RCS - Metlen Eng & Metals - NINE MONTHS 2024 TRADING UPDATE

Metlen Energy & Metals SAAnnouncement

24/10/2024 08:00

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RNS Number : 4466J  Metlen Energy & Metals SA  24 October 2024

METLEN ENERGY & METALS

NINE MONTHS 2024 TRADING UPDATE

 

9-month record level profitability, driven by the increasing synergies between
Metals and Energy sectors.

 

Athens, Greece - October 24, 2024 - METLEN (RIC: MYTr.AT, Bloomberg: MYTIL.GA,
ADR: MYTHY US) announces its 9M 2024 financial results.

 

ü Turnover increased to €4,203 million, compared to €4,088 million in 9M
2023 (+3%).

ü Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA)
increased by 6% reaching €763 million, compared to €722 million in the
corresponding period of 2023.

ü Net Profit after minorities reached €482 million vs. €462 million in 9M
2023 (+4%). Accordingly, Earnings per Share increased to €3.49 from €3.34
in the corresponding period of 2023.

ü Net Debt, on an adjusted basis, came in at €2,064 million, excluding
non-recourse debt. Despite the intensive CAPEX program, the adjusted Net Debt
to EBITDA remained at the levels of 2.05x

ü The successful "green" bond issuance of €750 million with a five-year
duration and an interest rate of 4.00% reflects the trust of international
markets and comes as a result of the company's steady progress in
strengthening its credit profile. This is also reflected in the ratings from
FITCH and S&P, which, after a series of upgrades in recent years, place
METLEN just one notch away from achieving the goal of investment grade, for
the first time in its history.

 

 

METLEN continues to make good progress delivering on its growth strategy,
backed by its resilient business model, consistently achieving higher levels
of performance. This comes at a time of extended geopolitical uncertainty,
alongside the significant volatility in the energy markets driven by the
challenges of the energy transition.

 

At the same time, a series of targeted investments in Energy and Metallurgy
Sectors are either underway or in the final stages of preparation, aimed at
further strengthening the synergies between the business sectors in which we
operate and further support the achievement of the ambitious business goals
set for the next period.

 

 

 

1.   KEY FINANCIAL FIGURES

 

 amounts in m. €    9M 2024  9M 2023  Δ%   3Q 2024  3Q 2023  Δ %
 Turnover           4,203    4,088    3%   1,721    1,572    9%
 EBITDA             763      722      6%   289      285      1%
 EATam              482      462      4%   200      193      4%
 EPS*               3.49     3.34     5%   1.45     1.40     4%
 Margins (%)                                                 Δ(bps)
 EBITDA             18.2%    17.7%    47   16.8%    18.1%    -134
 EATam              11.5%    11.3%    17   11.6%    12.3%    -66

* Own equity shares adjusted

 

 

Turnover increased to €4,203 million compared to €4,088 million in the 9Μ
2023, marking a 3% increase, despite the significant de-escalation of energy
prices.

 

Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA)
increased by 6% reaching €763 million, compared to €722 million in the
corresponding period of 2023. This was due to a consistently strong
performance in the Metallurgy Sector, the continued upward improvement in the
profitability of the Energy Sector and in particular the Renewable Energy
Sources (RES) - M Renewables activity, as well as the "Greek Utility" which
incorporates M Energy Generation & Management & M Energy Customer
Solutions. Both, M Renewables and the Greek Utility, have contributed more
than the 2/3 of the total Company's EBITDA in the first 9 months of 2024. At
the same time, METLEN strengthened its profit margin, which in terms of EBITDA
exceeded 18% in the first nine months of 2024 as a result of the contribution
of the aforementioned Sectors.

 

METLEN, continuing on a steady upward profitability trajectory, has achieved a
record performances both for the nine-month period and the quarterly results,
driven by the Energy Sector. In particular, the significant contribution of M
Renewables (RES in Greece and abroad), which recorded a substantial increase
in its profitability (>50%) compared to the corresponding period of 2023.
The Energy Sector also benefited from the substantial strengthening of the
"Greek Utility", (generation and supply of electricity and natural gas) which
is steadily enhancing its market share, approaching, for the first time the
20% mark, for both the production and supply of electricity. Thus, METLEN
remains firmly on track to achieve its goal of capturing 30% of the Greek
energy market, having established itself as the largest private producer &
supplier of electricity in the domestic market.

