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RNS Number : 8379P Schroder Oriental Income Fund Ltd 24 May 2024
Schroder Oriental Income (SOI)
24/05/2024
Results analysis from Kepler Trust Intelligence
Schroder Oriental Income (SOI) has released its interim results for the period
ending 29/02/2024. Over the period, the trust saw its NAV increase by 7.5% on
a total return basis, which compares to a return of 1.9% for the MSCI AC
Pacific ex Japan Index, the trust's formal benchmark. The AIC Asia Pacific
Equity Income sector delivered a weighted average return of 5.8% over the same
period.
The top performers in the period have been the region's technology firms. This
has been driven by the industry's destocking trend and the increased
proliferation of artificial intelligence. Richard's stock selection has led to
an overweight which has been beneficial to performance.
Richard has an underweight allocation to China which has been a big
contributor to performance following the country's challenges. However, the
manager still generated positive alpha from China. Richard has an overweight
to Hong Kong which was a drag on returns, though this was more than offset by
strong stock selection leading to a positive overall return.
Two interim dividends were declared in the period. Earnings growth has been
modest in the region, though Richard believes this could begin to pick up. He
is confident that underlying income remains robust enough to maintain the
trust's strong progressive dividend track record.
The discount widened during the period from 4.5% to 6.4%, though this has
narrowed in the period post the interim statement.
The trust's chair, Paul Meader, reflected on the positive long-term
outperformance of the trust stating: "Since inception, a shareholder has
received a total return of 489.0%, whereas a passive investment in the
Reference Index would have generated 288.5%"
Kepler View
We believe this interim statement is another demonstration of the benefits of
active management in Asia, and a testament to Richard's stock selection
approach. Whilst the region has been overshadowed by global equities, Richard
has delivered significant outperformance, strong absolute returns and a
diversified income source.
Performance has primarily been driven by stock selection. This has been
particularly impressive in the China and Hong Kong allocations in our opinion.
Richard is underweight China, which aided relative performance, yet the
companies he did hold have outperformed. Meanwhile, he his overweight Hong
Kong which was a drag on performance, yet this was more than offset by
positive stock selection. We believe this should provide investors with
confidence in Richard's ability to outperform over the long-term.
Richard highlights that aggregate valuations are back in line with long-term
averages, though there is significant dispersion which lends itself well to
his active approach. He notes that the region's prospects could be affected by
changes in the interest rate cycle in developed markets. We would expect this
to be beneficial company earnings, providing support for the income picture
also.
SOI's dividend outlook remains strong, supported by the trust's large
financials allocation. The trust has an impressive dividend growth track
record and Richard believes the outlook supports this. We believe SOI
continues to provide investors with a diversified income stream to traditional
asset classes.
Despite the strong performance in the period, the discount widened in the
period which Richard believes reflects the negative sentiment towards Asia
which could arguably reverse. We believe the discount offers investors a
potentially attractive entry point.
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