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Archived articleThis is an archived article from 2024 - please note that any content within the article may be out of date.

Investment Trust-Thoughts (April 2024)

Investment Trust- Thoughts (April 2024)

For more information on Investment trusts visit:

Association of Investment Companies.

https://www.theaic.co.uk/
Free to sign up. On the site you can create portfolios, screen and compare Investment Trusts by Geographic region, Sector , Yield and more. A few Trusts who are not AIC members have limited data.

The Investment Trust Handbook by Jonathan Davies has articles and data on Investment Trusts. The 2024 edition is out now.
Available online or from Jonathan Davies's website https://money-makers.co/.
You can also sign up(Paid membership) for insights on Investment Trusts from him and others. Weekly email and podcast .

Citywire do a daily Investment trust email. Free, does have sponsored content but keeps you up to-date with Investment Trust news.

https://citywire.com/investment-trust-insider

Trustnet have an Investment trust section. https://www.trustnet.com/

Plenty of performance data on that site.

Edison cover Investment Companies and do a monthly Investment trust round up. You can sign up for free.

https://www.edisongroup.com/equities/investment-companies/.

You can sign up for newsletters/fact sheets from most of the Investment Trusts on their websites.

For ETF's I use https://www.justetf.com/uk/. You can screen buy region, sector and see performance comparisons.

March 2024 Investment Trust monthly performance. 

Equity invested only.

Top 10

Schiehallion Fund (LON:MNTN) +38.6%

British and American Investment Trust (LON:BAF) +12.5%

Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LON:SMT) +11.6%

Hipgnosis Songs Fund (LON:SONG) +10.4%

Ecofin Global Utilities and Infrastructure Trust (LON:EGL)+8.9%

Blackrock Sustainable American Income Trust (LON:BRSA) +7.9%

Fidelity European Trust (LON:FEV) +7.9%

Manchester And London Investment Trust (LON:MNL) +7.1%

Lowland Investment (LON:LWI) +7%

Henderson Eurotrust (LON:HNE) +6.8%

Bottom 10


India Capital Growth Fund (LON:IGC) -14.5%

Crystal Amber Fund (LON:CRS) -12.9%

Molten Ventures (LON:GROW) -10.9%

Sure Ventures (LON:SURE) -10.4%

Cordiant Digital Infrastructure (LON:CORD) -9.9%

Jupiter Green Investment Trust (LON:JGC) -6.7%

Downing Strategic Micro-Cap Investment Trust (LON:DSM) -6.5%

Chrysalis Investments (LON:CHRY) -6.3%

River and Mercantile UK Micro Cap Investment (LON:RMMC) -5.8%


All funds


Top 5

Schiehallion Fund (LON:MNTN) +38.6%

Golden Prospect Precious Metals (LON:GPM) +28.6%

Custodian Property Income Reit (LON:CREI) +13.1%

CQS Natural Resources Growth and Income (LON:CYN) +12.8%

British and American Investment Trust (LON:BAF) +12.5%

Bottom 5


Gresham House Energy Storage Fund (LON:GRID) -33.7%

India Capital Growth Fund (LON:IGC) -14.5%

Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust (LON:ORIT) -14.4%

Macau Property Opportunities Fund (LON:MPO) -14.1%

Disclaimer

This is not financial advice. Our content is intended to be used and must be used for information and education purposes only. Please read our disclaimer and terms and conditions to understand our obligations.

176 comments


Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Utilico Emerging Markets Trust (LON:UEM) Interview with Charles Jillings, Portfolio Manager, re recent trip to Latin America. https://vimeo.com/londonbroadc...

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

New research from Edison on Henderson Far East Income (LON:HFEL) (I hold). https://cdn.janushenderson.com...

Summary " Henderson Far East Income (HFEL) has consistently delivered on its
objective to provide a rising dividend. However, like many investors,
HFEL’s managers overestimated the potential for a post-pandemic rebound
in China. The trust’s resultant overweight to Chinese consumer and other
cyclicals led to a fall in portfolio revenues and underperformance in the
financial year ended 31 August 2023 (FY23). With a view to improving
future returns, HFEL’s board has since indicated an increased willingness
to use reserves when necessary to support dividend payments, which it
did in FY23. This reduces the requirement to focus primarily on high
income names to fund dividend payments, giving lead manager Sat Duhra
scope to move into other areas of the market where he can acquire wellpriced value names offering performance and yield, or the prospect of
dividend growth over time. Duhra has been quick to reduce the trust’s
exposure to China and increase positions into well-priced value names in
India and Indonesia. Early signs suggest this repositioning is paying off -
HFEL outperformed the market in the six months to end March 2024."

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Avatar for Rusty2

Hello Charles, you have Henderson Opportunities Trust (LON:HOT) down 79%, but looking at Stockopedia chart that does not seem correct.

3
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Hi Rusty, Will remove- not sure where that came from- could have been a data blip. Thanks

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Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

Thanks for the replies, much appreciated, I enjoyed reading them all. It's a good community of PIs on this board, long may it continue.

I hadn't realised there had been a change of policy at Henderson Far East Income (LON:HFEL). Interesting but I will stick with Schroder Oriental Income Fund (LON:SOI) for now.

I'm hopeful the progress at Schroder Real Estate Investment Trust (LON:SREI) continues as the dividend is worth it. I still say the market doesn't like Tritax EuroBox (LON:EBOX) but I have no evidence to back that up other than a widening discount.

Ken, good to hear your health issues are progressing, long may that continue. You have have helped me so much with my thinking on trusts and dividends, I appreciate that. Like others on this board, I wish you well.

SSB

14
Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

fwiw, one or two thoughts....

My portfolio has done well recently, I need to update my spreadsheet to understand performance year to date but I can see that I'm up versus the closing balance back in December. with the exception of Primary Health Properties (LON:PHP), any losers I have in my portfolio are on small single digits. Pleasing but worrying at the same time! Mainly because I still have cash to invest but also because I'm always thinking something will go wrong. Perhaps I'm benefitting from cutting my losers more quickly ? May and June are always big dividend months so I'm optimistic.

Charles, you mentioned emerging markets recently. I thought the following podcast interview with the managers of BlackRock Frontiers Investment Trust (LON:BRFI) was good. Looking at my iPhone podcast app, there is the option to read the transcript of this interview but that option is unfortunately not available on this link. There is an interesting discussion at the start on the AIC promotion and relegation between frontier markets, emerging markets etc and the comment is made that this process is actually far more arbitrary than retail investors understand. Some good points made on the fact that EM countries are no longer pure resource plays and dependent on the US dollar. I d find myself asking why I would take the risk for a 4% dividend.

https://tinyurl.com/2f3netyv

Ken, thanks for posting on the REITs again. The interest rate cuts are not materialising which makes Loan to Debt percentages and debt financing all the more important. I hold Primary Health Properties (LON:PHP) which refuses to increase in value but still pays out a 7% dividend yield. And Schroder Real Estate Investment Trust (LON:SREI) which has come off lows in SP terms, also pays out a 7%+ dividend and still on a massive 30% discount to NAV. I'm a little reluctant to invest more in property as I think there are sectors with better prospects. I keep an eye on some of your favourites though - Alternative Income REIT (LON:AIRE) and Aew UK Reit (LON:AEWU). I recall being impressed by an interview with Laura Elkins of Aew UK Reit (LON:AEWU). If I recall correctly, there is an element of improving properties arather than just running them and therefore actively trying to increase the NAV.

