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Zscaler slashes annual free cash flow outlook as capex jumps

Zscaler slashes annual free cash flow outlook as capex jumps


Overview

  • US cloud security firm's fiscal Q3 revenue grew 25%, beating analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for fiscal Q3 beat consensus at $1.08

  • FY26 free cash flow outlook gets cut as capital expenditure rises


Outlook

  • Zscaler expects Q4 revenue of $875 mln to $878 mln, up about 22%

  • Company raises FY26 revenue guidance to $3.3295 bln-$3.3325 bln from $3.309 bln-$3.322 bln

  • Zscaler lowers FY26 free cash flow margin outlook to 22.8%-23.3% from 26.5%-27%


Result Drivers

  • CUSTOMER EXPANSION - Co said results were driven by attracting new customers and expanding with existing customers

  • PRODUCT INNOVATION - Co cited ongoing investment in product innovation, including AI-driven security solutions, as a driver of growth

  • RED CANARY ACQUISITION - ARR growth included a contribution from the Red Canary acquisition; organic ARR growth was lower

  • CAPEX INCREASE - Free cash flow margin of approximately 22.8 to 23.3%, down from our prior expectation of 26.5 to 27%, reflecting capex in the high single-digits as a percent of revenue


Company press release: ID:nGNX4ySMqp


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Revenue

Beat

$850.48 mln

$835.39 mln (40 Analysts)

Q3 Adjusted EPS

Beat

$1.08

$1.009 (41 Analysts)

Q3 EPS

-$0.09

Q3 Adjusted Net Income

Beat

$177.90 mln

$168.24 mln (38 Analysts)

Q3 Net Income

-$13.88 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 40 "strong buy" or "buy", 10 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the software peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Zscaler Inc is $210.00, about 15.2% above its May 22 closing price of $182.37

  • The stock recently traded at 41 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 48 three months ago


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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