REG - Rolls-Royce Holdings - Trading Update

Rolls-Royce HoldingsAnnouncement

26/07/2023 07:00

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RNS Number : 1791H  Rolls-Royce Holdings plc  26 July 2023

                                    26 July
2023

 

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS TRADING UPDATE

 

This announcement contains inside information.

 

Improved financial results and upgraded guidance

Rolls-Royce Holdings plc financial results for the first half of the year are
expected to be materially above consensus expectations and we have updated our
guidance for the full year. The consensus numbers referred to in this release
are available on our website: Analyst consensus | Rolls-Royce
(https://www.rolls-royce.com/investors/investor-centre/analyst-consensus.aspx)

 

·     Significantly improved first half results: higher underlying
operating profit of £660m-£680m (consensus: £328m) and free cash flow of
£340m-£360m (consensus: £50m) reflects continued end-market growth and our
focus on commercial optimisation and cost efficiencies across the Group

·     Full year guidance raised: we now expect underlying operating
profit of £1.2bn-£1.4bn (consensus: £934m) and free cash flow of
£0.9bn-£1.0bn (consensus: £732m) in 2023, helped by early transformation
benefits

·     Margin improvement led by Civil and Defence: this reflected higher
volumes, commercial improvements and cost efficiencies; Power Systems margins
were lower, but are expected to improve in the second half due to our pricing
actions

·     Accelerated financial delivery driven by transformation: our
multi-year transformation programme has delivered strong initial results

·     Delivering in an uncertain environment: an increased focus on costs
and productivity has helped to offset the impact of inflation and mitigate
supply chain pressures

 

Tufan Erginbilgic, CEO said: "Our multi-year transformation programme has
started well with progress already evident in our strong initial results and
increased full year guidance for 2023. There is much more to do to deliver
better performance and to transform Rolls-Royce into a high performing,
competitive, resilient, and growing business. Despite a challenging external
environment, notably supply chain constraints, we are starting to see the
early impact of our transformation in all our divisions. Better profit and
cash generation reflects greater productivity, efficiency and improved
commercial outcomes."

 

Strong first half results helped by transformation

For the first half of 2023, we now expect underlying operating profit of
£660m-£680m. This performance reflects continued revenue growth across all
three main divisions coupled with early transformation benefits, notably
commercial optimisation, cost efficiencies and focused investment across the
Group.

·     Civil Aerospace: We expect first half underlying operating profit
in the region of £400m compared to a loss of £(79)m in the prior period. The
increase in operating profit was primarily driven by higher aftermarket
profitability, which reflects higher volumes and our commercial optimisation
actions. Operating profit also benefited from higher spare engines sales and
cost efficiencies.

·     Defence: We expect first half underlying operating profit in the
region of £260m compared to £189m in the prior period. This was driven by
strong revenue growth and higher margins. Revenue growth reflected increased
underlying demand and a more even delivery profile between the first half and
second half of the year than in 2022. Higher margins were driven by higher
revenues, pricing actions, a more favourable product mix and cost
efficiencies.

·     Power Systems: We expect first half underlying operating profit in
the region of £120m (H1 2022: £119m), but with a lower margin than the prior
period. We anticipate a higher year on year margin for the full year, with an
increase in the second half due to the impact of pricing actions, cost
efficiencies and seasonally higher volumes.

 

We expect first half free cash flow of £340m-£360m to be driven by:

·     An improvement in underlying operating profit from £125m in the
prior period to £660-680m, led by Civil Aerospace and Defence.

·     An LTSA balance increase of approximately £700m (H1 2022: £433m)
which reflected large EFH (engine flying hour) growth to 83% of 2019 levels
and our commercial optimisation actions, notably increased pricing and the
anticipated collection of overdue debts that had previously been provided for.
A portion of our LTSA receipts are payable to our RRSPs (risk and revenue
share partners), which reduces the amount of cash retained by Rolls-Royce. Of
the total LTSA balance growth of c.£700m, approximately £500m benefited
Rolls-Royce's cash flows in the period.

·     Offsetting this, working capital is expected to be an outflow of
approximately £600m, principally driven by higher inventories. Higher
inventories reflected continued supply chain constraints and an expectation of
higher revenues in the second half.

 

Upgraded full year 2023 guidance

Our upgraded full year 2023 guidance reflects the strong first half results
and continued benefits of transformation which is accelerating our financial
delivery.

We now expect full year underlying operating profit of £1.2bn-£1.4bn
(previously: £0.8bn-£1.0bn). This assumes targeted contract improvements of
£200m-£250m (previously: £100m-£200m).

We expect full year 2023 free cash flow of £0.9bn-£1.0bn (previously:
£600m-£800m). This reflects higher expected underlying operating profit and
assumes:

·      A £1.0bn-£1.2bn growth in the LTSA balance (previously:
£500m-£700m). Of the total LTSA creditor growth, £800m-£900m is expected
to benefit our cash flows in the period.

·      A negative impact of approximately £150m in respect of the
impact of two fires at suppliers' premises (previously: £100m).

·      Legacy Boeing concessions outflows of approximately £200m
(unchanged).

·      A c.£100m expected outflow in respect of the outcome of a legal
judgment (new guidance).

·      Working capital improvements in the second half, despite supply
chain constraints.

We continue to expect large EFH at 80%-90% of 2019 levels, 400-500 total
engine deliveries and 1,200-1,300 total LTSA shop visits in the full year
2023.

 

Half year results presentation

Our 2023 half-year results will be published at 0700 (BST) on 3 August, with a
results presentation at 0900.

To register for the live results webcast on 3 August, visit:
https://app.webinar.net/8m6Mp2Vpzya (https://app.webinar.net/8m6Mp2Vpzya) , to
register for attendance in person contact investor.relations@rolls-royce.com.
No conference call is scheduled for today, 26 July 2023.

 

 

Officer responsible for making the notification:

Pamela Coles, Chief Governance Officer

 

 

For further information, please contact:

 

Media

Richard Wray

Director of External Communications & Brand, Rolls-Royce plc

Tel +44 (0) 7810 850055

Richard.Wray@Rolls-Royce.com (mailto:Richard.Wray@Rolls-Royce.com)

 

 

Investors

Isabel Green

Head of Investor Relations, Rolls-Royce plc

Tel +44 (0) 7880 160976

Isabel.Green@Rolls-Royce.com (mailto:Isabel.Green@Rolls-Royce.com)

www.Rolls-Royce.com (http://www.Rolls-Royce.com)

 

About Rolls-Royce Holdings plc

 

About Rolls-Royce Holdings plc

1.  Rolls-Royce develops and delivers complex power and propulsion solutions
for safety-critical applications in the air, at sea and on land. Our products
and service packages enable our customers to connect people, societies,
cultures and economies together; they meet the growing need for power
generation across multiple industries; and enable governments to equip their
armed forces with the power required to protect their citizens.

2.  Rolls-Royce has customers in more than 150 countries, comprising more
than 400 airlines and leasing customers, 160 armed forces and navies, and more
than 5,000 power and nuclear customers. We are committed to making our
products compatible with net zero carbon emissions to meet customer demand for
more sustainable solutions.

3.  The annual underlying revenue was £12.69 billion in 2022, and the
underlying operating profit was £652m.

4.  Rolls-Royce Holdings plc is a publicly traded company (LSE: RR., ADR:
RYCEY, LEI: 213800EC7997ZBLZJH69)

www.rolls-royce.com (http://www.rolls-royce.com)

 

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