REG-TotalEnergies SE TotalEnergies Energy Outlook 2022: TotalEnergies Publishes its Annual Contribution to the Energy Transition Dialogue

TotalEnergies SEAnnouncement

27/09/2022 13:45

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TotalEnergies Energy Outlook 2022: TotalEnergies Publishes its Annual
Contribution to the Energy Transition Dialogue

 

In view of the forthcoming COP27, the multi-energy Company TotalEnergies
(Paris:TTE) (LSE:TTE) (NYSE:TTE) aims at improving the understanding of the
global energy system and thus contributing to the Energy Transition debate
with its annual publication, the TotalEnergies Energy Outlook 2022 (document
available at this link
(https://cts.businesswire.com/ct/CT?id=smartlink&url=https%3A%2F%2Ftotalenergies.com%2Fsystem%2Ffiles%2Fdocuments%2F2022-09%2FTotalEnergies_Energy_Outlook_2022.pdf&esheet=52927685&newsitemid=20220927005719&lan=en-US&anchor=document+available+at+this+link&index=1&md5=eb926695d3968c7cdf51446ad494f6a3)
).

TotalEnergies Energy Outlook 2022

Published for the fourth consecutive year, the TotalEnergies Energy Outlook
2022 reexamines the two core scenarios – Momentum and Rupture – elaborated
by TotalEnergies to achieve the energy transition by 2050, taking into
consideration current energy markets and societal trends. It also integrates
new Net Zero pledges made since the presentation of last year’s Energy
Outlook in September 2021, thus strengthening global climate ambition.


 * TotalEnergies’ Momentum scenario is a forward-looking approach based on
existing decarbonization strategies of Net Zero 2050 countries, as well as
NDCs (Nationally Determined Contributions) of other countries. In addition to
major economies like the US, European countries, Japan and South Korea,
Momentum incorporates this year new Net Zero 2050 pledges from Australia,
Singapore, Taiwan and the UAE. The increasing number of countries with carbon
neutrality commitments by 2050 following the COP26 in Glasgow is excellent
news for the climate but still results in a 2.1-2.3° temperature increase by
2100 in our models (using IPCC curves AR6 P66).


 * TotalEnergies’ Rupture isa scenario built to reach the objectives of the
Paris Agreement by 2050, with temperatures’ rise well-below 2°C (P66) vs.
pre-industrial levels. It involves dissemination at large-scale of
decarbonization drivers to all emerging economies, the construction a new low
carbon energy system at a global scale while gradually transitioning from the
existing one. It will not happen without richer countries supporting emerging
ones by promoting a just energy transition (via investments, technology
transfers, training…) with a funding at least at the level forecasted in the
Paris agreement (100 B$/year from 2020).


 * By extending a combination of levers already applied in the Rupture scenario
onwards to all countries around the world, the TotalEnergies Energy Outlook
2022 gives a Rupture+ scenario, which allows to limit the temperature rise to
1,5°C (P50). Oil demand in 2050 is comparable to IEA NZE but the trajectory
to reach this target is different as new oil projects are still needed until
the mid-2030s to meet demand and avoid prices spikes.

“Current energy markets disruptions have reinforced the necessity of
dialogue on a global basis about the energy transition, involving worldwide
participation of all actors of the society” declared Patrick Pouyanné,
Chairman and CEO of TotalEnergies. “With this document, in line with our
climate ambition to get to Net Zero by 2050 and our ongoing transformation
into a multi-energy company putting the sustainable development goals at the
core of our strategy, TotalEnergies intends to share its knowledge of the
global energy system, in order to contribute to the decisions that will foster
the energy transition and help to tackle climate change.”

Helle Kristoffersen, President Strategy & Sustainability and member of the
Executive Committee, will present this document today as an introduction to
the Investors Days. This webcast will be streamed live and available for
replay at the following link
(https://cts.businesswire.com/ct/CT?id=smartlink&url=https%3A%2F%2Ftotalenergies.com%2Finvestors%2Fresults-investor-presentations%2Finvestor-presentations&esheet=52927685&newsitemid=20220927005719&lan=en-US&anchor=following+link&index=2&md5=e9a101e71f5f259ce99e1e6561f5b598)
.

