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Poland - Factors to Watch May 15

WARSAW, May 15 - The following are significant news stories, press reports and events on Thursday. ALL TIMES GMT (Poland: GMT + 2 hours):

PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS

The candidate from Poland's ruling Civic Coalition (KO), Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski, is in the lead ahead of a May 18 presidential election, with support of 32.6%, according to a poll by IBRiS for Onet news website published on Thursday.

Karol Nawrocki, the candidate supported by the main opposition party, Law and Justice (PiS), has 26.4% support.

GDP

On Thursday at 0800, the statistical office will publish the first estimate of Poland's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the first quarter of 2025. Analysts polled by Reuters expect GDP growth in this period to be 3.1% year-on-year.

INFLATION

On Thursday at 0800, Poland's statistical office will publish data on inflation in April. According to the preliminary reading, it was 4.2% year-on-year.

ELECTION INTERFERENCE

Poland said on Wednesday it had uncovered what could be an attempt to interfere in its presidential election campaign using advertisements on Facebook that may have been financed from abroad, an assertion the social media platform disputed.

PZU

PZU PZU.WA, Poland's leading insurer, reported on Thursday a 40% year-on-year rise in its first-quarter net profit.

Net profit for the quarter reached 1.76 billion zlotys ($465.52 million), exceeding the 1.54 billion zlotys forecast by analysts in a company-compiled consensus.

KGHM

Poland's biggest copper miner, KGHM Polska Miedz KGH.WA, reported a 60% jump in first-quarter adjusted core profit on Wednesday to 2.49 billion zlotys ($659.55 million), driven by higher metal prices and increased international sales volumes.

****Reuters has not verified stories reported by Polish media and does not vouch for their accuracy.****

For other related news, double click on:

 Polish equities       PL-E     E.Europe equities     .CEE
 Polish money          PL-M     Polish debt           PL-D
 Eastern Europe        EEU      All emerging markets  EMRG
 Hot stocks            HOT      Stock markets         STX
 Market debt news      DBT      Forex news            FRX

 For real-time index quotes, double click on:
 Warsaw WIG20 .WIG20  Budapest BUX .BUX  Prague PX .PX

($1 = 3.7859 zlotys)

 (Reporting by Warsaw Bureau)

 ((warsaw.newsroom@reuters.com; tel. +48 22 6539700))

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