Even on average days now, Japan trusts in general tend to do well (I follow Nippon Active Value Fund (LON:NAVF) and AVI Japan Opportunity Trust (LON:AJOT) although I own Japan as part of my holding in AVI Global Trust (LON:AGT)). In addition, the UK Smaller Companies and UK Equity Income Sectors also seem to be coming to life a little. I'm happy with my recent purchases so far.

I sold Henderson Far East Income (LON:HFEL) a while back. No point in getting a big dividend if the SP is constantly declining. I bought Schroder Oriental Income Fund (LON:SOI) instead and whilst a much lower dividend, it's less volatile which is something I prefer. Again, the sector in general seems to be doing better recently than in prior years.

e04654dc-a193-40d5-b7f9-386edd69a8cb.png

Again, right click and open image in new tab to see the detail.

One final thought for now.... I bought a small stake in HgCapital Trust (LON:HGT) a few months back when it was trading at a 15% to 20% discount to NAV. At the time, I thought it was either clearly undervalued by the market (and therefore a good buying opportunity) or there was something clearly wrong with it and I just didn't understand that.  Discount has since closed to 6% and it seems my first thought was the correct one. Only issue is I didn't buy enough of it! Next time.... :-)  

Feedback welcome.

SSB

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

SSB- I will continue to hold HFEL- I do believe that there is a change going on within the managers and we will see capital growth as well as income. 

I am committed to emerging markets- might have too large a % of portfolios in them but all I have read/observed makes me convinced that over the next 10 years there will be huge growth in these regions. All the indicators- education, widespread energy and lower family sizes have been historically been key indicators. Savings seem to be increasing in these regions. 

 I am not an economic expert but the above makes sense to me.  Economic growth should lead to increased domestic expenditure as incomes rise.

I like buying undervalued assets- so many of the property trust are looking attractive-contemplating buying Real Estate Investors (LON:RLE) . 

Trading the discount can be productive- I do this when I spot a discrepancy as you did with HGT

9
Avatar for KevinS1

Hi SSB,

Henderson Far East Income (LON:HFEL) issued its HY report on Friday and a very interesting note came out as well from Edison.

It highlighted that the more recent poor performance was as a result of the manager piling into Chinese stocks when China reopened in anticipation of a market reopening which as we know never materialised.

However, more recently they had moved out of these stocks and instead refocussed on better quality (although lower dividend) stocks which have a better chance of a greater total return and a growing dividend.  This has been supported by the decision to also continue to cover the dividend from reserves.

I feel with the spread of other investments across India, Taiwan, Indonesia etc then it should have a good future - the 3mth & 6mth returns (12% & 19%) are very good and I am hopeful of this performance continuing so currently am very happy to hold.

11
Avatar for ken mitchell

Hi SSB. 

I’m also holding Henderson Far East Income (LON:HFEL) and with increasing confidence for reasons already posted recently by other posters here. It’s the future that counts now and not the failed tactics and some awful investment decisions in the past. BUT I would never buy a share or Trust that I don’t like, however convincing the investment case for it. . Far better to have confidence when buying. 

As for the REITS……some made significant gains on Friday. As soon as this week we might know whether that was another one day blip or the market starting to price in better prospects. It’s not just lower interest rates buy also improving prospects for the UK (and Europe if holding Schroder European Real Estate Investment Trust (LON:SERE)  and Tritax EuroBox (LON:EBOX) , economies. AND any interest rate cut ahead will likely get priced in via share price recovery ahead of it actually happening. 

As for HgCapital Trust (LON:HGT), I haven’t looked for a while but I used to hold  when it had a great record of realisations well above purchase price. I took the profits and switched to Oakley Capital Investments (LON:OCI) and Harbourvest Global Private Equity (LON:HVPE) and both have done well, especially so Oakley Capital Investments (LON:OCI).

Finally off topic and I hope little noticed but as you asked a while ago……..I’ve now got an excellent team working on my apparently almost unique sepsis problem. At last they have found via blood cultures what the infection in my blood is and scans are showing up where too. The uniqueness is because 2 years of this apparently deadly infection in my blood, leading to frequent rigours has not,  as is usual, resulted in potentially fatal sepsis, and in between the rigours, my health is surprisingly good. So I’m not even in hospital! So as well as doing  everything they can to save my life,  mine seems to be a one off case. So  it’s very  useful to them from research angle too. Meanwhile I read and post on investments to keep my mind off it all. 

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Hope they get it sorted for you Ken.

China= I bought HSBC MSCI China UCITS ETF USD (LON:HMCH) at the end of March- currently up 5%. I am looking at buying a trust as well- Had a bad experience with Fidelity China Special Situations (LON:FCSS) so thinking of Jpmorgan China Growth & Income (LON:JCGI) with it's 6% yield. It is the worst performer over 1 and 3 years- hopefully it will now pick up ! There are only 3 Trusts to choose from https://www.theaic.co.uk/inves...

5
Avatar for TBInvestor

All the very best Ken!!

5
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Having another look Odyssean Investment Trust (LON:OIT) after getting Q1 2024 update through by email. 

  • Top 10 positions as % of NAV2

    Elementis Industrials 15.5 
  • NCC 12.9
  • Gooch &Housego 6.9
    Ascential 10.5
  • Spire Healthcare 5.9
    Ascential 10.5 
  • XP Power 8.7
  • Xaar 7.4
  • Dialight 5.7
    James Fisher 5.0
     Benchmark 4.8
  • Total 83.3%

Video presentation is here 

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Having listened to the OIT presentation I will be buying on Monday. I was impressed by the managers and many of the holdings are companies I have been considering investing Spire Healthcare (LON:SPI) , James Fisher And Sons (LON:FSJ) and Xaar (LON:XAR) . So rather than buy individually I have decided to use OIT and get exposure to a few more companies as well. The top 10 holdings= 83.3% of the portfolio. 15% of the fund is in Elementis (LON:ELM) . Every 7 years shareholders can exit at NAV less costs. They also have a buyback programme to control the discount.

5
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Henderson Far East Income (LON:HFEL) ( I hold)Half year figures show an improved NAV performance and as Ken mentioned recently the share price has picked up. Link here to the fund manager's comments on the half year figures. https://www.janushenderson.com... The fund yields 10.78% and price/NAV at at par near enough. Dividends have grown at  5 year average of 2.30%. Only concern Div is only covered 0.55% but the board have committed to at least maintaining it.

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

I am a long term believer in emerging markets ( might have been a bit early on buying Blackrock Latin American Investment Trust (LON:BRLA) ). This article from Scottish Oriental is I think well argued.https://www.scottishoriental.c... I do not hold Scottish Oriental Smaller Companies Trust (LON:SST) .

