** Exane BNP Paribas says key themes in 2021 and beyond for
Italian capital goods companies will be the EU recovery fund,
green investments, M&A, raw materials, forex and plays late in
the economic cycle
** Brokerage sees Danieli DANI.MI and Maire Tecnimont
MTCM.MI (rating: "outperform") as best-positioned to benefit
from EU's recovery fund and further incentives for long-term
green projects, chooses the two companies as its top picks
** "The party isn't over for industrials - post-vaccine
growth may surprise to the upside," Exane adds
** Brokerage cuts Italy's Interpump ITPG.MI to "neutral"
from "outperform", saying valuation looks full as it trades at a
12% premium to the capital goods sector; adds M&A triggers in
2021 are unlikely
** Says Piaggio's PIA.MI valuation is more attractive than
ITPG's as growth in developing markets and China is still rapid,
despite likely weak sales in India in 2021
** Cuts brake maker Brembo BRBI.MI to "underperform" from
"neutral", citing full valuation, growing competition and raw
material pressure
** COVID-19 is taking a particularly severe toll on cruise
operators and consequently shipbuilder Fincantieri FCT.MI and
on gyms and hospitality too, affecting gym equipment maker
Technogym TGYM.MI , Exane adds
((silvia.recchimuzzi@tr.com))