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Earnings Poll: Polish retailer Zabka seen posting first-quarter net loss due to financing costs

Zabka first-quarter results due May 12

Net loss seen at 88 mln zlotys

GDANSK, May 7 (Reuters) - Polish convenience store chain Zabka ZAB.WA is expected to report a first-quarter net loss of 88 million zlotys ($23.4 million), mainly due to high net financing costs stemming from interest expenses, a Reuters poll showed on Wednesday.

Analysts from five banks and brokerages expect Zabka's adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) to rise 15% year-on-year to 593 million zlotys, supported by continued store expansion and steady like-for-like sales growth.

The retailer is expected to have opened a net total of 335 stores in the first quarter of 2025, bringing its store count to 11,404, a 10% increase from a year earlier, as the company continues its aggressive expansion strategy.

Zabka, which made its debut on the Warsaw Stock Exchange in October 2024 with a 6.45 billion zloty initial public offering, recently joined Poland's blue-chip index, the WIG20.

The following table summarises analysts' forecasts for Zabka for the first quarter of 2025:

(Figures in millions of zlotys unless stated otherwise)

NET PROFITADJ.EBITDAREVENUEEBIT
Average-885935813104
Median-836005853105
Lowest-1125555650100
Highest-646105897108
No. of forecasts5554
Q1 2024-975185015129
Q4 20242169876885421
Forecasts provided by: Trigon DM, Pekao DM, mBank DM, Santander DMBank, Ipopema. ($1 = 3.7618 zlotys) (Reporting by Marta Maciag; Editing by Jan Harvey) ((Marta.maciag@thomsonreuters.com))

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