7
Avatar for ken mitchell

Sorry that it’s late to be posting this info now as Henderson Far East Income (LON:HFEL) goes ex the next (modestly increased) 6.1p and 2.6% quarterly dividend tomorrow. 

What many might have missed is that  since Management  changes along with new investments approach, Henderson Far East Income (LON:HFEL) has recovered strongly at long last. So much so that it has gone from being the worst performer in the sector by far to THE best performer in the sector over 1 month, 6 months and year to date. 

It’s up 5.4% over 1 month, and next best abrdn Asian Income Fund (LON:AAIF) and Jpmorgan Asia Growth & Income (LON:JAGI) 3%. Over 6 months Henderson Far East Income (LON:HFEL) is up 12% and next bestabrdn Asian Income Fund (LON:AAIF) 10%. Year to date Henderson Far East Income (LON:HFEL) is up 8% and next best Jpmorgan Asia Growth & Income (LON:JAGI) 5.3%. 

Their latest factsheet is also positive about dividends and fwiw I think a cut which already a low risk, is now very unlikely. Here’s the link including the key text on page 3:-

https://cdn.janushenderson.com...

So the current yield is still 10.4% even after the recent share price and NAV gains. The yield was 11.5% when Henderson Far East Income (LON:HFEL) was first covered in posts here. It’s a less risky buy now than it was then as there’s evidence to show that their investment performance is improving. 

Because Henderson Far East Income (LON:HFEL) is still the worst performer over 1 year (ahead of investment policy changes) it’s quite likely that the recent improvement has gone unnoticed. 

17
Avatar for ken mitchell

Following up recent REIT posts, here are the gains for the following Trusts from their 1 year lows. IF/once fairly convinced about the case for buying any of them, and trying to narrow down the choices, there’s a case for the REITs that are still near their 1 year lows as they could play catch up. 

E.g Aew UK Reit (LON:AEWU) 1 year low was just last week and today it jumped over4%. 
 

It’s Schroder European Real Estate Investment Trust (LON:SERE) that’s at its 1 year low right now. 

Most of the others bottomed last Autumn. 

Here are the gains from those 1 year lows:-

TR Property Investment Trust (LON:TRY) 20%  Now 310p. Dividend 4.8%

Alternative Income REIT (LON:AIRE)  20% Now 67p.  Dividend 8.5% 

Tritax Big Box REIT (LON:BBOX)  20% Now 150p Dividend 4.9% 

Tritax EuroBox (LON:EBOX)  12% Now 51p Dividend 8.7% 

Schroder Real Estate Investment Trust (LON:SREI) 10% Now 45p, Dividend 7.5% 

Aew UK Reit (LON:AEWU)  6% with most of that gain from the low last week, today. Now 87p. Dividend 9.4% 

Schroder European Real Estate Investment Trust (LON:SERE) It’s at the 1 year low now.   Now 61p  Dividend 9.4% 

9
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Thanks Ken- I had spotted SERE today- I know nothing about the fund so will do some research.

0
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Ken- purchased Schroder European Real Estate Investment Trust (LON:SERE)-thanks for mentioning it . Part of their issue is in my opinion the lack of a monthly fact sheet and poor website design. May just be me but you would think these trusts on large discounts would improve their marketing. Encouraged by this "

Sir Julian Berney Bt., Chairman, commented:

"The Company is very well placed, with one of the strongest balance sheets - a net LTV of 24% and €27 million in cash - and dividend covers amongst the UK-listed peer group. The Board continues to assess opportunities to grow earnings and the evolution of the strategy to maximise shareholder returns and liquidity. The current share price discount does not reflect the strength of the portfolio, growth city exposure and local expertise of the investment manager."

Let us hope they do indeed do something to get the share price to reflect their strengths.

7
Avatar for ken mitchell

Hope buying Schroder European Real Estate Investment Trust (LON:SERE) pays off  Charles. I agree about the poor website and lack of monthly updates as is the case for some of the other REITS too. Not sure though that either has much effect on the share price? 

Just adding to the Chairman’s comments you posted, note this bit too from their December update:-

“Finally, as sustainability considerations become even more important for investors, lenders and occupiers, we are making good progress evolving our strategy, which we believe should differentiate the Company further and help to drive more sustainable, long-term returns. We anticipate providing details on this strategy during the first half of 2024.”

So presumably not too long to wait for that. 




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Avatar for Rusty2

I see India Capital Growth Fund (LON:IGC) are seeking to merge with a Abrdn Indian fund: https://citywire.com/investmen...

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Saw that as well Rusty2. Abrdn seem to be losing trusts (if this happens) rather fast. I am not sure whether this is positive for IGC (I hold) as it would significantly increase the funds size- IGC is £161m and New India is £475m. The worst performing trust over 10 years is also the largest JPMorgan Indian Investment Trust (LON:JII) at £932m. I have boughgt JII recently in the hope the new team running it will do something about the poor performance record. Having said that Ashoka India Equity Investment Trust (LON:AIE) (Hold in wife's ISA) is £362m and is the best performing trust over 5 years by a way. I will decide what to do if the merger goes ahead and we see terms.

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Avatar for Rusty2

I don't feel it is a good move, maybe I'm biased from poor experience with Abrdn. I was in their Thai fund but that closed soon after l invested in it. That was not my issue with Abrdn, although l had a lot of problems with IGG, getting my money. 

At least now I won't be dealing Abrdn directly. It really comes down to the fund manager. I don't know this Abrdn fund.  l agree large funds do have problems. 
Actually abrdn New India Investment Trust (LON:ANII) has not performed too badly. 

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Here are the performances for the Indian funds. https://www.theaic.co.uk/aic/f...

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Hydrogenone Capital Growth (LON:HGEN) -I hold. Research from Marten & Co-(Paid for) . I tend to agree that the fund is very undervalued and it is one of my holdings bought because I am a fan of Hydrogen rather than anything else. I have also invested in a small unquoted welsh Hydrogen car company Riversimple through crowd funding. Another one that may have to seek a merger or be taken over. I did email them asking what their thoughts on solving the discount were- but no reply. https://quoteddata.com/researc...

0
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

If your interested in Georgia Capital (LON:CGEO) this report on Capital Markets in Georgia might be of interest. Written byTBC Bank (LON:TBCG) a LSE listed bank in Georgia. https://tbccapital.ge/static/f...

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Avatar for carmensfella

These shows should be of interest…

We have two FREE events this week with something for everyone!

Starting off with Mello Investment Trusts and Funds today, Tuesday 23rd April, at 1pm.

1:00pm Emma Bird, Head of Investment Trust Research, Winterflood Securities presents “Discounts: Risk or Opportunity?”

1:30pm Company presentation by JPMorgan Asia Growth & Income plc

2:00pm Company presentation by Literacy Capital

2:30pm Company presentation by International Biotechnology Trust

3:00pm Andrew Latto presents Global Investment Returns 1900-2023

For more information, click here: https://melloevents.com/mitf-2...

Register for FREE here: https://us06web.zoom.us/webina...

