** Shares of MorphoSys MORG.DE jump 12% after J.P.Morgan
places the German biotech group on "positive catalyst watch"
ahead of data on its partner Roche's ROG.S Alzheimer's drug
study
** Roche's gantenerumab Phase III data is imminent, JPM
says, adding it has "increased confidence in at least some
success"
** MorphoSys is Roche's licensing partner and is
entitled to receive tiered royalties, ranging from 5.5% to 7%,
on net product sales and potential success-based regulatory
milestone payments related to gantenerumab
** "We see a high chance that the combined data-set shows
sufficiently strong efficacy for a US regulatory filing," JPM
says
** The brokerage sees more than 20% net present value (NPV)
upside to MorphoSys even if gantenerumab is only a 3 billion
euros peak sales product
** "This would still be worth c.14 euros per share," it adds
** Still, JPM keeps its "neutral" rating on MorphoSys on
downside risk for lymphoma drug Monjuvi in 2022 and beyond, and
a challenging path to group profitability
** MorphoSys tops German small-caps index .SDAXI , Roche is
up 0.3%
(Reporting by Anastasiia Kozlova, Andrey Sychev)
((Anastasiia.Kozlova@thomsonreuters.com))