** Drugmaker's shares AMRN.O fall 4.5% to $21.70 premarket
** Oppenheimer analyst Leland Gershell starts covering stock
with "underperform" rating, PT of $7; median Street PT is $28
** Says co's current valuation reflects expectations that it
will win expanded approval for its fish-oil derived treatment
Vascepa and that sales will grow to over $2 bln by 2023-2024
** However, brokerage disagrees; "We forecast sales growth
to underwhelm and heavy selling costs to impede profitability."
** Vascepa was approved in 2012 for patients with high
triglyceride levels; if expanded approval comes through by end
of the year, it could open up a multi-billion opportunity for co
** However, Gershell says rival data likely to weigh on AMRN
shares as competing products appear to have superior profiles;
calls AMRN a "little fish in a big pond"
** Companies like Acasti ACST.V and Matinas MTNB.A are
also developing omega-3 fatty acid-based treatments similar to
Vascepa
** "While some may regard AMRN as a probable M&A target, we
see the likelihood of this outcome as only shrinking with time,"
Gershell adds
** Seven of remaining nine brokerages covering AMRN rate it
"buy" or higher, two "hold"
** Up to Tuesday's close, AMRN shares had risen 67% YTD
(Reporting by Tamara Mathias in Bengaluru)
((Tamara.Mathias@thomsonreuters.com; within U.S. +1 646 223
8780, outside U.S. +91 806749 1208;))