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Factbox: Major brokerages' forecasts for S&P 500 index in 2026

FACTBOX-Major brokerages' forecasts for S&P 500 index in 2026

Updates with UBS GWM, HSBC and Barclays' S&P 500 target

- Top brokerages expect the benchmark S&P 500 index .SPX to extend its rally in 2026, betting on AI momentum and strong corporate earnings, while the war in Iran continues to weigh on investor sentiment.

Strategists expect AI-led earnings strength to offset the short-term economic impact from the conflict in the Middle East, even as concerns over higher inflation and disruption to global energy flows persist.

HSBC and UBS Global Wealth Management raised their index targets over the 8,000 mark, while Barclays also lifted its forecast to 7,950.

The following are some of the forecasts on the performance of U.S. stocks this year:

Forecasts for stocks:

Brokerage

2026 S&P 500 index target

BofA Global Research

7,100

Jefferies

7,500

Canaccord Genuity

7,500

BNP Paribas

7,500

Evercore ISI

7,750

Seaport Research Partners

7,800

RBC Capital Markets

7,900

Wells Fargo

7,950

Barclays

7,950

J.P.Morgan

8,000

Deutsche Bank

8,000

Societe Generale

8,000

Goldman Sachs

8,000

Morgan Stanley

8,000

UBS Global Research

8,100

Oppenheimer Asset Management

8,100

Citigroup

8,100

UBS Global Wealth Management

8,100

HSBC

8,100

Wells Fargo Investment Institute

7,800-8,000

* UBS Global Research and UBS Global Wealth Management are distinct, independent divisions in UBS Group

* Wells Fargo Investment Institute is a wholly owned subsidiary of Wells Fargo Bank


(Compiled by the Broker Research team in Bengaluru; Editing by Sriraj Kalluvila, Tasim Zahid, Mrigank Dhaniwala, Shailesh Kuber and Rashmi Aich)

((mailto: akriti.shah@thomsonreuters.com))

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