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Olin Q2 revenue misses estimates, adjusted EBITDA beats

Olin Q2 revenue misses estimates, adjusted EBITDA beats


Overview

  • US chemicals and ammunition maker's Q2 revenue missed analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 beat analyst expectations

  • Q2 results impacted by $40 mln loss from vinyl chloride plant shutdown


Outlook

  • Olin forecasts Q3 2026 adjusted EBITDA between $160 mln and $200 mln

  • Company expects Chemical businesses Q3 results to be comparable to Q2, citing reduced operating rates and weaker ethylene dichloride pricing

  • Olin anticipates seasonally improving commercial demand to support sequential earnings growth in Winchester business


Result Drivers

  • PLANT SHUTDOWN - Unplanned shutdown at Freeport, Texas vinyl chloride monomer plant reduced Q2 adjusted EBITDA by $40 mln

  • HIGHER PRICING - Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls segment benefited from improved caustic soda and ethylene dichloride pricing

  • EPOXY MARGINS - Epoxy segment earnings rose on higher volumes, improved product margins, and lower operating costs, despite weak demand in Europe


Company press release: ID:nPn8kxrVWa


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Revenue

Miss

$1.74 bln

$1.81 bln (13 Analysts)

Q2 Net Loss

$13.30 mln

Q2 Adjusted EBITDA

Beat

$191.30 mln

$184.83 mln (14 Analysts)

Q2 EBIT

$46.50 mln

Q2 Pretax Profit

$3.80 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 2 "strong buy" or "buy", 10 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the commodity chemicals peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Olin Corp is $24.00, about 8.2% above its July 29 closing price of $22.19


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • July 29 - LSB Industries Q2 sales beat estimates on higher prices

  • July 29 - Stepan Q2 net sales rise on surfactant, polymer growth; to cut jobs

  • July 29 - Sturm Ruger Q2 net sales rise on strong demand


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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