Japan union group announces hefty wage hikes, presaging shift at central bank (updated)

Panasonic Holdings

15/03/2024 07:08

(Adds announcement of deal, details)
    By Tetsushi Kajimoto
       TOKYO, March 15 (Reuters - 
    Japan's annual labour talks with major firms ended up with
pay raises of 5.28%, the highest in 33 years , the country's
largest union group said on Friday, reinforcing views that the
county's central bank will soon shift away from a decade-long
stimulus programme.
        
    The bumper
     outcome comes as the Bank of Japan looks 
    close to ending
     eight years of negative interest rate policy. BOJ officials
have stressed the timing of a pivot would depend on the outcome
of this year's wage negotiations.
  
        Policymakers hope that hefty pay rises will boost
household spending and produce more durable growth in the
broader economy, which narrowly avoided slipping into recession
late last year.
    Workers at major firms had asked for annual increases of
5.85%, topping the 5% mark for the first time in 30 years,
according to trade union group Rengo.
        The union group, which represents about 7 million
workers, many at large companies, had set its eyes on more than
3% of base pay hikes -- a key barometer of wage strength as they
determine wage curves that provide the basis of bonuses,
severance and pensions.
  
        Analysts had expected a rise of more than 4%, which
would be the biggest since the early 1990s, after last year's
3.6%, itself a three-decade high.
  
        The government is counting on such wage hikes to trickle
down to smaller and medium-sized firms, which account for a
whopping 99.7% of all enterprises and about 70% of the country's
workforce, but many lack the pricing power to pass higher costs
on to their customers.
  
        Wage talks for most smaller companies are expected to
concluded by the end of March.
  
        Even though Japanese companies have been raising pay,
the increases have largely failed to keep up with inflation.
Real wages, which are adjusted for inflation, have now fallen
for 22 straight months. 
  

 (Reporting by Tetsushi Kajimoto; Editing by David Dolan, Jamie
Freed and Kim Coghill)
 ((tetsushi.kajimoto@thomsonreuters.com;))