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Daily Stock Market Report (Wed 31st Dec 2025) - KR1, ECOB, FXPO, GST, PXS

Good morning! I’ll be with you for the last day of 2025. A reminder that the UK Stock Market will close at 12:30 today, for New Year’s Eve.

12:30 - Report Complete

As expected, very few piece of news. I will be keeping my eyes open for late RNS today as some companies will still need to report audited financials to avoid suspension on Friday.

The winner of the last minute repreive from suspension is Orcadian Energy (LON:ORCA) with 45 mins to go to the Market Close. Who would have thought it would have taken that long to add up zero revenue?!

And that's a wrap. Thanks for joining us on the DSMR in 2025. Wishing you all a happy and prosperous New Year.

Spreadsheet accompanying this report: link (updated to 16/12).


Companies Reporting

Name (Mkt Cap)RNSSummaryOur view (Author)

Harbour Energy (LON:HBR) (£2.79bn | SR66)

Harbour appointed operator of Zama project

Operatorship agreed by the Zama partners, including Pemex, Grupo Carso and Talos Energy.
Zama oil field is estimated to contain approximately 750 mmboe of gross recoverable resources. The next step will be to complete engineering and design work in 2026 ahead of a final investment decision.

Ferrexpo (LON:FXPO) (£456m | SR72)

End of year letter from Interim Executive Chair

During the year:
- broadened premium-grade iron ore product mix, exporting more concentrate than ever before
- moved quickly to lower costs
- withholding of VAT refunds forced our decision to reduce working hours and place some colleagues on furlough
- remained viable and continue to operate, albeit at reduced capacity levels
Continue to operate in a time of war and under martial law, protecting our people first and foremost and doing everything we can to preserve the integrity of our assets

RED = (Mark) [no section below]
There’s nothing that we don’t already know in this summary of the year. The company is doing what it can to continue to operate in incredibly difficult conditions.
In terms of share price, this appears to have become a way for investors to bet on the outcome of the Ukraine-Russia war, with the share price being moved by news of that conflict, rather than the usual corporate metrics.
However, even if we have a swift resolution to the conflict, the political issues here remain, regarding ownership, and VAT refunds. Plus, we know that mining and power infrastructure have been targeted, meaning a return to significantly higher production will probably take time and maybe additional capital. So I don’t see any reason to change our negative view, based on the risks, anytime soon.

Kr1 (LON:KR1) (£42.5m | SR35)

Financial Update (November ’25)

Staking Income £211k, NAV 30 Nov £58.3m.

AMBER/RED (Mark) [no section below]
On the surface, this appears to be trading at a reasonable discount to NAV. However, these assets are crypto-tokens, which are very volatile. I don’t care about this enough to do a proper valuation, but this is the type of thing AI can be very useful for. ChatGPT does an approximate valuation for me, based on their published holdings, saying “31 Dec 2025 (Estimated): ~£48–£50m - down roughly ~14%–18% from 30 Nov”. So the actual discount today is only around 13%. Of course, any structure like this should trade at a discount to reflect the management and listing fees that have to be met from assets or staking income. If investors really valued the portfolio structure here, they could mirror it and avoid the fees.
So this strikes me as a vehicle set up for investors who don’t understand crypto-currencies to speculate in crypto-currencies, which sounds like a bad idea to me . (At least for the investors; I’m sure someone somewhere does well out of it!)
This, combined with the current discount not being particularly big compared to other listed investment funds in assets such as property, and no dividend yield, means I take a mostly negative view of this company.

Eco Buildings (LON:ECOB) (£19.8m | SR14)

Update on Senegal Joint Venture Payment

Now expects to receive the initial €1.75 million deposit from G2 Invest in mid-February 2026, representing a key milestone in advancing the Senegal joint venture.

