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Canada's Nutrien Q3 profit misses estimates on higher costs, lower crop nutrient sales

Canada's Nutrien Q3 profit misses estimates on higher costs, lower crop nutrient sales


Overview

  • Canada fertilizer producer's Q3 sales rose 1% yr/yr, beating analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q3 missed analyst expectations

  • Company to shut down White Springs phosphate facility in 2027 after strategic review


Outlook

  • Company revises 2026 retail adjusted EBITDA guidance to $1.72-$1.85 bln

  • Nutrien raises 2026 potash sales volume guidance to 14.3-14.8 mln tonnes

  • Phosphate sales volume guidance for 2026 cut to 2.40-2.55 mln tonnes


Result Drivers

  • FERTILIZER BENCHMARKS & POTASH SALES - Co said higher global fertilizer benchmarks and record Potash sales volumes boosted earnings, while reduced Nitrogen sales volumes and higher sulfur costs weighed

  • PROPRIETARY PRODUCTS & LIVESTOCK - Higher proprietary products gross margins and strong livestock market in Australia supported Retail earnings, offset by lower crop nutrient sales volumes and higher fuel costs

  • SULFUR COSTS - Higher sulfur input costs reduced Phosphate earnings, partially offset by stronger global benchmark prices


Company press release: ID:nBwbPB0bya


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Sales

Beat

$6.06 bln

$5.74 bln (9 Analysts)

Q3 Adjusted EPS

Miss

$0.61

$0.82 (13 Analysts)

Q3 EPS

$0.60

Q3 Net Earnings

$288 mln

Q3 Adjusted EBITDA

Miss

$1.31 bln

$1.34 bln (16 Analysts)


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 15 "strong buy" or "buy", 7 "hold" and 2 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the agricultural chemicals peer group is "buy"

  • The stock recently traded at 14 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 13 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Nov 3 - Mosaic Q3 adjusted loss misses estimates as lower volumes, raw material costs cut EBITDA

  • Nov 3 - Intrepid Potash Q3 net income rises on higher Trio production

  • Nov 2 - Pinched ammonia supplies from Trinidad add to US farmer pain ahead of elections


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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