 

The Metallurgy Sector, in the first 9-month period, exceeded the historically
high levels of profitability of the corresponding period of 2023. This was a
result of both the reduction of costs and the strengthening of both aluminum
premia and Alumina API prices. The consistently high performance of the
Metallurgy Sector, predominantly over the past three years, with EBITDA levels
annually exceeding the €250 million, despite the energy crisis and the
unprecedented volatility in energy prices, mainly attributed to the strong
synergies provided by the coexistence of the Energy and Metallurgy Sectors. At
the same time, the timely actions taken by the Company's Management, securing
favourable LME prices as well as maintaining strict cost control, have
positioned METLEN as the largest fully vertically integrated producer of
bauxite, alumina, and aluminum in Europe, and among the most competitive
producers globally.

 

The increase in Net profits after minorities, was particularly significant,
reaching €482 million, up 4% compared to €462 million in the nine-month
period of 2023.

 

As in previous years, METLEN's profitability, driven by the Energy Sector (RES
and Greek Utility) is expected to continue its growth trajectory in the fourth
quarter, driving the Company to new, record-high levels of annual
profitability. At the same time, a series of highly successful bonds
issuances, with the most recent being the €750 million "green" bond at 4%,
coupled with the Company's strong cash flows, enables both the realization of
all planned investments as well as the further strengthening of revenues while
maintaining strict control over key leverage ratios.

 

Regarding the construction and concessions activity, Earnings before Taxes,
Interests and Depreciation (EBITDA) more than doubled to €19 million
compared to €8 million in the corresponding period of 2023, with the
prospects of a strong Q4 2024 performance, aiming to double profitability over
2023. The backlog of infrastructure projects of the 100% subsidiary METKA ATE
already exceeds the €1 billion, and including projects in an advanced stage
of contracting, exceeds the €1.4 billion (for JV projects refers only to
METKA ATE's share). From the above, 31% refers to public projects, while 69%
implies to private projects (including PPPs and projects of the parent
company). The outlook for the construction industry in Greece is particularly
positive, both for public and private projects, as well as for concession and
Public & Private Partnerships (PPP), in which the Infrastructure Sector
aspires to play a leading role.

 

 

 

2.   BUSINESS SECTORS OPERATIONAL UPDATES

 

2.1. Energy Sector

 

 amounts in m. €    9M 2024  9M 2023  Δ %
 Revenues           3,442    3,304    4%
 EBITDA             545      533      2%
 Margins (%)                          Δ(bps)
 EBITDA             15.8%    16.1%    -30

 

Energy Sector reported turnover of €3,442 million, representing 82% of the
company's total turnover, up 4% compared to the corresponding period of 2023.
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) stood
at €545 million, increased by 2% compared to €533 million in 9M 2023.

 

Following the recent corporate structure changes, METLEN Energy & Metals
is better positioned to face current and future challenges. Moreover, the
Company is strategically positioned at the forefront of the Energy Transition
as a leading and integrated energy company, with an international presence in
the entire spectrum of the energy sector (Renewables, Energy & Generation
Management, Energy Customer Solutions, Integrated Supply & Trading and
Power Projects).

 

 

 RES - METLEN's Global portfolio            Power (GW)
 RES in Operation                           1.1
 RES Under Construction                     1.3
 RES RTB & Late stage of Development**      2.4
 RES Early Stage of Development             6.2
 Total                                      11.0

* Includes projects of all technologies (photovoltaic, energy storage, wind)
excluding the projects in Canada and also the projects that are included in
the deal with PPC

**Project ready to be Build (RTB) or that will reach RTB stage within the next
~ 6 months

 

 

Total capacity of the operational and mature Global portfolio of M Renewables,
which is dynamically expanding in all 5 continents, is c.4.8GW, while
including projects in Early and Middle stages of development, with a capacity
of c.6.2GW, METLEN's global portfolio stands at 11GW.

 

In the first nine months of 2024, following the addition of new projects in
Greece and abroad, METLEN surpassed operating capacity level of 1GW, for the
first time.

 

Total power production from Renewable Sources in the end of the first nine
months of 2024 amounted to 1,002GWhs, of which 469GWhs produced from RES in
Greece and the balance 533GWhs from RES Internationally.