RED = (Mark) [no section below]
Eco-buildings may be “pleased” to provide an update on its Senegalese JV. However, when they say they now expect “to receive the initial €1.75 million deposit from G2 Invest in mid-February 2026” they neglect to say how this compares to previous expectations. It is only by looking back to their Oct 7th RNS, that I find out that this was previously going to be received in December 2025.
These sort of delays are par-for-the-course when dealing with construction companies in the parts of the world that Eco-buildings operate in. However, when so much of the value here is based on future contracts that are being funded from these types of deposits, actually being paid the deposits on time and in full, is one of the key indicators of whether they have a viable enterprise. Hence this news reinforces our previously negative stance on this unproven enterprise.

Provexis (LON:PXS) (£19.8m | SR16)Half-year Financial ReportH1 Revenue -53% to £364k, U/L Op Loss £155k (24H1: £98k Loss).
“In the coming months, based on its current level of cash, the Group may therefore need to raise further equity finance or potentially new loan finance.”
RED (Mark) [no section below]
The first of our companies beating the deadline for reporting to avoid suspension. In this case, it is the three months to get unaudited interims out there.
Significantly lower revenue and an increased loss is not a good look for a company trading on 15x Price-to-Sales.
They flag the need for fresh equity very soon, and while they have been successful selling the story here in the past, placings for speculative microcaps usually come with huge discounts. Until this is out the way (and probably even after the raise, given the very high valuation for a tiny business) my view remains firmly negative.

East Star Resources (LON:EST) (£16m | SR17)

VMS Drilling Update

Deep intervals of Zn-Cu mineralisation intersected in three drill holes. Typically around 1% Zinc and 0.1% Copper.
Shallow extension of mineralisation to the north
Confirmed area of study for 2026 on shallower resources.

GSTechnologies (LON:GST) (£12m | SR1)

End of MiCA Transitional Period in Lithuania

Following the submission of a MiCA license application to the Bank of Lithuania in September, GS Fintech UAB has not obtained crypto-asset service provider (CASP) authorisation under MiCA by the end of the transitional period, which expires on 31 December 2025.
Plans to resubmit its application to the Bank of Lithuania in Q1 2026 and in the meantime, to ensure trading continuity without interruption

RED = (Mark) [no section below]

This sounds like bad news. In my opinion, regulation in the crypto-space is low, so for a company not to have been granted a crypto-asset service provider authorisation in Lithuania is a bad sign for me. I can’t find any segmental analysis in their results to tell us how much of the revenue this susiduary represents, and the company plans to resubmit its application. However, this news underlines our negative position on this Sucker Stock.
Orcadian Energy (LON:ORCA) (£10.9m | SR13)Results for the year ended 30 June 2025Operating Loss £910k (FY24:£837k), Cash 30 Jun £77k, 31 Dec £326k following a small fund raising through the issue of convertible loan notes.

* Market caps at previous trading day’s close

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29 comments


Avatar for eggbaconandbubble

Very few companies in the DSMR recently warranting a GREEN!

6
Avatar for jamesalastair
13
Avatar for bohenie

Isn't this old news from 2022 ?

3
Avatar for Jon F
1
Avatar for bohenie

Think its panto time - Oh no its isn't. Read the article - its old news - mention of Ben Wallace Defence secretary gives it away.

1
Avatar for Jon F

I'll get my coat...

0
Avatar for Jon F

"The winner of the last minute repreive from suspension is Orcadian Energy (LON:ORCA) with 45 mins to go to the Market Close. Who would have thought it would have taken that long to add up zero revenue?!"

I nearly spilt my beer laughing!! :)))

13
Avatar for ctoman

Tortilla Mexican Grill (LON:MEX) - no news today but can anyone explain why the share has been on the move in the last couple of months?  I hold but I'm worried about the expansion into France.

3
Avatar for snowdrop

New protein products a big success wid Di yooth firm says and now being tipped [money week]

3
Avatar for Subparstockpicks

Thanks all for all your hard work over the past year, and happy new year!

16
Avatar for raigersfield

Adding my appreciation for your coverage which has taken it to an entirely new level

27
Avatar for snowdrop

Seraphim Space Investment Trust (LON:SSIT) The red braces bloke who writes on ii tipped this yesterday Ian?), hence the leap yesterday (when I was expecting a fall!)

10
Avatar for bohenie

Was also mentioned by Ian Cowie in the Sunday Times

7
Avatar for bohenie

Sylvania Platinum (LON:SLP) down over 8% this morning - ?