Mello Results Special on Thursday 25th April at 1pm.

Programme:

1.00pm Company Presentation by Gelion plc

1:40pm Update from SIGnet

1:50pm Company Presentation by Team Internet

2:30pm Results Round Up

2:50pm Company Presentation by Journeo

3:30pm Results Round Up

3:50pm Company presentation TBC

4:20pm Company Presentation by Zinc Media

4:50pm Update from ShareSoc

5.00pm Company Presentation by accesso

5:40pm Results Round Up with Paul Scott

6,00pm Company presentation by The Property Franchise Group

For more information, click here: https://melloevents.com/mrs-25...

Register for FREE here: https://www.tickettailor.com/e...

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Avatar for welwichia

This may be of interest given the recent discussion:

‘Complex’ trusts? How to answer Hargreaves’ test

Hopefully the URL works, if not - it is currently on the front page of Citywire.

cheers,

4
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Hipgnosis Songs Fund (LON:SONG) Sold my holding this morning. Whilst higher bids might come I think there is a risk of it getting into a legal quagmire. So took the profit.

7
Avatar for ken mitchell

It’s a while since there have been posts on Investment Trust REITS. The hoped for share price gains haven’t happened yet thanks to some disappointing inflation figures here and in the US delaying the interest rate cuts that should increase the appeal and share prices  of REITS again.

While we wait for that upside, the disappointing lower share prices so far this year mean another chance to cash in on some big dividend yields. 

A stand out buy opportunity imo is Aew UK Reit (LON:AEWU). The previously narrow discount has widened to 17% and that widening has enhanced the share price weakness. Share price is down 17% to 84p this year. AND it’s now at a 3 year plus low too. The yield (AEWU was the only REIT that didn’t cut the dividend during the covid falls) is now 9.7%.

This is the best AEWU buy opportunity since I bought along with others in the sector late in 2020.  I locked in a 13% yield when buying at 63p. I post this not to brag (I buy duffs like we nearly all do) but to point out the attraction of locking in a 9.7% yield. I’ve already had around 50% of my stake back just from dividends. 

 Unless interest rates don’t come down, as in 2020 , there should again be significant share price gains ahead. Aew UK Reit (LON:AEWU) peaked at 130p. The dividend is barely covered  but AEWU up till now has coped with this via small asset sales usually above what they paid. 

Another I’ve held since 2020 Alternative Income REIT (LON:AIRE) also looks tempting. Discount is 19% . Share price 67p. It has held up better than AEWU so is not such an obvious bargain. It’s down 7% year to date and 2% over 1 year. Dividend yield is 8.7% and they increased it (but possibly only temporary increase) last November. 

Here’s the aic link for the UK Property Trusts. 

https://www.theaic.co.uk/aic/f...

There are also 2 REITS in the Commercial Property EUROPE sector I hold that look very tempting at current prices. They are Tritax EuroBox (LON:EBOX) (again!) and Schroder European Real Estate Investment Trust (LON:SERE. 
 

UK investors tend to focus on the UK REITS and perhaps miss spotting perhaps even better European focus bargains. 

Tritax EuroBox (LON:EBOX) 48p has fallen all the way back almost to THE low of last autumn.   It’s down 18% so far this year and down 23%  over 12 months. The dividend is 110% covered and the yield is 9%. Discount is huge at over 40%. EBOX used to trade at a premium to NAV so a good chunk  of the 65%  share price fall from  123p   peak is simply because of that approx 50% change from premium to 40% discount. 

Schroder European Real Estate Investment Trust (LON:SERE) 61p is another I’ve held since 2020 but unlike the others is now below my buy price (compensated by getting on for 4 years of big dividends including specials). Key reason for the share price fall is again that much wider discount. Discount is 41%! Dividend is 9.5%. It’s down 13% this year and 26% over 12 months and looks a bargain! 

Here’s the aic link for the Europe Property Trusts:-

https://www.theaic.co.uk/aic/f...

Contrary opinions etc very welcome. 

16
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Ken- I hold TR Property Investment Trust (LON:TRY) and Tritax Big Box REIT (LON:BBOX) .  EBOX and SERE look attractive- thanks for the mention- have some new ISA funds to invest so will add to options.

2
Avatar for ken mitchell

Interesting that you hold TR Property Investment Trust (LON:TRY) Charles.  I think it’s unique in investing mostly in Property shares like British Land (LON:BLND) Land Securities (LON:LAND) Hammerson (LON:HMSO) etc and other Property Trusts. It doesn’t appeal to me as much as the other current REIT bargains. Dividend yield is lower too but I guess it’s a good way to get in to a wide range of Property Trusts and shares. 

Good to see some gains for some of the REITS at last today. A one day thing or the start of the market beginning to price in interest rate cuts ahead? Just hope that there are at least a couple of cuts later this year. 

Aew UK Reit (LON:AEWU) covered in my post a couple of days ago was up 4% today to 87p. It did look ovetsold. And Tritax EuroBox (LON:EBOX) up 2% and Schroder Real Estate Investment Trust (LON:SREI) over 3%. 

5
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Ken- the manager of TRY comes across well. Suits my wife's low risk ISA portfolio. API which i hold was up 2.8% as well today. Time to look at some of the distressed trusts on large discounts - my next project. Charles

5
Avatar for carmensfella

There is a Mello Trusts and Funds show this Tuesday at 1pm if any of you would like to watch and ask questions. It is completely free to join just register on the webpage  Mello Investment Trusts & Funds, Tuesday 23rd April 2024 – Mello Events

Here is the programme

1:00pm Emma Bird, Head of Investment Trust Research, Winterflood Securities

1:30pm Company presentation by JPMorgan Asia Growth & Income plc

2:00pm Company presentation by Literacy Capital

2:30pm Company presentation by International Biotechnology Trust

3:00pm Investment Trusts and Funds Panel

11
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Hipgnosis Songs Fund (LON:SONG) See reports that Blackstone have made an increased offer. No surprise as I posted when I bought SONG I thought they would bid to hide the mess. It will be interesting to see where this ends up. Impressed with Robert Naylor- made some money in Round hill Music and now this. Hopefully he will become Chairman of Gresham House Energy Storage Fund (LON:GRID) and sort this out !

4
Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

I bought 3 trusts this week. My timing wasn't brilliant but I am hampered by my work where buys and sells go through Compliance. The process often takes much longer than I would like but as a result of this, I tend to focus on long term value and dividends. Rome wasn't built in a day.

Damian Cannon mentioned Caledonia Investments (LON:CLDN) a week or so back. I already had a small holding but I wasn't thinking of adding to it until I saw the unaudited NAV update RNS on April 8th. Good update and a decent spread of assets across public companies, private capital and funds. The discount has moved around quite a lot over the last year and is towards the bottom of that range (ie: widest). 

