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REG-PJSC PhosAgro: PhosAgro reports 3Q17 EBITDA of RUB 13.6 billion <Origin Href="QuoteRef">PHOR.MM</Origin>

For Immediate Release   22 November 2017 

PhosAgro reports 3Q17 EBITDA of RUB 13.6 billion

Moscow – PhosAgro ("PhosAgro" or the “Company") (Moscow Exchange, LSE:
PHOR), one of the world’s leading vertically integrated phosphate-based
fertilizer producers, today announces its interim condensed consolidated IFRS
financial results for the three and nine months ended 30 September 2017.

Revenue in 3Q 2017 increased by 2% year-on-year to RUB 46.5 billion (USD 787
million), bringing 9M 2017 revenue to RUB 135.6 billion (USD 2.3 billion).
EBITDA for 3Q 2017 was RUB 13.6 billion (USD 231 million), with an EBITDA
margin of 29%. EBITDA for 9M 2017 was RUB 38.5 billion (USD 661 million). Net
income (adjusted for non-cash FX items) in 3Q 2017 decreased by 46%
year-on-year to RUB 5.8 billion (USD 98 million), bringing adjusted net income
for 9M 2017 to RUB 17.5 billion (USD 300 million).

3Q and 9M 2017 financial and operational highlights

 RUB million or %    3Q 2017     3Q 2016   Chng, %YoY  9M 2017  9M 2016  Chng, %YoY  
 Revenue             46,452      45,558        2%      135,573  147,607      -8%     
 EBITDA*             13,624      17,368       -22%      38,511   58,923     -35%     
 EBITDA margin         29%         38%        -9 pp      28%      40%      -12 pp    
 Net income           7,343      12,401       -41%      21,075   48,515     -57%     
 Net income adj*      5,771      10,658       -46%      17,490   35,493     -51%     
                   30-09-2017  31-12-2016                                            
 Net debt            109,055     105,115                                             
 ND/LTM EBITDA        2.1x        1.5x                                               
 Sales, 000' mt      3Q 2017     3Q 2016   Chng, %YoY  9M 2017  9M 2016  Chng, %YoY  
 Phosphate-based      1,716       1,558        10%      4,890    4,411       11%     
 Nitrogen-based        309         280         11%      1,205    1,067       13%     
 Phosphate rock        654         614         7%       1,998    1,840       9%      

RUB/USD rates: average 3Q 2017:59.0; average 3Q 2016: 64.6; as of 30 September
2017: 58.0; as of 31 December 2016: 60.7
*EBITDA is calculated as operating profit adjusted for depreciation and
amortisation.
* - adjusted for non-cash FX items
 

PhosAgro CEO Andrey Guryev said: “I believe that, despite the challenging
macro environment for PhosAgro’s key products and FX headwinds, in the third
quarter the company passed through the bottom in terms of profitability and
managed to increase EBITDA compared to the second quarter by more than 10%,
mainly due to a constant focus on cash costs combined with the first revenue
contributions from our new production units. The quarter-on-quarter recovery
in EBITDA, coupled with a year-on-year decrease in capex due to completion of
key investment projects, enabled us to generate RUB 2.3 billion (USD 39
million) of free cash flow in the quarter, meaning that the Board was able to
recommend dividends of RUB 7 per GDR, representing a dividend payout to nearly
100% of free cash flow.

“In terms of operations, we managed to increase both upstream phosphate rock
and downstream fertilizer production by almost 20% year-on-year in the third
quarter. Together with results already achieved in the first half of the year,
we have a high degree of confidence that upstream phosphate rock and
downstream fertilizer production volumes for the full year may reach 9.5
million tonnes and 8.3 million tonnes, respectively. As for the new production
units, the ammonia and urea lines have been running in test mode since July
and August, respectively, and have produced almost 140 and 70 thousand tonnes
of product in the third quarter.

“Once these major investment projects are completed, the Company plans to
focus its capital expenditure on selected small- or mid-sized projects that
support either organic growth in phosphate production thanks to modernisation,
or further vertical integration (construction of new sulphuric acid and
ammonium sulphate plants). We currently expect overall fertilizer production
to reach 9.2 million tonnes by 2020.

