** Shares of Maersk MAERSKb.CO and Hapag-Lloyd HLAG.DE
dive 3% and 4%, respectively, after Citi downgrades global
shipping groups citing the "end of rate upcycle"
** The broker double-downgrades Maersk to "sell" from "buy",
cuts Hapag-Lloyd to "sell" from "neutral", and ZIM Integrated
Shipping Services ZIM.N to "neutral" from "buy"
** The broker deems the sector "underweight" as economic
indicators imply a threat to demand
** Freight rates are peaking in Q3, mainly driven by
annualisation of contract rates, while demand indicators point
to a deeper slowdown, Citi says
** It points to U.S. home sales and inflation as leading
indicators for container demand, with recent data pointing to a
big downside in consumption urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL1N2Z71AO urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL1N2ZL0KI
** Citi also sees a risk to stability with alliance
structure breakdown in 2023 as the 2M alliance, controlling 80%
of the market, is threatened by EU regulation
** It slashes Maersk's target price by 91% to DKK 14,750,
Hapag-Lloyd's by 98% to EUR 212, and ZIM's by 133% to $51.50
** Analysts have previously pointed to declining freight
rates as a threat to earnings urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL8N2ZO46V
** Maersk is the worst performer on Europe's Stoxx 600 index
.STOXX
(Reporting by Jacob Rasmussen)
((jacob.rasmussen@thomsonreuters.com))