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Novartis slightly misses Q3 net sales estimates, but tops core EPS view

Novartis slightly misses Q3 net sales estimates, but tops core EPS view


Overview

  • Switzerland's innovative medicines firm Q3 net sales grew 4% but slightly missed analyst expectations

  • Core EPS rose 9%, beating analysts' expectations

  • Quarterly sales growth driven by strong performance of priority brands Kisqali, Kesimpta, Scemblix


Outlook

  • Novartis expects 2026 net sales to grow low single-digit

  • Company ups 2026 core operating income forecast to in-line to growing low single-digit from a low-single-digit decline

  • Foreign exchange expected to add 1 percentage point to 2026 net sales and core operating income


Result Drivers

  • PRIORITY BRANDS - Co said Q3 sales growth was driven by strong performance of Kisqali, Kesimpta, Scemblix, Leqvio and Cosentyx

  • VOLUME GROWTH OFFSET BY GENERICS - Co said Q3 net sales benefited from volume growth, partly offset by generic competition and negative pricing impact

  • PRODUCTIVITY EFFORTS - Co said productivity initiatives contributed to improved core operating income and margin


Company press release: ID:nGNE8KBVks


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Net Sales

Slight Miss*

$14.52 bln

$14.58 bln (13 Analysts)

Q3 Core EPS

Beat

$2.46

$2.27 (12 Analysts)

Q3 EPS

$0.63

Q3 Core Net Income

$4.66 bln

Q3 Net Income

$1.20 bln

Q3 Core Operating Income

$6.04 bln

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 10 "strong buy" or "buy", 15 "hold" and 3 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the pharmaceuticals peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Novartis AG is CHF125.90, about 1.2% below its October 26 closing price of CHF127.48

  • The stock recently traded at 16 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 17 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Oct 25 - Roche says divarasib cut risk of death 44% in lung cancer trial

  • Oct 26 - China's WuXi AppTec nine-month revenue rises on chemistry segment growth; lifts 2026 outlook

  • Oct 26 - Acumen Pharmaceuticals posts smaller than expected Q3 loss


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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