“Looking at seaborne markets, the recent rally in the main feedstock prices
(ammonia and especially sulphur) has lead to significant inflation in the
industry’s cash costs. This, together with previously announced production
cuts, has lead to a more balanced supply-demand situation and provides extra
support to prices. However, the growing price of feedstocks draws more
attention to the scale of vertical integration. For non-integrated players,
the recent increase in spot fertilizer prices was fully offset by feedstock
inflation, meaning that sector profitability has remained near historic lows.
In this context, PhosAgro’s fundamental advantages such as near-100%
vertical integration into ammonia with the ramp-up of the new ammonia unit,
geographic proximity to sulphur producers, and lower sulphur consumption per
tonne of P(2)O(5) due to the quality of the phosphate rock we produce, should
help to extend margins throughout the upcycle in the phosphate markets that
has now started.”

3Q 2017 market conditions
* The average price of DAP (FOB Tampa) in 3Q 2017 was USD 340 per tonne,
virtually flat year-on-year.
* Phosphate prices were under pressure primarily as a result of high
inventories and low import demand in India due to the delayed decision on the
new tax system since 1 July 2017, as well as the start-up of Ma’aden’s new
Wa’ad Al Shamal project in Saudi Arabia.
* On the positive side, prices were supported by stable demand in Brazil. MAP
imports increased by 58% year-on-year to 1.4 million tonnes in 3Q 2017. Strong
volumes in the first half of the year brought total MAP imports for 9M 2017 to
2.7 million tonnes, up by 57% year-on-year. Brazil’s cumulative import of
phosphates (MAP/DAP/NP/NPK/TSP) in 3Q 2017 (in P(2)O(5) content) grew by 80%
year-on-year.
* Exports of phosphates (DAP/MAP/NP/TSP) from China in 3Q 2017 increased by
20% year-on-year to 3.7 million tonnes, due to a strong increase in sales of
MAP and NPs.
* The average price of urea (FOB Baltic) in 3Q 2017 was USD 205 per tonne vs.
USD 181 per tonne in 3Q 2016. The price increase was supported by seasonal
demand in South Asia and Brazil, coupled with a substantial decrease in
exports from China.
Financial performance

Revenue in the third quarter increased by 2% year-on-year to RUB 46.5 billion
(USD 787 million). Year-on-year growth of 10% in total sales of fertilizers
and MCP was offset by 9% year-on-year appreciation in the average RUB/USD
exchange rate and a 17% year-on-year decrease in the average realised price
for phosphate rock (in USD terms). On the positive side, revenue growth was
supported by 2% and 19% year-on-year increases in the average price per tonne
(USD denominated) for phosphate- and nitrogen-based fertilizers, respectively.
A more detailed revenue breakdown by key products is presented below.

Revenue breakdown by key products

 RUB million     3Q 2017  3Q 2016  Chng, % YoY  9M 2017  9M 2016  Chng, % YoY  
 DAP/MAP          16,198   15,696       3%       47,233   50,401      -6%      
 NPK(S)           14,084   13,841       2%       36,190   39,150      -8%      
 PhosRock         5,006    6,131       -18%      15,801   20,277      -22%     
 Nitrogen-based   3,984    3,320       20%       15,404   14,488       6%      

Gross profit declined by 15% year-on-year to RUB 19.3 billion (USD 327
million), while the gross margin decreased by 8 p.p. year-on-year to 42%.
Gross profit and margin performance for the phosphate-based and nitrogen-based
segments were as follows:
* The phosphate-based segment saw an 18% year-on-year decrease in gross profit
to RUB 17.4 billion (USD 295 million), with a gross margin of 41%, compared to
50% in 3Q 2016.
* Gross profit for the nitrogen-based segment increased by 76% year-on-year to
RUB 1.9 billion (USD 32 million). Gross margin for the segment increased by 13
p.p. year-on-year to 45%.
EBITDA decreased by 22% year-on-year in 3Q 2017, to RUB 13.6 billion (USD 231
million), while the EBITDA margin declined by 9 p.p. to 29%, compared to 38%
in 3Q 2016. Net profit (adjusted for non-cash FX items) dropped by 46%
year-on-year to RUB 5.8 billion (USD 98 million) in 3Q 2017.

