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CEE MARKETS-Zloty, forint firms on euro jump, Czech crown lags behind

By Boldizsar  Gyori
       BUDAPEST, July 1 (Reuters) - Central European currencies
firmed or held steady on Monday as the euro firmed and markets'
risk-appetite grew following the first round of French
parliamentary elections that somewhat eased investor
uncertainty.
    Hungary's forint  EURHUF=  firmed 0.4% to a 3-week high to
trade at 393.1 to the euro, with the Polish zloty  EURPLN=  also
firming 0.34% to trade at 4.295 at 0831 GMT.
    "July begins with a strong upward trend in the Eurodollar
market as a reaction to the results of the first round of
parliamentary elections in France," Bank Millennium said in a
note.
    "They indicate the victory of the far-right National Union,
but with slightly less support than the polls indicated."
    The euro jumped on Monday after a convincing and historic
win by the French far right in the first round of parliamentary
elections fell slightly short of some expectations, leaving the
final result dependent on party deals before a second round next
weekend.
    The crown underperformed its central European peers by
holding steady since markets opened, trading at 25.01, returning
from a 2-month low touched last week when the Czech National
Bank (CNB) cut its key two-week repo rate  CZCBIR=ECI  by 50
basis points on Thursday, on the sharper end of expectations.
    "The Czech crown is under pressure after the surprise 50bps
interest rate cut in June and is moving above the key
psychological level of EUR 25.00/CZK," CSOB Bank said in a note.
    "The crown may thus be at the mercy of political tensions in
Europe in the coming weeks and months."
    Hungarian, Czech and Polish manufacturing activity all
showed contraction for June, S&P Global's manufacturing
Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)showed, with the results coming
in below the 50-point mark that separates growth from
contraction.
    
                  CEE        SNAPSHOT   AT                      
                  MARKETS              1031           
                                       CET            
                             CURRENCI                           
                             ES                       
                             Latest    Previ  Daily   Change
                                       ous            
                             trade     close  change  in 2024
 EURCZK  Czech     EURCZK=    25.0110  25.03   +0.10      -1.24%
 =       crown                            70       %  
 EURHUF  Hungary   EURHUF=   393.1000  394.7   +0.42      -2.52%
 =       forint                          500       %  
 EURPLN  Polish    EURPLN=     4.2950  4.309   +0.34      +1.15%
 =       zloty                             5       %  
 EURRON  Romania   EURRON=     4.9770  4.977   +0.01      -0.05%
 =       n leu                             5       %  
 EURRSD  Serbian   EURRSD=   116.9300  117.0   +0.08      +0.27%
 =       dinar                           200       %  
         Note:    calculated from             1800              
         daily                                CET     
         change                                       
                                                                
                             Latest    Previ  Daily   Change
                                       ous            
                                       close  change  in 2024
 .PX     Prague    .PX        1548.98  1545.   +0.20      +9.54%
                                        9100       %  
 .BUX    Budapes   .BUX      71836.75  72094  -0.36%     +18.50%
         t                               .79          
 .WIG20  Warsaw    .WIG20     2572.87  2561.   +0.45      +9.81%
                                          27       %  
 .BETI   Buchare   .BETI     18219.86  18244  -0.14%     +18.53%
         st                              .75          
                                                                
                                              Spread  Daily
                                              vs      change in
                                              Bund    
         Czech                                        spread
         Republi                                      
         c                                            
 CZ2YT=                                   0      ps  
 CZ5YT=                                   0      ps  
 CZ10YT                                  0      ps  
         Poland                                                 
 PL2YT=                                   0      ps  
 PL5YT=                                   0      ps  
 PL10YT                                  0      ps  
                                                                
                  FORWARD RATE                                  
                  AGREEMENTS                          
                             3x6       6x9    9x12    3M
                                                      interbank
         Czech     CZKFRA <      4.36   4.12    3.93        4.71
         Rep      PRIBOR=>                            
         Hungary   HUFFRA <      7.11   6.84    6.54        6.89
                  BUBOR=>                             
         Poland    PLNFRA <      5.80   5.67    5.37        5.85
                  WIBOR=>                             
         Note:    are for ask prices                            
         FRA                                          
         quotes                                       
         *******************************************            
         *******************                          
 
    
    
    
    

 (Reporting by Boldizsar Gyori in Budapest; additional reporting
by Jan Lopatka in Prague; Editing by Mrigank Dhaniwala)
 ((boldizsar.gyori@thomsonreuters.com;))
 
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