 

The successful Asset Rotation Model enables the Company to continue the growth
of M Renewables' profitability. In the first nine months of 2024, METLEN
proceeded with the sale of photovoltaic (PV) projects (SPAs) with a total
capacity of c.1GW in Europe.

 

In addition, the recent agreement with PPC, which involves the sale of
projects in Europe with a total capacity of c.2GW, along with the gradual
development of the Company's portfolio in Canada (with a total capacity of
c.1.4 GW), strengthens the prospects for further profitability growth in the
coming years, while keeping leverage at low levels.

 

METLEN's own pipeline, which is being developed within Greece, following the
commissioning of 60MW of PV projects in Q3 2024, the development of another
c.280MW is continuing unobstructed, while the construction commissioning for
an additional 640MW is expected soon, of which 48MW refer to energy storage
projects (BESS). The Greek portfolio utilizes funds provided from the Recovery
and Resilience Facility (RRF).

 

The international portfolio, during the first nine months of the year,
expanded as projects with a total capacity of c.400MW in Australia, Chile,
Italy, Romania, South Korea, and the United Kingdom, became operational. At
the same time, PV projects with a total capacity of c.1GW are under
construction and are expected to be commissioned in the near future,
highlighting the Company's expertise in developing international RES projects
and its commitment to sustainable growth on a global scale.

 

In the 3rd party projects, the execution continues unobstructed, in countries
like: Spain, the United Kingdom, Greece, Italy and Romania, with the
contracted backlog (signed pending contracts) in the end of the nine-month
period amounting to €250 million, while an additional €486 million are in
final negotiation stage.

 

 

Greek Market Data - 9M 2024

 

 Production per Unit type  TWh   9M 2024  9M 2023  Q3 2024    Q3 2023

% of mix
% of mix
 Lignite                         2.3      3.3      6%         9%
 Natural Gas                     15.2     11.7     38%        31%
 Hydros                          2.9      2.8      7%         7%
 RES(1)                          18.3     15.5     46%        41%
 Net Imports                     0.8      4.4      2%         12%
 Total                           39.6     37.8     100%       100%

(              1)Renewable Energy Sources

 

 METLEN Generation (TWhs)  9M 2024  9M 2023  Δ%
 Thermal Plants            6.40     3.98     61%
 RES                       0.47     0.44     7%
 Total                     6.87     4.41     56%

 

The nine months of 2024 were marked by a significant increase (c.5%) in
electricity demand, compared with the nine-month period of 2023. The largest
growth (c.30%), was recorded in electricity generation from natural gas
thermal units, with Renewable Energy Sources (RES) following with an 18%
increase compared to 9M 2023. On the contrary, lignite-based electricity
generation decreased by 30%, and energy imports from third countries were
nearly eliminated (c.2%) compared to 12% in the 9M 2023.

 

METLEN's total power production in Greece, both from the Company's thermal and
renewable units, amounted to 6.9 TWh, accounting for 17.3% of total demand,
compared to the 11.7% at the end of September 2023. During the last year,
METLEN has managed to nearly double its production and thus its market share,
which, due to the higher RES contribution along with the full integration of
the new CCGT unit (826 MW), is expected to continue its upward trend in years
to come.

 

More specifically, the three combined cycle plants (CCGTs) and the one
high-efficiency generation plant (CHP) produced a total of 6.4 TWh from 4 TWh
in the corresponding period of 2023, resulting in a significant increase in
METLEN's thermal production by c.61% (representing 42.0% of the electricity
production from natural gas units).

 

The above, coupled with the high degree of efficiency and flexibility of our
units as well as the procurement of natural gas at competitive prices, are
expected to continuously boost the profitability of the Company going forward.

