Overview
U.S. casual dining chain's fiscal Q1 revenue, adjusted EPS, and adjusted EBITDA beat analyst expectations
Comparable restaurant revenue declined 0.6% yr/yr as guest traffic fell 1.6%
Company cites new menu, marketing, and operational efficiencies for improved profitability
Outlook
Red Robin expects comparable restaurant revenue growth of 0.5% to 1.5% for fiscal 2026
Company projects restaurant level operating profit margin of approximately 13.0% for fiscal 2026
Red Robin forecasts adjusted EBITDA of $70 mln to $73 mln for fiscal 2026
Result Drivers
OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN- Improvement from the first quarter of 2025, primarily driven by higher average guest check and the benefits of efficiency initiatives offsetting the impact of inflation and lower guest traffic
MARKETING INVESTMENTS - Targeted marketing increased awareness of value platform and personalized outreach to guests, per CEO Dave Pace
COMPARABLE RESTAURANT REVENUE - Decreased 0.6%. This included a decrease in guest traffic and an increase in average guest check
Company press release: ID:nPn9nGmn7a
Key Details
Metric
Beat/Miss
Actual
Consensus Estimate
Q1 Revenue
Beat
$378.30 mln
$362.09 mln (4 Analysts)
Q1 Adjusted EPS
Beat
$0.13
-$0.03 (3 Analysts)
Q1 EPS
-$0.12
Q1 Net Income
-$2.20 mln
Q1 Adjusted EBITDA
Beat
$27.30 mln
$22.81 mln (3 Analysts)
Q1 Income From Operations
$5.50 mln
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 4 "strong buy" or "buy", no "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the restaurants & bars peer group is "buy"
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc is $11.00, about 193.3% above its May 18 closing price of $3.75
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(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)