The RUB appreciated by almost 9% year-on-year during the quarter (the average
RUB/USD foreign exchange rates for 3Q 2017 and 3Q 2016 were RUB 59.0 and RUB
64.6, respectively), which had a net negative impact, as prices for most of
the Company’s products are denominated in USD, while costs are primarily
RUB-based. The appreciation of the RUB as of 30 September 2017 (RUB 58.0 per
USD) compared to 30 June 2017 (RUB 59.1 per USD) resulted in an FX gain of RUB
1.6 billion (RUB 1.7 billion gain in Q3 2016).

Cash flow from operating activities decreased by 50% year-on-year, to RUB 10.2
billion (USD 173 million), compared to RUB 20.0 billion (USD 309 million) in
3Q 2016, predominantly due to lower profitability and less favourable changes
in working capital due to an increase in inventories and a decrease in
accounts payable. Year-to-date operating cash flow stood at RUB 26.5 billion
(USD 454 million)

Gross debt (including finance lease liabilities) as of 30 September 2017
decreased marginally, by 4% quarter-on-quarter, to RUB 115 billion (USD 2
billion) primarily due to slight RUB appreciation in the third quarter. Net
debt as of 30 September 2017 stood at RUB 109 billion (USD 1.9 billion). Most
of the Company’s debt is denominated in USD and thus is naturally hedged by
primarily USD-denominated sales. The net debt to LTM EBITDA ratio increased
marginally to 2.1x as of 30 September 2017, up from 2.0x as of 30 June 2017.

Cost of Sales

         RUB million         3Q 2017  3Q 2016  Chng, % YoY  9M 2017  9M2016  Chng, % YoY  
 Materials and services       9,045    7,851       15%       23,816  20,759      15%      
 D&A                          3,673    2,265       62%       9,546    6,699      42%      
 Potash                       2,708    1,781       52%       6,636    5,445      22%      
 Salaries                     2,694    2,536        6%       8,152    8,300      -2%      
 Natural gas                  2,473    1,831       35%       6,556    5,935      10%      
 Sulphur and sulphuric acid   1,672    1,182       41%       4,480    5,029      -11%     
 Electricity                  1,387    1,091       27%       4,046    3,250      24%      
 Ammonia                      1,347    1,103       22%       5,766    4,559      26%      
 Fertilisers for resale       1,241     833        49%       3,920    3,633       8%      
 Fuel                          666      510        31%       2,207    1,644      34%      
 Ammonium sulphate             278      459        -39%      1,353    1,788      -24%     
 Heating energy                 67       76        -12%       472      462        2%      
 Other items                    6        1         n/m         8       10        -20%     
 Change in stock of WIP        -112    1,448       n/m        -228    2,074      n/m      
 Total                        27,145   22,967      18%       76,730  69,587      10%      

Cost of sales grew by 18% year-on-year in 3Q 2017 to RUB 27.1 billion (USD 460
million). The key factors behind the growth were:
* Spending on materials and services grew by 15% year-on-year to RUB 9.0
billion (USD 153 million) driven by a 17% year-on-year increase in phosphate
rock processing, 19% growth in overall fertilizer production and 3.4%
year-on-year CPI inflation.
* D&A was up significantly by 62% year-on-year to RUB 3.7 billion (USD 62
million) due to the commissioning of assets (Main Shaft #2 at Kirovsk mine,
newly built assets including those related to the new ammonia unit) and
capitalized repairs depreceiation.
* A year-on-year increase in expenditure on potash of 52% to RUB 2.7 billion
(USD 46 million) due to 33% growth in purchased volumes (thanks to the greater
share of NPKs with high potash content) and a 14% increase in RUB-denominated
prices.
* Spending on natural gas increased by 35% year-on-year to RUB 2.5 billion
(USD 42 million) mainly due to a 32% year-on-year increase in ammonia
production where natural gas is the main feedstock.
* Expenditures on sulphur and sulphuric acid were up by 41% year-on-year to
RUB 1.7 billion (USD 28 million). The key reasons were a 19% increase in
purchased volumes due to growth in production of phosphate-based fertilizers
and an 18% increase in RUB-denominated prices.
* Electricity costs increased by 27% year-on-year to RUB 1.4 billion (USD 24
million) on the back of 12% growth in purchasing from third-parties (resulting
from extra purchases due to the rump up of the new ammonia and urea units) and
a 13% increase in the average electricity price.
* A 22% year-on-year increase in spending on purchased ammonia to RUB 1.3
billion (USD 23 million) was mainly due to a 19% increase in purchase volumes.
The growth in purchased volumes was driven by almost 16% and 32% year-on-year
increases in phosphate- and nitrogen-based fertilizer production,
respectively.
Administrative expenses increased by 32% year-on-year to RUB 3.7 billion (USD
63 million) in 3Q 2017, primarily due to a 74% increase in personnel costs to
RUB 2.1 billion (USD 37 million). The key items leading to this increase were
changes to the bonus accrual schedule, which is now done on a monthly basis
instead of the half-year approach used in 2016, indexation of top management
salaries, and selective one-off bonuses related to project activities.