As Damian mentioned, the discount is unlikely to close completely due to the large holding owned by the Cayzer family who use the trust as a way of creating multi-generational wealth. I am in good company! The first link is the unaudited NAV RNS and the second link is the strategy outlined on the Caledonia web site. I hope this is a long-term holding. 

https://tinyurl.com/57w6sab2

https://tinyurl.com/mrxuuytw

I also added to my holding in AVI Global Trust (LON:AGT) which focuses on family run companies, private equity trusts and Japanese smaller caps. The discount on the trust is around 8% but I recently read that the discount to the underlying holdings is actually nearer 40% (much the same calculation as Migo Opportunities Trust (LON:MIGO) and TR Property Investment Trust (LON:TRY)). This recent IC interview with the trust manager is a good explanation of what the trust offers. The important point around value not becoming obsolete is key. I delayed on clicking on 'buy' for this because the SP has increased over most time periods but this has been due to the strength of the underlying holdings rather than any significant reduction in the discount. 

https://tinyurl.com/398s5c3n

I liked the 2 proposed buys from Andrew McHattie discussed in the final 8 minutes of the Money Makers podcast of 23 March: Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust (LON:ASL) and BBGI Global Infrastructure SA (LON:BBGI). He was asked which trusts he likes the look of given we were approaching the end of the tax year when the interview was conducted. He had a list of 6 but only mentioned these two.

For BBGI Global Infrastructure SA (LON:BBGI), this Kepler report is useful. In summary, mkt cap of 930m, NAV of 1bn and so trading at a discount of 11%. Yield of 6%. I need to do more research on this one.

https://tinyurl.com/2ur3vvfb

Assets held by BBGI Global Infrastructure SA (LON:BBGI) are listed on page 3 of the 2023 interim report. And importantly, valuation methodology confirmed on pages 19 to 24.

https://tinyurl.com/mrxwpu4r

I also liked the following Kepler article on UK small caps.

https://tinyurl.com/2cysxfhn

I went for Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust (LON:ASL) because of the >1bn mkt cap. Wealth mgt companies should be more attracted to something like Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust (LON:ASL) than the smaller investment trusts as they can own a decent portion and it will move the dial for them.

The top 10 holdings get good ratings from Stockopedia (although Wincanton (LON:WIN) is currently in the process of being taken over).

3e349926-6405-46fc-951c-9f5e190d5813.png

Unfortunately, the remainder of the ISA is likely to go into TR25 gilt which will get me a return of sorts (depending on inflation). But it will mean no cash sitting idle in my ISA which I like.

SSB

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Avatar for Damian Cannon

Yes I'm impressed by Caledonia Investments (LON:CLDN) and see this as a long-term holding that I don't need to monitor too closely. I also like Migo Opportunities Trust (LON:MIGO) and AVI Global Trust (LON:AGT) as they both seem to be run by managers who understand the investment trust universe inside out.

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

TR Property Investment Trust (LON:TRY) is a key holding , also hold Caledonian Trust (LON:CNN) and AVI Global Trust (LON:AGT) . Against the trend I am investing in China- small amount at the moment- through an ETF.

4
Avatar for sevenccc

My China correspondent has been in touch to share latest news from their point of view. Current snapshot appears to be continuing negativity and concern over pro-Russia/anti Western rhetoric levels. 

Property sector not really getting any significant support - more a case of trying to manage the continuing fall out so that the regional/provincial governments don't come under too much pressure. Still lots of empty properties/unfinished developments.

Youth unemployment is a massive and an ongoing concern. Something needs to be done but nothing is - so controls remain extremely tight, especially on all things Western, internet access, etc. Pretty much as you would expect.

There is a growing sense that Xi will look to increase production and export his problems. China likely to push US/EU to the limit and cry foul every time we protest at 'dumping'. WTO will be invoked, etc. Belief is West will back down or current leaders will lose elections and new leaders will take time to assess/action. Seen as Western weakness against long term Chinese thinking. 

EV car exports will be pushed hard. Even with 100% tariffs they will be great value (apparently). Joint ventures in Europe, like Japanese did years ago, may be the model. Because they leapt straight past trying to compete in the ICE car market they have a huge advantage here, even before scale benefits are taken into account (like Tesla v the rest). And the scale of their market is beyond our comprehension. A neighbour of mine worked in the Midlands car industry for many years. He commented the other day that even in the 70's the UK needed to produce 2million cars a year to maintain a competitive scale. My, how long ago those levels of production seem. (2023 SMMT figures show c900,000  cars produced in the UK with over 78% exported).

Also increasingly aggressive/belligerent tone in the media. Desire to break dollar trading hegemony. Word is Russia, China, etc have been buying lots more gold to shift balance of reserves from USD. This can probably be verified or otherwise elsewhere. Could this move to include a re-evaluation of their stance on Taiwan? Or just more assertive/disruptive behaviour towards neighbours in South China Seas? Implementation of their ownership of the 'Seven - dot' claimed territory. RT available on TV in China - how I miss it!

He also commented that UK Mainstream media agonise over every Inflation/ONS/OBR pronouncement each month, debating every 0.1% move in this and that but we pay no attention to, or make little allowance for, major seasonal events in China, like the virtual 2 week shut down for their New Year return to rural heartlands. I'd just say the benefits of 24 hour rolling news and economic banalysis are over rated.

Overall not inclined to pick up any of the China Funds following this update. I think Ken has a better strategy with his focus on Mining/Commodities. And Vietnam. Hope some of this is useful. 

19
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Thank you Sevenccc. Interesting comment.

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Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

Thanks sevenccc. Nick Greenwood of Migo Opportunities Trust (LON:MIGO) maintains China is uninvestable and I tend to agree after what happened to the private education sector a few years back. I pay trust managers to manage some of my money but they have limited control in this type of environment.

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Avatar for ken mitchell

That’s a really helpful post on China sevenccc, and it has reinforced my decision not to buy a China Trust for now. With so many bargain Trusts around,  along with the fact that there are Asian Trusts with some exposure to China if we want that and not just China, why take the risk? 

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Against all feedback and comments I did invest a small amount in a China ETF. Mainly so I can keep an eye on the market. HSBC MSCI China UCITS ETF USD (LON:HMCH) .  I tend to feel that China will have to adapt if near/friend shoring continues. But I maybe naive and obviously if they went for Taiwan the funds would fall sharply-like Russia did after invading Ukraine. So an ETF seemed a slightly safer route in.

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Gresham House Energy Storage Fund (LON:GRID) I hold this in my wife's ISA- bought for the "yield". Since they have now cancelled the dividend so removed the main objective of providing income the logical step is to have the company wound up or sold. The board and managers hae failed in their prime objective. If anyone else holds would be interested in views. I have contacted the company through their PR firm- not satisfactory but was the only way to immediately contact them.  I had previously emailed them expressing concerns about cutting the dividend. I had thought maybe it would be kept at some level as they had engaged in a share buy back- which has also now been stopped. 

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Avatar for Rusty2

Unfortunately l hold this as well.

Gresham House Energy Storage Fund (LON:GRID)

Some rise in the share price recently, update today sounds reassuring.

But this has been a complete disaster as an investment. 

Will hold for a while longer, nearly sold last week. 