 

 

 METLEN - Supply of Power & Natural Gas      9M 2024  9M 2023  Δ%
 Market share                                18.5%    12.5%    46%

 

Regarding the electricity supply activity, Protergia, particularly during Q3
2024, has steadily strengthened its presence in the retail market, with its
market share in electricity at the end of September 2024 reaching the 18.5%
(HEnEx market shares - including Volterra's market share), up from 16.7% at
the end of H1 2024. The growth in Protergia's market share is driven by a
significant increase in electricity and gas customers, with over 50,000
additional meters being added in Q3 2024 alone, representing an increase of
more than 11%. Soon, METLEN is targeting to reach the 30% of the Greek
consumption. Taking advantage of the vertical integration of the Company's
operation in the Energy Sector, METLEN has managed to establish an integrated
energy provider of the new era ("Utility of the Future"). This integrated
model allows the company to absorb price pressures, the result of sharp market
fluctuations, for the consumers' benefit, as recently demonstrated by
Protergia's pricing policy for July, August, September, and October.

 

Moreover, METLEN, beyond the Greek market, has achieved significant
penetration in other markets in the Southeast European region, in terms of
natural gas supply and trading, as part of the Company's internationalization
strategy. METLEN, maintaining significant natural gas volumes, has become a
major regional player in the supply and trading of natural gas in both the
Balkans and wider Southeastern Europe. This achievement has enabled the
company to secure competitive natural gas prices and the benefit of this
success is distributed through METLEN's synergistic model to all Company's
operations. In 9M 2024, the Company's natural gas imports reached 40 TWh, with
METLEN representing 40% of the country's total imports.

 

The third quarter was marked by significant fluctuations in electricity
prices, due primarily to a prolonged period of high temperatures, the
accelerated penetration of RES, as well as the increased electricity demand in
Eastern Europe, a result of the Ukrainian war. In this context, METLEN,
benefiting from the flexibility and high efficiency of its plants, increased
its production while maintaining stable prices for its supply arm, providing
substantial support to the consumers. This approach allowed METLEN to
significantly increase its market share, in-line with its goal of achieve a
30% market share.

 

 

 Power Projects METLEN           9M 2024
 Backlog of contracted projects  €1.2 billion
 Total pipeline                  €1.4 billion

 

M Power Projects Sector, continuously strengthening its international presence
with projects supporting the Energy Transition and Sustainable Development
goals, currently executes 35 projects in 11 different countries.

 

At the end of 9Μ 2024, the backlog of contracted projects amounted to €1.2
billion, while including projects at advanced stage of contracting, total
pipeline amounts to €1.4 billion, of which only 17% refers to projects in
Greece and the balance in foreign markets, mainly in the UK. This activity is
expected to grow significantly going forward, supported by resources stemming
from the European Recovery Fund, with Greece being the country that receives
the highest funding as a percentage of its GDP.

 

Regarding 9M 2024 major developments, M Power Projects Sector reached an
agreement with SIEMENS ENERGY for the development and construction of a 560MW
CCGT unit with associated infrastructure at the Adamów power plant in Poland.
Τhe contract price for METLEN is approximately €250 million. The total
investment exceeds PLN 2.3 billion (€500 million). Additionally, in H1 2024,
the commencement of work on the construction of the first high-capacity subsea
interconnection in the UK came into effect, under a £1bn contract.

 

2.2. Metallurgy Sector

 amounts in m. €    9M 2024  9M 2023  Δ %
 Revenues           630      715      -12%
 EBITDA             207      193      7%
 Margins (%)                          Δ(bps)
 EBITDA             32.9%    27.0%    586

 

 Total Production Volumes (ktons)  9Μ 2024   9Μ 2023   Δ%
 Alumina                           646       649       -0.4%
 Primary Aluminium                 136       138       -1.7%
 Recycled Aluminium                40        41        -2.2%
 Total Aluminum Production         176       179       -1.8%

 

 Aluminium & Alumina Prices ($/t)      9Μ 2024   9Μ 2023   Δ%
 3Μ LME                                2,408     2.308     4.3%
 Alumina Price Index (API)             437       347       25.9%

 

 

Metallurgy Sector reported turnover of €630 million, representing 15% of the
company's total turnover. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and
amortization (EBITDA) stood at €207 million, increased by 7% compared to 9M
2023.

 

Aluminium (3M LME) 9-month 2024 average price came in above 2,400$/t marking a
4.3% increase compared to the corresponding period of 2023. During Q3 2024,
aluminium prices, despite an initial decline in the second half of July, moved
upwards, reaching, at the end of September, the $2,650/t levels. Significant
boost was provided by both a larger than expected reduction in the US interest
rates as well as stimulus measures announced by China to support its economy.

