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Netherlands' UMG H1 revenue rises, but misses estimates

Netherlands' UMG H1 revenue rises, but misses estimates


Overview

  • Netherlands music entertainment group's H1 revenue rose 5% but missed analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EBITDA for H1 declined 2% and missed analyst expectations

  • Revenue growth driven by Downtown acquisition, streaming price hikes, and strong physical sales


Outlook

  • Company did not provide specific guidance for the current quarter or full year in the press release


Result Drivers

  • DOWNTOWN ACQUISITION - Revenue growth was driven by the consolidation of Downtown Music Holdings

  • STREAMING PRICE INCREASES - Higher streaming subscription revenue reflected pricing benefits from Streaming 2.0 agreements

  • MERCHANDISING DECLINE - Merchandising and Other revenue fell due to the timing of tours and product releases


Company press release: ID:nPn1t6dHva


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

H1 Revenue

Miss

EUR 6.19 bln

EUR 6.46 bln (5 Analysts)

H1 Adjusted EBITDA

Miss

EUR 1.31 bln

EUR 1.43 bln (5 Analysts)

H1 Operating Profit

EUR 901 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 14 "strong buy" or "buy", 6 "hold" and 3 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the entertainment production peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Universal Music Group NV is €23.50, about 18.7% above its July 29 closing price of €19.81

  • The stock recently traded at 18 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 15 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • July 28 - Sweden's Storytel Q2 sales rise 12%, lifts 2026 EBITDA outlook

  • July 30 - Sirius XM slightly beats Q2 revenue estimates, raises 2026 guidance

  • July 28 - France's M6 H1 revenue rises on streaming strength; expects positive cash flow impact from World Cup in H2


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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