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Rusty- I hold as well. It has been a very poor investment. The directors need to realise the asset value- which is way above the share price. I did read this on CityWire yesterday "Gresham House Energy Storage (GRID) and Harmony Energy Income (HEIT) ‘could attract interest as a corporate target’ after share price crashes left both battery funds vulnerable to bids, said Stifel." Full article here https://citywire.com/investmen...

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Avatar for ken mitchell

Those of us convinced of the strong investment case for Vietnam have perhaps underplayed the corruption issue. It was the key cause of the big 30% Vietnam market fall when the big banking fraud news surfaced in the Autumn of 2022. That fall turned out to be a very good buy opportunity. 

The Vietnam market has been very weak recently, following the news of the ruthless way the Government are dealing with it. These falls might continue short term but imo are unlikely to last as long or be anywhere near as big as they were in 2022. That’s because this time it’s the tackling of the issue that’s behind the falls and not the corruption itself. 

Vietnam is 77th on the World corruption index out of 180 Countries and India is according to that  index less corrupt than India…on a PE of 24 (which is even higher than US) compared with 14 for Vietnam.  

VOF did cover this in their last Results, albeit rather out of the way! But their conclusion is also reassuring. Here’s the relevant section:-

“On-going anti-corruption efforts: The high-profile arrests of business leaders and senior political figures in 2022 and the early part of 2023 triggered a series of perhaps unintended consequences, both in the stock market and for the perception of Vietnam amongst some in the international investor community, as investors do not welcome uncertainty. Fortunately, there have not been any further significant arrests of business leaders, and investigation continues with the case involving former property tycoon, Madame Truong My Lan of Van Thinh Phat and Saigon Commercial Bank who is now accused of embezzling USD12.5 billion according to state investigators.

Overall - and long-term - we view that these investigations, arrests, and punishments that are occurring will be net positive for the country, and for the market, firmly sending out a message that in Vietnam, wrong-doing will not be tolerated. Nevertheless, in the short-term, these events can have short-lived but sharp impacts on the market.”

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

It is a risk Ken as you rightly point out. But does not in my opinion take away from the fundamentals of Vietnam as an exciting Investment opportunity. I have held VNH through a couple of these scares. Opportunity to buy more if trust prices weaken further.

6
Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

Hi Ken,

this link is to a VoX Markets interview with Craig Martin of VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) from Thursday this last week. The usual discussion around the state of the Vietnamese economy and stock market but also some discussion on when we can expect Vietnam to be upgraded from frontier market to emerging market and also how VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) tries to outperform the benchmark and the other Vietnam trusts. 

https://tinyurl.com/ya2yd8zk

SSB

3
Avatar for ken mitchell

Hi ShoeShineBoy. 

Thanks for posting the link to the interview with the VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) Manager. He came across well, and I picked up the following especially:- 

1. The concentrated portfolio (I prefer Trusts with conviction portfolios with a high percentage in their top 10 holdings) means that it’s easier to monitor their holdings. And like UK Trust Strategic Equity Capital (LON:SEC) they work closely with those Companies too. 

2. He commented on the much reduced discount which was similar to VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) and Vietnam Enterprise Investments (LON:VEIL) in mid teens,  to the current narrow 2% or so. Meanwhile the other 2 are still on big discounts. 

Why the narrowing? . He suggests it was the decision to consider possible tender offers at NAV  and perhaps in preference to buybacks. That’s done the trick without the need to spend £ millions on buybacks in often  failed attempts to get the discount down. 

This bit is guesswork, but could a similar decision by VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) and Vietnam Enterprise Investments (LON:VEIL) Management have the same effect? A tender offer at NAV with discount around 17% is attractive. A tender offer at just 2% discount is not and negates the need to go for it to reduce the discount. 

Finally …….tender offers seem  poorly understood. 

e.g recently Riverstone Energy (LON:RSE) had a tender offer for 30% of our shares at £10.80 when the share price was just £8.80. AND investors could tender for more than the guaranteed 30%. So I tendered all my shares and was astonished to get nearly 80%. The QUESTOR tipping column in The Telegraph advised holders to go for the full 30% but did not point out that they could tender for more! It’s obvious that most investors only tendered for up to 30%. 

I don’t want to start yet another buyback debate as most are so keen on them, but will point out that with the Riverstone Energy (LON:RSE) tender offer I got real cash and a 20%+ profit whereas with a buyback I would not have got anything. 



8
Avatar for Damian Cannon

It's funny that you mention Riverstone Energy (LON:RSE) as I tendered my entire holding on the basis that I was certain to be scaled back. But not a bit of it - they took all of my shares and delivered a tasty profit. 

7
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Glad to see Hipgnosis Songs Fund (LON:SONG) has been bid for, rather as expected.

3
Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

Hi Charles,

spot on! This is how value investing is supposed to work. Buy an £1 asset for 70 pence but make sure that asset is not something that is going to deteriorate in value over time, no point in that.

I bought more AVI Global Trust (LON:AGT) this week that has a decent holding in Hipgnosis Songs Fund (LON:SONG) . The trust manager Joe Bauernfreund speaks a lot of sense when I hear him interviewed.

CityWire article from Thursday when news of the bid for Hipgnosis Songs Fund (LON:SONG) hit the market.

https://tinyurl.com/3ktf6zae

SSB

3
Avatar for ACounsell

I know it is a lost cause but does anyone with Investment Trust expertise have any idea of what the assets at Asian Energy Impact Trust (LON:AEIP) might be worth following the managed wind down and asset sale recently announced?  The share price has collapsed further in the last few days and I note from a March analyst report (Shore) that the debt held by the Indian solar project which has caused the meltdown exceeds the NAV of Asian Energy Impact Trust (LON:AEIP) in total.  Unless the debt is assumed by a potential buyer (if any out there) does this imply shareholders will get nothing if it has to be repaid?

1
Avatar for ken mitchell

I can’t help ACounsell as I haven’t looked at Asian Energy Impact Trust (LON:AEIP) since they warned of serious problems in December 2022. The share price then was around $1.15 and I’ve just seen it’s down 80% since then at just $0.2 and down another 10% so far today. 

 I’m like a stuck record in making this point but Asian Energy Impact Trust (LON:AEIT) is another example of how it’s usually better to sell on bad news. 

Perhaps there’s someone here who follows or holds Asian Energy Impact Trust (LON:AEIT) who can answer for you. 

1
Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

Positive news for Vietnam:

HANOI, April 16 -

Apple Inc. CEO Tim Cook said on Tuesday in Hanoi the U.S. tech giant wanted to boost its investment in Vietnam, state media reported.

Cook made the statement at a meeting with Vietnamese Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh during his visit to Vietnam, a key manufacturing hub for Apple.

Separately, in a statement released on Monday on its website, Apple said it would increase its spending on suppliers in Vietnam, where it has created some 200,000 jobs.


Vietnam will set up a working group to support Apple's investment in the country, Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh told Cook during the meeting.

Apple did not respond to a request for additional comments about its planned spending.

Cook arrived in Hanoi on Monday for the two-day visit during which he met suppliers, students, content creators and users of Apple products.

