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Montauk Renewables Q2 revenue beats estimates on higher RINs sales

Montauk Renewables Q2 revenue beats estimates on higher RINs sales


Overview

  • US biogas-to-RNG producer's Q2 revenue rose 20%, beating analyst expectations

  • Q2 adjusted EBITDA increased 145% and beat analyst expectations

  • Revenue growth driven by higher RINs sales, offsetting lower commodity RNG revenue


Outlook

  • Montauk sees 2026 RNG revenues between $175 mln and $190 mln, unchanged

  • Company expects 2026 RNG production volumes of 5.8 mln to 6.0 mln MMBtu, unchanged

  • Montauk lowers 2026 REG revenues and volumes outlook due to delayed Montauk Ag Renewables facility ramp-up


Result Drivers

  • RIN SALES - Revenue growth was primarily driven by increased RINs sold, especially from the GreenWave joint venture

  • CONTRACT EXPIRATION - RNG commodity revenue decreased 63.7% due to expiration of fixed price pathway contracts

  • FACILITY OUTPUT CHANGES - McCarty and Apex facilities increased RNG production due to wellfield and collection system enhancements, while Galveston and Atascocita saw declines from operational changes and maintenance


Company press release: ID:nGNXbz9Mnm


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Revenue

Beat

$54 mln

$49.34 mln (3 Analysts)

Q2 Net Income

$200,000

Q2 Adjusted EBITDA

Beat

$12.30 mln

$11.15 mln (3 Analysts)

Q2 Operating income

-$100,000


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 1 "strong buy" or "buy", 2 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the electric utilities peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Montauk Renewables Inc is $1.60, about 5.9% below its August 4 closing price of $1.70

  • The stock recently traded at 15 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 10 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Aug 4 - ADM lifts 2026 profit forecast on strong margins, favorable biofuels outlook

  • Aug 3 - EPA gives Delek refinery biofuel relief, finds HF Sinclair petitions ineligible

  • Aug 3 - Germany's Verbio prelim FY EBITDA tops guidance on higher selling prices


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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