** Exane BNP Paribas says the European real estate sector
starts 2023 at a substantial discount to its net tangible asset
forecasts, after the sector lost over 40% of its market cap in
2022
** "Part of the discount that the sector trades on reflects
refinancing risk," the broker says, as around 10% of debt books
per year are due in the next two years
** It adds successful refinancing would be a key re-rating
catalyst for the sector
** The brokerage's "top buys" are Vonovia VNAn.DE on
overstated refinancing risk and low valuation, and
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (URW) URW.AS which it upgrades to
"outperform" on attractive cashflow and U.S. disposals
** It also raises Colonial COL.MC and Icade ICAD.PA to
"outperform" from "neutral"
** It cuts Shurgard Self Storage SHUR.BR to "underperform"
from "neutral" and Aroundtown AT1.DE to "underperform" from
"outperform"
** URW is up 3.5% in midday trade, while Icade rises 2.5%
and Vonovia 2%
(Reporting by Anastasiia Kozlova)
((Anastasiia.Kozlova@thomsonreuters.com))