(Reporting by Khanh Vu and Francesco Guarascio; Editing by Kanupriya Kapoor)

6
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

SSB, thanks. I am convinced re the Vietnam story and have exposure through VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) and VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) . Once the exchange moves from Frontier to Emerging more international funds will be investing.

5
Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

fwiw, I posted the following on Law Debenture (LON:LWDB) manager Laura Foll back on the 10 March over on Ken's BARG site. Maybe I need to listen to the following again:

IC interview with Laura Foll of Janus Henderson. Laura is involved in 3 investment trusts:

Law Debenture (LON:LWDB)

Lowland Investment (LON:LWI)

Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust (LON:HSL)

Enjoyable listen, my notes below.

https://tinyurl.com/pyv5uutw

# Law Debenture (LON:LWDB) just published results. Very different trust because there is an embedded operating business which provides approx 1/3 of operating margin (and therefore good dividends). This enables the trust part of the investment vehicle to generate a lower risk yield.

# The point at which a company cuts a dividend can be an interesting time to take a look because it could be a recovery share eg: Marks and Spencer (LON:MKS) and Rolls-Royce Holdings (LON:RR.).

# Babcock International (LON:BAB) specialist defence market work, benefitting from geo-political tailwinds.

# Rolls-Royce Holdings (LON:RR.) now successfully taking costs out. SP increase has been driven by earnings + free cash flow upgrades rather than re-ratings.

# UK dividend “addiction” mentioned by IC interviewer. LF response is UK market has shifted to be more like the US post-Covid ie: total return.

# Not sure what LF means when she says 45% payout ratio for UK market now versus 70% pre-covid ?

# Many UK dividends have been re-based.

# Financials are driving a lot of dividends in the UK: Beazley (LON:BEZ) is one of the leading insurance companies in cyber security with good returns in the US. 3% ordinary dividend is not much to get excited by but there should be either a buyback or special dividend. Barclays (LON:BARC) is returning 50% of it's market cap (I'm sure I heard this right).

# Red flags on income stocks: eg GSK (LON:GSK) couple of years back.

# Marshalls (LON:MSLH) Profit Before Tax down 50% but the payout ratio it now operates makes LF’s job easier because she does not have to consider it might happen,

# Trust structure is an advantage over open ended funds. SSB: we know this!

# 2 potential valuation discounts being applied to UK market: is it structural ie: is the UK market broken ? Or is it cyclical ? SSB: hopefully the latter!

# De-equitization of UK market is “shocking”. 10% of UK operating companies went last year! Policy required to reverse this trend.

# Law Debenture (LON:LWDB) holds 88% UK shares which is historically high.

# Brick manufacturers could come good if/when interest rates are cut.

# Law Debenture (LON:LWDB) holds 150 stocks, Lowland Investment (LON:LWI) holds 100 stocks and Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust (LON:HSL) holds 80 stocks.

# LF wary of themes. Instead, she looks for diversification. Some investors tells Janus Henderson they hold one investment because it is an easy, long-term approach for total return. Therefore, LF looks to make sure there is diversification and share prices don’t move in synch with one another.

# Takeover valuations and prices are different between peer to peer versus private equity. The latter tend to generate much lower valuations and therefore also lower takeover prices with private equity knowing certain fund managers are in outflow, need the cash and will vote for the takeovers.

# Valuation (NAV) matters. SPs just move around. SSB: we knew this as well but always good to be reminded of it.

7
Avatar for KevinS1

Hello - have we covered the India Capital Growth Fund (LON:IGC) here and what happened to make it drop so much a few weeks back.

Apologies if we have, but am interested in researching it a bit more to see if it offers decent value.

2
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

The Indian Gov took measures to stop local private investors fund inflows that were driving up certail sectors.

3
Avatar for Damian Cannon

Schroder UK Mid Cap Fund (LON:SCP) looks interesting at current levels if you would like exposure to UK mid-caps. Looking at the top ten there are some familiar names present with all of them being companies that I'd be happy to own directly (and some of which I already do): 

Holding name                        %
Inchcape PLC                        4.3
4imprint Group PLC         4.0
Man Group PLC                  3.9
Computacenter PLC        3.8
Dunelm Group PLC           3.6
Spectris PLC                          3.6
Cranswick PLC                    3.6
Telecom Plus PLC              3.5
QinetiQ Group PLC         3.2
Grafton Group PLC         3.2

Right now the discount is hovering around 15% which is pretty much the bottom of the channel seen since the pandemic. If the UK economy, and stock market, is going to recover this year as interest rates normalise then this seems like a decent place to park some funds.

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Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

I thought the list of most bought investment trusts (listen from 15 minutes) from Jan 1st to Mar 15th in the ii podcast link below was interesting. Focus is very much on income. It is not said in the podcast but I am pretty sure this list is in order of most popular first.

I have provided the HL link for each (I know this is not the official site for investment trusts but the way the charts for each trust are displayed makes it very obvious whether a trust is a bargain at the moment ie: is a trust trading at a larger discount to NAV than the previous 12 months).

fwiw, I have also provided my view on each.

Alliance Trust (LON:ATST). AIC sector: Global. Up +60% over 5 years holding 60% US tech names and 10% Japan. 

https://tinyurl.com/3zcj9twa

City of London Investment Trust (LON:CTY). AIC sector: UK Equity Income. Trading on a rare discount. Almost 5% yield. But I prefer Edinburgh Investment Trust (LON:EDIN) for the higher quality holdings. 

https://tinyurl.com/bduycstu

Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LON:SMT). AIC sector: Global. I am thinking of buying small amounts of this when I buy larger holdings in dividend paying shares and trusts. And maybe there is another opportunity to get this at a reasonable discount (currently 10%). I would have to revisit where Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LON:SMT) are with their private holdings versus the mandate but I do know they value 100% of those holdings every 3 months. This trust's SP is responsive to interest rates. Got to be said: you don't buy this for dividend income! 

https://tinyurl.com/uhjr66eu

F&C Investment Trust (LON:FCIT). AIC sector: Global. Similar to Alliance Trust (LON:ATST). Mkt cap of 6bn! Didn't know that. But not a bargain and paying a yield of only 1.5%. Move on.

https://tinyurl.com/5yb3r65v

Jpmorgan Global Growth & Income (LON:JGGI). AIC sector: Global Equity Income. I like this trust. Top 10 holdings account for approx 45%. Good conviction. But 70% US names and 28% tech makes me nervous. I can't buy it at the moment. But I may buy it one day! 

https://tinyurl.com/msk4bp56

Greencoat UK Wind (LON:UKW). AIC sector: Renewable Energy Infrastructure. Bounced from a 20% discount to NAV up to a 16% discount. 7% yield. AIC web site says 8% dividend growth over the last 5 years. I would have to do more research on dividend cover, revenue reserves and Loan to Value but I do like this trust and have thought of buying it a number of times. Presumably lower interest rates would help the valuation.

