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Archived articleThis is an archived article from 2015 - please note that any content within the article may be out of date.

As FTSE 100 hits all-time highs, it's time to take advantage of stocks and shares

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IBTimes UK: FTSE 100 Hits All-Time Highs, So Buy Some Stock Exposure

Stock market indices worldwide have been crashing through key psychological levels to new all-time highs: 7,000 on the FTSE 100, 5,000 on the technology-heavy Nasdaq index in the US and 12,000 on the key DAX index in Germany.

But most people have missed out on this market rally

While this stock market rally sounds very glamorous, one of the key features of the current run-up in stock markets worldwide is how few people in Europe have actually taken advantage.


Figure 1: Only 18% of UK, 13% of German Households Have Exposure to Shares

55127b7990d0agerman-exposure-shares.png

Source: Office for National Statistics, US Federal Reserve, Deutsches Aktieninstitut

Take the example of the UK: only 18% of households hold exposure to shares directly or indirectly via unit trusts or other funds (Figure 1). That means 82% of households have seen no direct benefit from the doubling in value of the FTSE 100 index since the early 2009 crisis lows.

In fact, matters are even worse in Germany, where only 13% of all households had any exposure to shares or equity funds of any sort.

And you may think the doubling in value of the FTSE 100 over six years is impressive. Well think again. The German DAX index of Germany's largest 30 stocks has risen from 3,600 in early 2009 (a similar level to the FTSE back then) to over 12,000 today, more than tripling in value over the same six years.


The 2008-09 financial crisis took its toll on stock market confidence

Clearly, the big hit to stock markets from the 2008 global financial crisis (when the FTSE 100 fell nearly 50%) has put many people off investing in stocks and shares, as we can see from the drop in value of unit trusts held in Isas from 2005 to 2008 (Figure 2).

Figure 2. Amount Invested in ISA-Based Funds 84%, When FTSE 100 100%

55127bb2665a5isa-based-funds.png

Source: Investment Association


Interestingly, the total value of funds held in Isas only rose 84% from the low in 2008 to the end of 2014, while the FTSE 100 doubled. Clearly, a lot of the money held in funds in Isas was not invested in shares but rather in other assets such as government bonds.

Yet again, more evidence that many investors have not taken full advantage of the current stock market rally.

Mostly about housing

So where is the net worth of UK households held? Unsurprisingly, given the strong rebound in the UK property market over the past few years, 42% is held in housing (both primary residences and second homes, plus buy-to-let; Figure 3). Meanwhile, 35% is held in private pensions and life insurance policies (including annuities).

Figure 3. 77% of Household Wealth in Housing, Pensions and Life Insurance

55127bde441da77-household-wealth.png

Source: Office of National Statistics. Correct as of end-2013



And a full 16% of total household wealth is still held in cash savings, despite the historically low interest rates on offer. In stark contrast, only 7% of total household wealth is held directly in shares or unit trusts exposed to shares.

Time to build up your share exposure

These statistics serve to highlight most people have not benefited anything like as much as they could have from the rise in the FTSE's value. But it is never too late.

Looking today, I would make two observations. Firstly, Europe could be a good home for new share-based fund investments given the economic recovery under way and the consequent improvement in corporate profits. And secondly, one of the best low-cost ways to achieve this is through exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which are as easy to buy as any share and can be held in any self-select stocks and shares Isa.

Don't forget, time to fill up your Isa

Remember the limit for contributions to an Isa are £15,000 for the 2014-15, which ends on 5 April, two weeks from now. So if you haven't put much or even any money into a stocks and shares ISA, now could be a good time if you have any spare cash lying around earning a minimal rate of interest in a savings account.

A good ETF to buy to get exposure to the strong recovery in Continental Europe is the iShares MSCI Europe ex-UK UCITS ETF (£IEUX), which is priced in pounds but gives exposure to the largest companies in France (21%), Germany (21%) and Switzerland (21%) within Europe.

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3 comments


Avatar for PhilHofGrowYourDough

I don't have the knowledge to be able to dissect the apparent value of a bank.

I tend not to look at sectors but rather at opportunities that pop out of my screens. However that said a sector which is steaming along at present is construction. At present I hold:

Norwegian construction company - Veidekke ASA
Danish construction firm - Per Aarsleff ASA
UK house builder - Barratt Developments (LON:BDEV)

Best of luck
Phil

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Avatar for Edmund Shing

Yes Phil, I would agree that there is a lot to fish for in Continental Europe, although the obvious export names such as Autos and Aerospace & Defence have already done extremely well since the turn of the year.

I am actually fishing among selected Eurozone banks at presnet, which I feel offer a lot of value and better prospects relative to their UK or even US counterparts. Examples include BNP Paribas (my favourite), Credit Agricole and Commerzbank (for its restructuring efforts), while I note that Italian banks are also very popular among value investors at present.

To note, there is a huge amount of money coming from the US into European equities right now, given in part the currency movement and also the relatively expensive nature of the S&P 500 index relative to Europe.

Edmund

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Avatar for PhilHofGrowYourDough

Hi Edmund,

I agree that there are great opportunities in Europe. Since moving to the European version of Stockopedia in May 2013 it feels as if the UK small cap field is a small pond with the same tired small caps resurfacing. It can be a real challenge to keep your cash in your pocket when you know the markets are on a strong bull run but all you are being presented with is marginal value.

In contrast, by fishing in a bigger pond one doesn't have to compromise on the quality of the opportunity which you invest in. The European stocks I hold are really bullish at present and I hold stocks from Germany, France, Sweden, Norway, Denmark and Portugal.

Whilst I can understand that some investors might want a low cost way of gaining exposure to European stocks, I'd really encourage them to upgrade to the European version of Stockopedia and take control of their stock selections rather than relying on a fund manager.

There are extra costs including increased dealing fees & issues around tax on dividends however for me the quality of the opportunities and the resultant gains outweigh these factors.

Best of luck
Phil

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