2
Avatar for Mark Simpson

Spot platinum down 8%, was down 10% at one point. And of course, Sylvania Platinum (LON:SLP) is geared to PGM prices.

15
Avatar for bohenie

Thanks - but intrigued Valterra Platinum (LON:VALT) only down 2%

3
Avatar for snowdrop

bohenie. Hot money is attracted to 'one way bet' perceptions ie certain metals atm. SLP is £280M market cap, VALT is 17BN, so likely to be less volatile.

5
Avatar for Wigge

It's also at the top of its trend channel so there will be profit takers too. It's likely to pull back and test it's recent breakout level in my view. I hold.

6
Avatar for jamesalastair

The margin requirements on COMEX increased, so hit Ag, Pt and Rh prices as highly leveraged traders were forced to liquidate long positions. The cynic might say COMEX is protecting the solvency of the traders - mostly banks - who are short. Afterall LBMA pissed a lot of their credibility into the wind in less than 1 week (4th to 8th March, 2022) when they unwound legal Nickel contracts last year ... "to bring order to the market".

The true price is set in Shanghai on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange for Pt which is a physical delivery market. Shanghai silver prices are at an 8 USD premium to paper COMEX prices which should tell you everything you need to know. I wrote about the silver 10% crash here: Why Today’s Silver Crash Is Paper‑Driven, Not Fundamental. 

Same story with Pt and the miners follow the commodity with CC of close to 0.8. It is my belief that given the huge deficits in PGMs (have a look at mining supply and COMEX, LBMA inventories), Shanghai will expose COMEX for what it is: an overleveraged paper market with little behind it. Each paper contract only has 1/25th of the physical metal behind it. The Chinese set out to win this game 20 years ago and we were all asleep.

I'm still buying Pt miners, Ag  miners and Rh paper.

Have fun and happy Hogamanay!

37
Avatar for Blissgull

Interesting announcement from Seplat Energy SEPL.L 

The transfer of a 20% stake at a substantial premium to last night's closing price. 

8
Avatar for bohenie

I held this for a short time earlier this year but got nervous of the country and sold out  - better for those who know the market

1
Avatar for Mark Simpson

Thanks, have you got a source for this? It doesn't seem to be announced on the reg news on here, or their website: https://www.seplatenergy.com/i...

And I can't see it in the publised trades.

0
Avatar for bohenie

Its there on the Stocko share page - just read it - but misleading headline

2
Avatar for Blissgull

Mark, sorry my fault. It was not announced by Seplat but by the seller. The announcement is on the Stocko page as bohenie says.

2
Avatar for Mark Simpson

Thanks, I tend to ignore the Reuters headlines as they usually just summarise the same news, just in this case, they reported something fresh.

In terms of deal, I wonder if this has been negotiated for a couple of months and hence the price was based on previous highs. While it is certianly unusual for a block to be sold at a premium, I'm not sure we can conclude that much from the sale. M&P are usually considered pretty savvy, so if they are selling they must see better opportnities elsewhere. Conversely, Heirs are Nigerian and privatley owned so have local knowledge.  So it certianly helps underpin the valuation of Seplat Energy (LON:SEPL) but I'm not sure it indicates that there is signifcant value above the 305p price.

5
Avatar for Rusty2

It is under Reuters news, which is not picked up on Stockopedia news. 

2
Avatar for Marcus

Many thanks for all your insights and stock deep dives throughout the year Mark - much appreciated. Same goes for the rest of the crew: Roland, Graham & Ed. It's been a good year for the portfolio thanks in no short measure to the ideas flagged up by the Stocko team. They and the knowledgable posters on this platform have greatly assisted my efforts to provide a safe and comfortable retirement for my family. Many thanks and a happy New Year to all.

120
Avatar for Mark Simpson

Thanks for your kind words Marcus, they are much appreciated. It is great to hear that our writing has played even a small part in providing a safe and comfortable retirement for your family. That is largely they reason why Ed started Stocko and why we write about stocks.

50
Avatar for djlcollinge

I would echo these comments.

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