By Andrea Hopkins
OTTAWA, Jan 19 (Reuters) - Canadian exporters are scrambling
to find ways to avoid a potential 10 percent import tax promised
by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, including the possible
shifting of production or supply lines south of the border.
Amid warnings from the Bank of Canada on Wednesday that
protectionist policies brought in by Trump could drive companies
to invest in the United States rather than Canada, executives
said their search for options has already begun. urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL1N1F80J8
Canadian exporters are not alone, with global business
leaders talking up the benefits of local production to shield
themselves from criticism from Trump, who will be sworn in as
president on Friday. urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL5N1F84F8
"We're a Canadian company, we like to build things in
Canada and export them ... but you can't sell stuff and not make
money," said Jim Rakievich, chief executive of Edmonton-based
McCoy Global, which makes oil and gas industry equipment.
"We could move our production down into the U.S. fairly
quickly, we could absorb that production (in our U.S. plants) if
we had to."
National Bank Financial estimated a 10 percent border tax
could cause Canada's total goods exports to the United States to
drop by about 9 percent, with non-petroleum goods sinking almost
11 percent.
Exports are expected to drive about a third of Canada's
economic growth in 2017, behind only consumption and government
spending, according to the Bank of Canada's forecast this week.
The United States is Canada's largest export market with about
74 percent of all goods heading south.
Canadian companies with U.S. affiliates may be best placed
to weather a shift in tariffs, if they can shift production or
investment to their U.S. plants to avoid an import tax.
Foreign affiliate sales to the United States rose to C$298.4
billion in 2014, the latest year for which data is available,
from C$285.8 billion in 2013, according to Export Development
Canada.
Some exporters without U.S. subsidiaries have already begun
to search for new investments.
One such company is Mehadrin Group, which includes Canada's
biggest kosher meat processor.
Mehadrin had planned to sell Canadian-certified kosher meat
in the United States but is now moving quickly to find U.S.
sources of kosher meat as well as wholesale space in New York
and Massachusetts to warehouse it rather than try to import it
from Canada and then raise prices to cover the cost of a tariff.
Now, the company is "looking at a couple of places,"
including a slaughterhouse in California, "that can produce some
volume for us," according to Vladimir Budker, chief executive of
Mehadrin Group.
"Plan B is to look at a couple of local (U.S.) producers -
we've looked but didn't approach them yet -- to see if there is
any change in policy, in NAFTA or taxes. We'd be looking at this
avenue pretty fast," Budker said.
For others, their cross-border business is far too
integrated and specialized to easily separate U.S.-bound goods
to avoid a tax.
Veso Sobot, director of corporate affairs at plastic pipe
maker IPEX Inc, said products can cross the border between
IPEX's 18 plants in Canada and seven in the United States before
they are even ready for market, making a shift in production to
make products in the United States for U.S. customers
impossible.
Instead, he's hoping Trump will come to see that Canada is
not a low-cost competitor that needs to be targeted.
"We feel very hopeful that ... we will have an exemption to
Trump's Buy American policy. We believe Canada is not America's
problem."
(Reporting by Andrea Hopkins; Editing by Alan Crosby)
((Andrea.Hopkins@thomsonreuters.com; 613 235 6745; Reuters
Messaging: andrea.hopkins.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))
Keywords: CANADA TRUMP/EXPORTERS