In 3Q 2017 Selling expenses increased by 19% year-on-year to RUB 5.0 billion
(USD 85 million). The main factors behind the growth were: 1) freight, port
and stevedoring expenses grew by 16% year-on-year to RUB 2.0 billion (USD 34
million) primarily due to a 10% year-on-year increase in export sales of rock
and fertilizers; 2) materials and services more than doubled to RUB 0.7
billion (USD 12 million) due to higher import duties paid as the company
increasing export sales to European markets, as well as higher transportation
and storage expenses due to expanding retail business in Russia.

Cash spent on capex in 3Q 2017 amounted to RUB 8.4 billion (USD 142 million),
a decrease of 25% year-on-year. Capital expenditure was primarily focused on
completing the construction of new ammonia and urea units, modernisation of
Benefeciation Plant #3 and extra underground drilling at Apatit. Capex for 9M
2017 reached RUB 23.3 billion (USD 400 million)

Outlook

Market outlook
* Substantial growth in feedstock prices (ammonia and sulphur) over the last
two months has inflated cash costs for major producers worldwide, and
especially for Chinese phosphate manufacturers. The increase in sulphur prices
was due to low inventories and high season domestic demand in China. The
ammonia price increase was driven by lower volumes available for spot sales
after the start-up of Ma’aden’s phosphate complex.
* Mosaic announced the idling one of its downstream facilities. Plant City,
with a total capacity 950 thousand tonnes in P(2)O(5) is expected to be idled
from 1 January 2018 for one year, which may help to balance the market in the
short-term and support DAP/MAP prices.
* Inflation in the main feedstocks should support prices at recently achieved
levels (USD 380 per tonne MAP FOB Baltics and USD 370 per tonne DAP FOB
Tampa), despite the beginning of low season, with a higher upside risk as the
spring season approaches.
Conference call and webcast

PhosAgro will hold a conference call and webcast today at 14:00 London time
(17:00 Moscow; 09:00 New York).

The call will be held in English, with simultaneous translation into Russian
on a separate line.

Webcast links:

English:
http://event.onlineseminarsolutions.com/r.htm?e=1551055&s=1&k=1685C4D98C85463DFCC7ECD3FF6085E0

Russian:
http://event.onlineseminarsolutions.com/r.htm?e=1551058&s=1&k=EF0664F231FBFA7566CFEB8492F8A1B7

Participant dial-in numbers:

Russian Federation    +7 495 221 6523
Russian Federation    8 10 8002 041 4011
United Kingdom           +44 203 043 2440
United Kingdom           0808 238 1774
United States              1 877 887 4163

Conference ID numbers:

English call: 57785958#
Russian call: 74132117#
 

For further information please contact:

PhosAgro

Alexander Seleznev, Head of Investor Relations Department
+7 495 232 9689 ext 2187
ir@phosagro.ru

Timur Belov, Press Officer
Anastacia Basos, Deputy Press Secretary
+7 495 232 9689

EM
Sam VanDerlip
vanderlip@em-comms.com
+44 7554 993 032
+7 499 918 3134

Notes to Editors

PhosAgro (www.phosagro.ru) is one of the world’s leading vertically
integrated phosphate-based fertilizer producers in terms of production volumes
of phosphate-based fertilizers and high-grade phosphate rock with a P(2)O(5)
content of not less than 37% (according to IFA, Fertecon and CRU).

