** Morgan Stanley sees stock rising up to 375 rupees over
next 12 months in bull case scenario due to faster-than-expected
recovery in decorative market share and pickup in industrial
coatings
** Decorative paints segments accounts for a tenth of co's
earnings and has a low competitive intensity
** MS also revises TP to 233 rupees from 233.33 rupees to
reflect bonus issue of shares
** Stock most likely to drop to 217 rupees in brokerage's
base case which sees growth in decorative paints lag automotive
and industrial coatings, along with rise in marketing costs
** Sees rise in competitive intensity, higher input costs as
key risks for revenue and core margin growth, which could see
stock fall up to 166 rupees in bear case
** Over 1.4 mln shares change hands by 12:48 p.m. IST
** Nineteen analysts covering the stock rate it "hold" on
average; median PT is 328.67 rupees - Refinitiv data
** Stock up 9.6% YTD vs Nifty 500 index's .NIFTY500 7.3%
rise
(Reporting by Nandan Mandayam in Bengaluru)
((Nandan.Mandayam@thomsonreuters.com; Mobile: +91 9591011727;))