** Brokerage Cowen sees potential for modest upside to Q1
EPS for health insurers due to lower utilization and
lower-than-expected COVID-related costs
** Sees health insurers as well-positioned in 2021-22
** Key items to watch are early commentary on non-COVID
utilization and 2021 expectations, updated expectations on
COVID-19 testing/treatment costs, and the outlook for commercial
membership growth - Cowen
** A stronger-than-expected commercial outlook could be an
additional source of upside for Anthem Inc ANTM.N , Cigna Corp
CI.N , and UnitedHealth Group UNH.N , as well as Centene Corp
CNC.N , CVS Health Corp CVS.N and Humana Inc HUM.N , albeit
to a lesser extent
** Brokerage expects Q1 commercial membership to remain
flattish; expect it to grow sequentially in Q2
** Cowen also confident in the 2022 outlook for health
insurers
** ANTM, CI, UNH, CVS, HUM, MOH up between 6% and 48.5% in
the last 12 months, while CNC down 6.3% and OSCR down 31.2%
since starting to trade in March
Company Name Q1 EPS estimates
Anthem Inc $6.41
Cigna Corp $4.25
Centene Corp $1.73
Humana Inc $7
Molina Healthcare $3.99
MOH.N
Oscar Health OSCR.N 51 cents
UnitedHealth $4.42
(Reporting by Trisha Roy in Bengaluru)
((Trisha.Roy@thomsonreuters.com; within U.S. +1 646 223 8780,
outside U.S. +91 80 6182 3635;))