The Company is the largest phosphate-based fertilizer producer in Europe, the
largest producer of high-grade phosphate rock (with a P(2)O(5) content of not
less than 37%) worldwide and one of the top three MAP/DAP producers in the
world, according to IFA. PhosAgro is also one of the leading producers of feed
phosphates (MCP) in Europe, and the only producer in Russia, according to CRU
and the RAFP. PhosAgro is Russia’s only producer of nepheline concentrate,
according to the RAFP.

PhosAgro’s main products include phosphate rock, over 35 grades of
fertilizers, feed phosphates, ammonia, and sodium tripolyphosphate, which are
used by customers in 100 countries spanning all of the world’s inhabited
continents. The Company’s priority markets outside of Russia and the CIS are
Latin America, Europe and Asia.

PhosAgro’s shares are traded on the Moscow Exchange, and global depositary
receipts (“GDRs”) for shares trade on the London Stock Exchange (under the
ticker PHOR). Since 1 June 2016, the Company’s GDRs have been included in
the MSCI Russia and MSCI Emerging Markets indexes.

Consolidated Interim Condensed Statements of Profit or Loss and Other
Comprehensive Income for the nine months ended 30 September 2017 (unaudited)

                                                                      Nine months ended 30 September          Three months ended 30 September     
                                                                      2017                      2016           2017                      2016     
                                                                  RUB million               RUB million    RUB million               RUB million  
 Revenues                                                              135,573                   147,607         46,452                    45,558 
 Cost of sales                                                        (76,730)                  (69,587)       (27,145)                  (22,967) 
 Gross profit                                                           58,843                    78,020         19,307                    22,591 
                                                                                                                                                  
 Administrative expenses                                              (10,917)                   (9,403)        (3,706)                   (2,803) 
 Selling expenses                                                     (16,533)                  (14,095)        (4,991)                   (4,200) 
 Taxes, other than income tax                                          (1,869)                   (1,574)          (639)                     (502) 
 Other expenses, net                                                   (1,660)                   (1,680)          (423)                     (326) 
 Operating profit                                                       27,864                    51,268          9,548                    14,760 
                                                                                                                                                  
 Finance income                                                            415                       732            154                       298 
 Finance costs                                                         (4,246)                   (3,634)        (2,022)                   (1,116) 
 Foreign exchange gain                                                   3,585                    13,022          1,572                     1,743 
 Share of profit of associates                                             251                        67            100                         2 
 Profit before tax                                                      27,869                    61,455          9,352                    15,687 
                                                                                                                                                  
 Income tax expense                                                    (6,794)                  (12,940)        (2,009)                   (3,286) 
 Profit for the period                                                  21,075                    48,515          7,343                    12,401 
                                                                                                                                                  
 Attributable to:                                                                                                                                 
 Non-controlling interests ^                                               (3)                         -            (1)                       (5) 
 Shareholders of the Parent                                             21,078                    48,515          7,344                    12,406 
                                                                                                                                                  
 Other comprehensive income                                                                                                                       
 Items that will never be reclassified to profit or loss                                                                                          
 Actuarial gain and losses, net of tax                                       -                      (21)              -                       (3) 
 Items that may be reclassified subsequently to profit or loss                                                                                    
 Foreign currency translation difference                                 (600)                   (2,086)          (171)                     (326) 
 Other comprehensive loss for the period                                 (600)                   (2,107)          (171)                     (329) 
 Total comprehensive income for the period                              20,475                    46,408          7,172                    12,072 
                                                                                                                                                  
 Attributable to:                                                                                                                                 
 Non-controlling interests ^                                               (3)                         -            (1)                       (5) 
 Shareholders of the Parent                                             20,478                    46,408          7,173                    12,077 
 Basic and diluted earnings per share (in RUB)                             163                       375             57                        96 

Consolidated Interim Condensed Statement of Financial Position as at 30
September 2017 (unaudited)