Below are some of the key messages from the TotalEnergies Energy Outlook 2022:


 * The short-term trajectory of global energy demand is not going in the right
direction (pick up in coal use) due to the economic recovery post Covid in
2021 and the current market disruptions. More efforts will be needed to
decarbonize while ensuring energy security and affordability.


 * Current high energy prices have put energy efficiency at the top of the energy
policy agenda in many OECD countries. The current crisis should be an
opportunity to increase and anchor energy saving and efficiency measures as
they are the fundamental basis of any scenario to reach the Paris agreement
objectives.


 * In the OECD, the electrification of end-user demand thanks to clean power is a
structural evolution that helps reduce emissions and increase energy
efficiency. The biggest impacts are to be found in road transport (Light
Vehicles, 2-3 wheelers, Heavy Duty Vehicles) and industry. Strong public
policies such as the ban on sales of new internal combustion vehicles in
Europe and California are important to drive evolutions in demand. Heavy
investment in electrical grids at state and interstate levels are fundamental
requirements for the success of this electrification.


 * In non-OECD countries, in particular in Africa, the switch away from
traditional biomass to modern energy is core to increasing energy efficiency
while providing affordable energy access, better living standards and economic
development to growing populations.


 * Renewables, already the main driver of the decarbonization of the power mix,
are experiencing a higher and faster penetration as energy security becomes a
key concern for many countries.


 * With the increased penetration of renewables globally, natural gas keeps a key
role in the energy transition to ensure firm power, in addition to pushing out
coal in all sectors of final demand. Gas will become greener over time and its
growth is accompanied by carbon capture and methane emissions control
solutions.


 * H(2) and Sustainable Liquid Fuels based on e-fuels are promising
decarbonization drivers, but they will not scale up before 2030; in the
meantime, renewable diesel and biogas are expected to pick up. Once at scale,
hydrogen and hydrogen-based fuels will increase demand for clean power and
carbon abated gas by more than 10% by 2050.


 * The transition will require a step up in spending to build a new low carbon
energy system and maintain the existing one for a while. The current decade is
decisive. Investment in low carbon power must double to 2030 to reach 1.5
T$/year. Meanwhile, investment in new oil and gas developments is required
until at least the mid-2030s to satisfy customer demand, even in a well below
2°C scenario.


 * Massive investment in clean tech R&D is needed to develop the technologies
that will power this new energy system. TotalEnergies is committed to this
transition and devotes already more than 60% of its R&D Budget to clean
tech.

***

About TotalEnergies

TotalEnergies is a global multi-energy company that produces and markets
energies: oil and biofuels, natural gas and green gases, renewables and
electricity. Our more than 100,000 employees are committed to energy that is
ever more affordable, cleaner, more reliable and accessible to as many people
as possible. Active in more than 130 countries, TotalEnergies puts sustainable
development in all its dimensions at the heart of its projects and operations
to contribute to the well-being of people.

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Cautionary Note

The terms “TotalEnergies”, “TotalEnergies company” or “Company” in
this document are used to designate TotalEnergies SE and the consolidated
entities that are directly or indirectly controlled by TotalEnergies SE.
Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” may also be used to refer
to these entities or to their employees. The entities in which TotalEnergies
SE directly or indirectly owns a shareholding are separate legal entities.
This document may contain forward-looking information and statements that are
based on a number of economic data and assumptions made in a given economic,
competitive and regulatory environment. They may prove to be inaccurate in the
future and are subject to a number of risk factors. Neither TotalEnergies SE
nor any of its subsidiaries assumes any obligation to update publicly any
forward-looking information or statement, objectives or trends contained in
this document whether as a result of new information, future events or
otherwise. Information concerning risk factors, that may affect
TotalEnergies’ financial results or activities is provided in the most
recent Universal Registration Document, the French-language version of which
is filed by TotalEnergies SE with the French securities regulator Autorité
des Marchés Financiers (AMF), and in the Form 20-F filed with the United
States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

TotalEnergies Contacts 

Media Relations: +33 (0)1 47 44 46 99 l presse@totalenergies.com
(mailto:presse@totalenergies.com) l @TotalEnergiesPR 
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Investor Relations: +33 (0)1 47 44 46 46 l ir@totalenergies.com
(mailto:ir@totalenergies.com)



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