* Electric vehicle sales expected to surge in next decade
* Battery recyclers seeking new ways to retrieve metals
* Reliance on Congolese supply pressures cobalt market
* GRAPHIC-Demand for battery materials: http://reut.rs/2zzGHaG
* GRAPHIC-Electric vehicles on the rise: http://tmsnrt.rs/2eNwQoZ
By Jan Harvey
LONDON, Nov 17 (Reuters) - Recycling companies are honing
processes to extract metals from old batteries more cheaply and
efficiently so they can capitalise on an expected shortfall in
materials such as cobalt and lithium when sales of electric cars
take off.
The main obstacle recyclers face now is a shortage of spent
batteries to recycle to make their technology cost-effective,
but those at the forefront of the industry are confident the
supply, and profits, will come.
"The value of lithium carbonate and natural or synthetic
graphite has doubled or tripled in the last three or four years,
becoming the most valuable materials besides cobalt in the
automotive battery," Albrecht Melber, co-managing director of
German recycling firm Accurec, said.
"There are big values that can be recycled in the future."
Electric vehicle sales are expected to pass 14 million a
year by 2025 from less than a million now, fuelling a surge in
the consumption of battery materials.
Data specialist Benchmark Mineral Intelligence predicts the
industry will need an extra 30,000 tonnes of cobalt and 81,000
tonnes of lithium a year to meet demand by 2021.
Commodity research group CRU expects 11,600 tonnes of cobalt
to come from recycling in 2021, up from 7,110 a year now, and
24,900 tonnes by 2026, accounting for 9.7 percent and 17.9
percent of the total market supply respectively.
In China, where electric vehicle sales topped half a million
last year, recyclers are getting ready to deal with a mountain
of battery waste and others also see opportunities. urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL4N1LT325
"A 1,000-pound lithium cobalt battery contains about $6,000
worth of cathode material at the top end of the value chain and
about $1,700 for a nickel-cobalt-aluminum battery at the low
end," said Larry Reaugh, chief executive of Canadian metals
recycler American Manganese AMY.V .
"If this equated to mining you would have a very high grade
feedstock," he said. "We're mining batteries, you might say."
COBALT PRESSURE
Most electric cars are powered by lithium NMC batteries
which use a cathode composed of nickel, manganese and cobalt and
a graphite anode.
Mining enough cobalt to meet demand is a particular concern
as most of the world's supplies come from Democratic Republic of
Congo, where mining areas are prone to conflict. The price of
cobalt COB-CATH-LON has more than doubled so far this year.
Supplies of lithium, mainly mined in Chile, are under far
less pressure at the moment and new production is due to come on
stream in Argentina and Australia.
But concern the supply of lithium in battery-ready form will
struggle to keep pace with electric car sales has pushed prices
up more than 30 percent to a record $12,000 a tonne this year.
urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL8N1NJ6XJ
Besides a shortage of old batteries to recycle, companies
also face challenges extracting lithium in a reusable form.
Most recyclers heat old batteries to high temperatures to
retrieve metals, a process known as pyrometallurgy. But this
generally only yields cobalt, and sometimes nickel, while
lithium is more difficult and expensive to extract.
The cost of recycling varies widely, but to be economical,
CRU estimates it would need to be transformed back into lithium
carbonate at a maximum cost of $7,000 a tonne.
For now, lithium usually ends up in waste slag, which can be
used as a building material, or is thrown away. But with the
price of all these metals rising, that picture may change.
MATERIAL MATRIX
Technological advances are key to retrieving more waste
metal from batteries and some companies say they have developed
ways to get lithium that will come into their own once there's a
steady supply of spent batteries to recycle.
Umicore UMI.BR uses a combination of pyrometallurgy and a
chemical process known as hydrometallurgy to retrieve lithium
and rare earths from slag, as well as extracting cobalt, nickel,
and copper.
"A battery is a complex material matrix," Umicore says.
"However, our process allows (us) to separate and concentrate
the lithium in one process step, and yields alloys with cobalt,
nickel and copper."
