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LyondellBasell beats profit estimates as Middle East disruptions lift margins (updated)

UPDATE 1-LyondellBasell beats profit estimates as Middle East disruptions lift margins

Adds details from post-earnings call in bullets 5-10

By Khusbu Jena

- Petrochemicals manufacturer LyondellBasell LYB.N on Friday beat Wall Street estimates for second-quarter profit, as global supply disruptions lifted polymer margins, and increased operating rates at its North American assets.

LyondellBasell said geopolitical instability created supply-constrained conditions across its businesses, driving higher polymer margins and favorable co-product pricing.

  • Adjusted earnings were $4.30 per share for the quarter ended June 30, above analysts' average estimate of $3.41, according to LSEG data.

  • Sales rose 20% to $9.18 billion, slightly exceeding estimates of $9.15 billion.

  • The company said the conflict disrupted production, feedstock availability, logistics and trade flows, tightening global supply and supporting polymer spreads.

  • Its North American olefins and polyolefins assets ran at about 90% utilization, including cracker utilization of roughly 95%.

  • Chief Executive Peter Vanacker said LyondellBasell estimates about 6 million metric tons of polyethylene capacity, equal to 20% to 25% of Middle East supply, was damaged in the conflict and is not expected to restart until at least 2027.

  • The conflict disrupted production, feedstock availability, logistics and trade flows, Vanacker said.

  • Higher Asian freight rates effectively closed the arbitrage from Asia to Europe and Central America, increasing demand for U.S. and European material.

  • Chinese producers reduced imports and raised exports, mainly to Southeast Asia, despite lower operating rates, to capture higher export prices amid regional shortages, he added.

  • Chinese polyolefin inventories have fallen about 30% from pre-conflict levels, while operating rates remain in the mid-70% range.

  • LyondellBasell maintained its 2026 capital-expenditure plan of $1.2 billion and said sustaining capex should decline by about $100 million following the sale of four European assets.

  • The Petrochemicals maker remains on track to generate $500 million in incremental cash by end-2026 through fixed-cost cuts and lower capex.


(Reporting by Khusbu Jena in Bengaluru; Editing by Shreya Biswas and Shailesh Kuber)

((Khusbu.Jena@thomsonreuters.com))

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