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UK's Next edges up profit outlook after Christmas sales beat expectations (updated)

Full-price sales up 10.6% in nine weeks to December 27

UK sales up 5.9%, international sales surge 38.3%

Forecasts 2025/26 profit of 1.15 billion pounds, up 13.7%

Expects profit growth to slow to 4.5% in 2026/27

Updates shares in paragraph 6, M&S shares in 7, adds analyst comment in 13, details throughout

By James Davey

LONDON, Jan 6 (Reuters) - British fashion retailer Next NXT.L edged its annual profit forecast higher for the fifth time in a year as it reported a better-than-expected 10.6% rise in full-price Christmas sales, sending its shares higher in early trading on Tuesday.

Subdued consumer confidence in Britain ahead of Christmas coupled with unseasonably mild weather had left analysts nervous about clothing retailers' festive trading prospects.

However, Next defied the gloom, reporting a 5.9% rise in UK sales in the nine weeks to December 27. It said it benefited from higher stock levels than the previous year, when supplier deliveries were delayed by disruption in Bangladesh and global freight networks.

INTERNATIONAL SALES SOAR

International sales for Next, which has an online presence in more than 70 countries, jumped 38.3%, reflecting a higher-than-expected increase in marketing expenditure and improved stock availability.

Shares of Next, which has more than 800 stores in the UK and Ireland, including Reiss, Joules and FatFace outlets, surged 3.1%, extending gains over the last year to 47%.

Shares in rival Marks & Spencer MKS.L, which is due to update on trading on Thursday, were down 1.4%.

Led by CEO Simon Wolfson, Next said it now expected to report pretax profit of 1.15 billion pounds ($1.56 billion) for the year to January 31, up from previous guidance of 1.135 billion pounds and 1.011 billion pounds made in 2024/25 when it breached the 1 billion pounds mark for the first time.

NEXT WARNS THAT SALES, PROFIT GROWTH TO SLOW

The retailer, however, cautioned that it expects full-price sales and profit growth to slow to 4.5% in its 2026/27 year.

It said its UK business will face tough comparative numbers, while continuing pressures on employment will likely filter through into the consumer economy as the year progresses.

Official data published last month showed Britain's unemployment rate hit its highest since the start of 2021.

"While we expect the excellent Next to continue to do better than most, this tough backdrop may make future upgrades harder to come by," Shore Capital analyst David Hughes said.

Next also expects growth from its overseas direct websites to moderate from the exceptional levels of the 2025/26 year.

($1 = 0.7377 pounds)

FOCUS-Next CEO's billion pound milestone stirs succession concern nL2N3QA08C

 (Reporting by James Davey, Editing by Alexander Smith and Bernadette Baum)

 ((james.davey@thomsonreuters.com))

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