Umicore operates a pilot plant with a 7,000-tonne capacity
that can process some 35,000 electric vehicle batteries a year.
Analysts say the Belgian company, a well-established
materials recycler, is by far the most developed lithium ion
battery processor in Europe.
"For investors to play the recycling theme, for now the best
way is Umicore," said Tobias Bischoff, a portfolio manager at de
Pury Pictet Turrettini & Cie who advises NSF Wealth Management's
Global New Mobility fund.
U.S. company Retriev Technologies has been recycling lithium
ion batteries at its plant in Trail, British Columbia, since
2002, recovering cobalt, nickel and copper. It expanded a
facility in Ohio to process lithium ion batteries two years ago.
Between 2012 and the end of last year production at its
Trail facility doubled, with the plant processing about 1,200
tonnes of batteries. The company expects growth at a similar
rate over the next five years, vice president Todd Coy said.
Other companies are also pushing into lithium ion battery
recycling. Accurec now has a 1,000-tonne capacity demonstration
plant for recycling car batteries at its Krefeld facility in
western Germany, though it says volumes remain small.
Australia's Neometals NMT.AX is building a pilot plant in
Montreal, aiming to develop processes tested in laboratories and
small-scale plants for extracting cobalt, lithium and nickel.
Also in Canada, American Manganese says it can retrieve 100
percent of the lithium - as well as cobalt, nickel, manganese
and aluminium - from batteries, using technology originally
developed to process low-grade manganese ores.
It has completed a proof of concept for its process and has
a patent pending. A pilot plant is the next step.
SECOND LIFE
But commercial development for recyclers is tough without
the economies of scale that will come with a greater supply of
spent batteries. Retriev, for example, says large volumes will
be key to developing lithium recycling using hydrometallurgy.
"At current commodity prices we need approximately 4,000
tonnes per year of batteries to justify the estimated capital
costs," Retriev's Coy said, more than three times its current
processing volumes.
"We are confident this volume will be coming in the future -
beyond 2023 - but the market is not there yet."
While electronic car sales are growing fast, lithium ion car
batteries last eight to 10 years on average, meaning it will be
the best part of a decade before significant numbers are spent.
American Manganese's Reaugh says it is planning to focus
initially on recycling material from faulty batteries to get
around the wait for working batteries to expire.
Even when they do, battery makers say many will have a
second life as grid storage, potentially for the best part of
another decade. German carmaker BMW BMWG.DE , for example, says
its batteries are specifically designed for that purpose.
Grid storage systems use batteries no longer performing at
levels to power cars to store electricity which can be used to
even out fluctuations in supply and demand.
Still, not everyone is convinced grid storage will put the
brakes on recycling.
"At the end of the day it's going to come down to whether
the raw materials in the battery are worth more than the battery
as grid storage," CRU analyst George Heppel said. "I think there
will be a better incentive to recycle the materials, and from
there build a more efficient battery with new technology."
Umicore says it expects volumes of spent batteries to rise
above 100,000 tonnes a year in the next decade, with "massive
volumes" coming onto the market around 2025. Once that happens,
the opportunities for recyclers to capitalise will take off.
"It definitely is a market that could become materially
important," said portfolio manager Bischoff. "We've looked at
it, and we'll look at it again."
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GRAPHIC-Forecast demand growth for lithium ion battery materials
http://reut.rs/2zzGHaG
GRAPHIC-Electric vehicles on the rise http://tmsnrt.rs/2eNwQoZ
INSIGHT-China's recyclers eye looming electric vehicle battery
mountain urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL4N1LT325
FEATURE-Argentina seeks to overtake Chile in South America
lithium race urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL8N1NJ6XJ
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(Reporting by Jan Harvey; editing by David Clarke)
((jan.harvey@thomsonreuters.com; +44 0 207 542 7744; Reuters
Messaging: jan.harvey.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net; Twitter: http://twitter.com/Jan_ReutersGold))
Keywords: BATTERIES RECYCLING/