                                                      30 September 2017    31 December 2016  
                                                         RUB million          RUB million    
 Assets                                                                                      
 Property, plant and equipment                                   165,943             154,713 
 Advances issued for property, plant and equipment                 3,581               4,684 
 Intangible assets                                                 1,763               1,165 
 Investments in associates                                           859                 816 
 Deferred tax assets                                               5,361               5,110 
 Other non-current assets                                          1,990               2,226 
 Non-current assets                                              179,497             168,714 
                                                                                             
 Other current investments                                         2,018               3,282 
 Inventories                                                      24,273              19,934 
 Trade and other receivables                                      25,247              30,013 
 Cash and cash equivalents                                         6,128               7,261 
 Current assets                                                  57 ,666              60,490 
 Total assets                                                   237, 163             229,204 
                                                                                             
 Equity                                                                                      
 Share capital                                                       372                 372 
 Share premium                                                     7,494               7,494 
 Retained earnings                                                84,355              74,932 
 Other reserves                                                    4,886               5,486 
 Equity attributable to shareholders of the Parent                97,107              88,284 
 Equity attributable to non-controlling interests                    129                 137 
 Total equity                                                     97,236              88,421 
                                                                                             
 Liabilities                                                                                 
 Loans and borrowings                                             79,240              96,409 
 Finance lease liabilities                                         1,132               1,830 
 Defined benefit obligations                                         844                 767 
 Deferred tax liabilities                                          6,095               4,600 
 Non-current liabilities                                          87,311             103,606 
                                                                                             
 Loans and borrowings                                             33,429              12,457 
 Finance lease liabilities                                         1,382               1,680 
 Trade and other payables                                         17,805              23,040 
 Current liabilities                                              52,616              37,177 
 Total equity and liabilities                                    237,163             229,204 

Consolidated Interim Condensed Statement of Cash Flows for the nine months
ended 30 September 2017 (unaudited)

                                                                                Nine months ended 30 September     
                                                                                2017                      2016     
                                                                            RUB million               RUB million  
 Cash flows from operating activities                                                                              
 Profit before tax                                                                27,869                    61,455 
 Adjustments for:                                                                                                  
 Depreciation and amortisation                                                    10,647                     7,655 
 Loss on disposal of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets             764                       259 
 Finance income                                                                    (415)                     (732) 
 Finance costs                                                                     4,246                     3,634 
 Share of profit of associates                                                     (251)                      (67) 
 Foreign exchange gain                                                           (3,589)                  (14,202) 
 Operating profit before changes in working capital and provisions                39,271                    58,002 
 (Increase)/decrease in inventories                                              (4,336)                     1,273 
 Decrease in trade and other receivables                                           5,618                     7,472 
 Decrease in trade and other payables                                            (4,159)                   (2,004) 
 Cash flows from operations before income taxes and interest paid                 36,394                    64,743 
 Income tax paid                                                                 (6,743)                  (11,222) 
 Finance costs paid                                                              (3,184)                   (4,026) 
 Cash flows from operating activities                                             26,467                    49,495 
                                                                                                                   
 Cash flows from investing activities                                                                              
 Acquisition of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets             (23,294)                  (29,536) 
 Repayment of loans issued, net                                                      414                       174 
 Proceeds from disposal of property, plant and equipment                             193                       285 
 Finance income received                                                             228                       349 
 Disposal of investments, net                                                        381                       446 
 Cash flows used in investing activities                                        (22,078)                  (28,282) 
                                                                                                                   
 Cash flows from financing activities                                                                              
 Proceeds from borrowings                                                         76,254                    27,668 
 Repayment of borrowings                                                        (69,215)                  (26,080) 
 Acquisition of non-controlling interests                                              -                     (218) 
 Dividends paid to shareholders of the Parent                                   (11,655)                  (23,699) 
 Dividends paid to non-controlling interests                                         (5)                       (8) 
 Finance leases paid                                                             (1,012)                   (1,588) 
 Proceeds from settlement of derivatives                                               -                       174 
 Other payments                                                                        -                     (290) 
 Cash flows used in financing activities                                         (5,633)                  (24,041) 
 Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents                                       (1,244)                   (2,828) 
 Cash and cash equivalents at 1 January                                            7,261                    29,347 
 Effect of exchange rates fluctuations                                               111                   (3,325) 
 Cash and cash equivalents at 30 September                                         6,128                    23,194 



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