(The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions
expressed are her own.)
By Una Galani
HONG KONG, July 22 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Investors
should worry about how Samsung Electronics 005930.KS fits into
the Lee family's wider restructuring plans. A rejig by the clan
behind South Korea's biggest chaebol could spark higher
dividends from the $180 billion smartphone maker. But the Lees'
recent win against U.S. hedge fund Elliott suggests independent
shareholders may have to suffer first.
The maker of the Galaxy S6 is the crown jewel among the
Samsung Group's 70-odd companies. Yet the Lees directly own just
4.7 percent of the electronics business, which is also known as
SEC. Sooner or later it's likely to be affected as the family
moves to tighten its grip on key assets in light of the
ill-health of patriarch Lee Kun-hee, and to ensure it can pay an
inheritance tax bill that could top $6 billion.
The hope is that a group restructuring will lead SEC to
distribute more of its $44 billion cash pile. A measly payout
ratio is one reason SEC trades on one times forward
price-to-book, or just one-quarter the level of its more
generous U.S. rival Apple AAPL.O . SEC argues it needs cash to
develop new technologies like curved screens - but boosting
dividends now is also not in the family's interest if they can
secure a bigger stake in the smartphone business.
One worry is that the undervalued SEC may issue new shares
to buy the richly priced IT services group Samsung SDS
018250.KS , which is 19 percent owned by the family directly.
That would dilute existing SEC investors. Samsung insists it has
no such plans but it could push through a deal without a
shareholder vote because SDS's market value, at $20 billion, is
around just 10 percent of SEC's. Another theory is that Samsung
may also try to shore up control by adopting a holding company
structure like rival LG Group.
Samsung has promised higher dividends to get its way before.
It was one of the group's many carrots to rally investor support
for another inter-group deal, on lowball terms, which Elliott
almost defeated. It could try to do so again here. If so, SEC's
many foreign shareholders should push back and insist: these are
two separate issues.
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CONTEXT NEWS
- Shareholders in South Korea's Samsung C&T on July 17
narrowly voted through an all-share merger with Cheil
Industries, the effective holding company for the Lee family
that controls the Samsung Group.
- Lee Kun-hee, patriarch of the Samsung Group made up of
more than 70-companies, has been in hospital for more than a
year.
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- For previous columns by the author, Reuters customers can
click on GALANI/
(Editing by Quentin Webb and Katrina Hamlin)
((una.galani@thomsonreuters.com Reuters messaging:
una.galani.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))
Keywords: SAMSUNG RESTRUCTURING/BREAKINGVIEWS