** Australian retailer Metcash's MTS.AX business model is
exposed to consumers trading down to lower-price competitors
-analysts at Morningstar
** Brokerage says structural decline in smoking cigarettes
and illicit trade weighing on co's grocery business more than at
retail giants Woolworths WOW.AX and Coles COL.AX
** Morningstar estimates co's hardware segment growing
broadly in line with key competitor Bunnings
** Brokerage reduces fiscal 2024 sales estimate for group by
4% to A$16 bln ($10.29 bln); maintains A$4 fair value estimate
** Morningstar downgrades fiscal 2024 EPS forecast by 5% and
liquor sales growth estimate to 3% from 4%
** Five of 11 analysts rate the stock "buy" or higher, four
"hold" and 2 "sell"; their median PT is A$4.0 - LSEG data
** MTS down 7.0% YTD, as of last close
($1 = 1.5542 Australian dollars)
(Reporting by John Biju in Bengaluru)
((John.Biju@thomsonreuters.com;))