 

Aluminum billet premia, and European premia in particular, have recorded a
significant increase since the beginning of the year of >60%, having been
stabilized at the $600/t level throughout the third quarter. The significant
upward trend in European premia in the first nine months of the year, is
mainly due to the fact that while Europe remains a significantly deficit
market, most of its needs are met by imports from third countries, including
the Middle East and Russia.

 

Alumina's profitability, in the nine months of 2024, improved substantially
compared to the corresponding period of 2023, as production costs reduced and
prices increased. Alumina Price Index (API), followed a strong upward trend,
rising 26% YoY to $437/t. The alumina price, however, has recently seen a
rapid increase to levels as high as $650/t, following market concerns about a
suspension of bauxite exports from Guinea, one of the world's largest
producers, along with Australia and China.

 

The developments in Guinea, China's key bauxite supplier, add to a year of
considerable volatility in the alumina and bauxite market, commencing from
Australia and China. Both the tightening of environmental and safety
regulations regarding bauxite mining (Australia and China) as well as the
closure of alumina plants due to gas shortages (Australia) have had a decisive
impact on alumina and aluminium prices during the year, showing, in practice,
the sensitivity of the entire production chain (bauxite-alumina-aluminium) to
exogenous factors.

 

Therefore, the need for greater verticalization in the aluminum market is now
seen as imperative, not only for an even more effective cost management, but
also for the seamless continuation of the production process, by securing
bauxite supply, the raw material for alumina and aluminum production. METLEN,
by taking timely actions and making the most of all the opportunities offered
either at the revenues level (hedging) or via cost cuttings and investments
(acquisition of Imerys bauxites, agreement for bauxite mining in Ghana),
manages consistently to lead the Metallurgy sector to new record high levels
of profitability. At the same time, the significant comparative advantages
offered by the coexistence of the Energy and Metallurgy Sectors, expected to
be reflected in the further improvement of the Metals' profit margin, while
positioning METLEN among the most competitive aluminum and alumina producers
globally. METLEN, has the ability to maintain itself among the lowest-cost
producers of alumina and aluminum globally, among others, by utilizing
aluminium smelter as a battery, taking advantage of the particularly low
energy prices, the result of power oversupply during certain hours of the day.

 

In conclusion, special reference should be made on the unprecedented rate of
execution of investments, amounting to €2.14bn across all areas of activity,
always within the framework of financial discipline and in-line with the goal
of achieving investment grade status. With regards to the new, significant
projects, which are close to Final Investment Decision (FID), these should be
announced gradually over the coming months, elaborating further on the
Company's Chairman recent statements, about doubling the Company's size within
the next 3-5 years.

 

 

For further information, please contact:

 

Investors Relations

Tel. +30 210-6877300 | Fax +30 210-6877400 | E-mail: ir@metlengroup.com
(mailto:ir@mytilineos.)

Press Office

Tel. +30 210-6877346 | Fax +30 210-6877400 | E-mail:
communications@metlengroup.com (mailto:communications@metlengroup.com)

 

Metlen Energy & Metals - evolution of MYTILINEOS Energy & Metals - is
a multinational industrial and energy company, a leader in the metallurgy and
energy industries, focused on sustainability and circular economy. The Company
is listed on the Athens Stock Exchange, with a consolidated turnover and
EBITDA of €5.49 billion and €1.01 billion, respectively. Metlen is a
reference point for competitive green metallurgy at the European and global
level, whilst operating the only vertically integrated bauxite, alumina and
primary aluminum production unit in the European Union (E.U.) with privately
owned port facilities. In the energy sector, Metlen offers comprehensive
solutions, covering thermal and renewable energy projects, electricity
distribution and trading, alongside investments in grid infrastructure,
battery storage, and other green technologies. The Company is active in the
markets of all five continents, in 40 countries, adopting a full-scale
synergetic model between the Metallurgy and Energy Sectors, while undertaking
end-to-end development of major energy infrastructure projects.

For more information, please visit: www.metlengroup.com
(http://www.mytilineos.gr/) | Facebook (https://www.facebook.com/metlengroup/)
| Twitter (https://x.com/metlensa) | YouTube
(https://www.youtube.com/user/MytilineosGroup) | LinkedIn
(https://www.linkedin.com/company/6646293/)

 

 

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