https://tinyurl.com/5mxywn4h

Murray International Trust (LON:MYI). AIC sector: Global Equity Income. Bruce Stout is the long term manager. But he is retiring. He came across as a safe pair hand when I heard him speak at the AIC Conference last year. Putting that to one side, I quite like this trust just for the yield. Only 4.7% but the AIC site says the cover is 1.06 times. US is 25% of the trust but the remainder is spread across multiple countries. Also, I don't see any high PE names from the US in the top 10. Tech is 23% of the trust but I notice semiconductors is a recurring theme which I think is a smart place to be. Hardware will come and go but the underlying tech and software will remain commercially relevant. Current discount of 12% versus a 12 month average of 5%. I could quite happily buy this next week. Any thoughts ?

https://tinyurl.com/5bvesrke

Personal Assets Trust (LON:PNL). AIC sector: Flexible Investment. "Flexible" is a strange sector as it covers a multitude of different asset classes. I hold Capital Gearing Trust (LON:CGT) as I always thought Peter Spiller spoke a lot of sense and bond should go up in price as inflation and interest rates come down. But it has been a poor performer. And so we come to Personal Assets Trust (LON:PNL): it is the type of trust I would buy if I wanted to go travelling again for a year and I didn't want to look at my account every few days. I know that very little would happen and the managers are focused on keeping the SP positive versus inflation. But it's not for me here and now. There may come a time though if I fancy a bit of sun on my back :-) 

https://tinyurl.com/4ke89pw9

Renewables Infrastructure (LON:TRIG). AIC sector: Renewable Energy Infrastructure. I bought a small holdings in Renewables Infrastructure (LON:TRIG) last year. It's been disappointing but again that is probably down to inflation (and interest rates) not coming down quickly enough. A yield of 7% is worth having whilst I wait. But I have just noticed every "performance" stat is negative. These exclude dividends of course but disappointing all the same versus say a gilt or even an interest paying one year cash account.

https://tinyurl.com/4rzjdb4p

Edinburgh Investment Trust (LON:EDIN). AIC sector: UK Equity Income. I bought back in 2020/21 when James DeUpaugh took over the mgt of this trust from Mark Barnett so I am biased. One of my larger holdings. It's done well. I was thinking of switching to City of London Investment Trust (LON:CTY) but prefer the underlying names in Edinburgh Investment Trust (LON:EDIN). 

https://tinyurl.com/3a9d3c8h

Podcast link below. For the above list, listen from 15 minutes.

https://tinyurl.com/2v7u333b

SSB

15
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

SSB-I hold SMT and CTY in wife's ISA. The whole infrastructure/solar/renewables sector has been a nightmare- bought a few for the yield 3 years or so ago. Share performance has been bad. Holding on hoping when interest rates fall they might pick up. So far at least dividends have been paid . None of the rest interest me- though Personal Assets is the trust you could buy and go away. I worked for a few years (in the 1980's)  with the late Robin Angus who helped found it- good man and really wanted the investors to be looked after.

6
Avatar for ken mitchell

That’s another really interesting post ShoeShineBoy. I can’t add much beyond your content partly because I’ve got an Investment Trust portfolio I’m happy with, and only make small alterations to it, so don’t check out potential alternatives anywhere near as thoroughly y as you do! 

Your post is particularly useful for any readers of it currently building an Investment Trust portfolio or looking to add more to their existing holdings. You include so much quality text and a load of excellent links too. 

As for Edinburgh Investment Trust (LON:EDIN) …..a case can be made for so many in the UK Equity Income sector. I hold abrdn Equity Income Trust (LON:AEI) mainly for the big dividend, City of London Investment Trust (LON:CTY) for yield a bit over 5% at my buy price and almost guaranteed dividend increases to continue their record of increases for 57 years now! AND they’ve just announced the latest modest dividend increase. But arguably Edinburgh Investment Trust (LON:EDIN) and several others are better choices for capital gains. I also hold Temple Bar Investment Trust (LON:TMPL) bought after the covid fall and because poor performance looked to be getting dealt with via Management changes  and change of strategy. Performance and share price DID improve a lot, but arguably the obvious buy opportunity has gone. 

Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LON:SMT) . I’m not too bothered about their private holdings based on their record. It’s NOT another Woodford shambles, but more likely some quality choices among them that could IPO. AND the discount to NAV compared with a premium in the past suggests that doubts are priced in anyway. Less convincing is their continuing belief in Tesla (NSQ:TSLA) which aside from cheap Chinese electric vehicles way undercutting TESLA prices, there look to be possibly hair brained business ideas in TESLA too. AND TESLA is valued at around 10 times more than the other big car companies. If Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LON:SMT) had  a large stake in Tesla (NSQ:TSLA) I would sell, but it’s only 3.4% of the Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LON:SMT) portfolio. 

Thanks for yet another of your brilliant posts on the “How to win in bear markets thread.” Some good links in that one and I’ll reply to it when I can.

I SO wish far more Stockopedia subscribers realised that the Small Cap bb isn’t the only one on Stockopedia. Apparently when many log in it takes them straight to the Small Cap Report thread …..so many subscribers are unaware of all the other threads. 

Thanks for your good wishes btw. At last they’ve found what the infection is via blood cultures. Now it’s to find the source or sources and hope in a treatable place. Posting keeps my mind off it all. 

23
Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

Good to hear the doctors are making progress on the infection Ken. NHS ? They get slated by all and sundry but when people really need help, they are excellent at responding there and then. I had first hand experience of that back in 2017 with an infection. I didn't expect to be in hospital for a week with surgery but I have to say in hindsight, I'm extremely grateful for the treatment. I also avoided the Fri/Sat night A&E experience which I wouldn't wish upon anyone and makes me question the 'great British public'. Anyway, enough, I hope you continue to recover.

Thanks to both Ken and Charles for responding again. I get busy as soon as Monday morning arrives and don't always have the time to revert. 

I recently sold Temple Bar Investment Trust (LON:TMPL) on a decent capital gain after also buying during the pandemic. Does the AIC website allow us to compare 2 trusts from the same sector on the basis of total return (capital gain + dividends) ? I would be interested to do that for Edinburgh Investment Trust (LON:EDIN) versus City of London Investment Trust (LON:CTY) versus abrdn Equity Income Trust (LON:AEI) for say the the last 3 years.

I recall listening to a Mark Slater podcast interview a couple of years back when he said he thought Tesla (NSQ:TSLA) was overvalued and the likes of TOYOTA MOTOR (TYO:7203) would catch up. It now seems that is happening. And the Magnificent Seven becomes the Fab Four! Let's see what Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LON:SMT) do with their holding.

Same as Charles, I'm very wary of the renewables sector. Very mixed performance and several name changes as well which makes following some stories difficult. Greencoat UK Wind (LON:UKW) seems to be one of the better names.

I'm interested to see what tomorrow brings after events in the Middle East. I had put a couple of buy orders through my work system but Compliance are yet to come back. Maybe they have inadvertently done me a favour ?!

SSB

9
Avatar for KevinS1

Hi SSB,

Thanks for the posts.

The AIC website does allow you to compare two trusts performance side by side - just go to the performance tab and add in the ticker of the other (or multiple) trusts you want to compare - you can also edit the NAV to make it a bit cleaner.

Here is the 5yr chart - I have removed NAV to make it cleaner.

Edinburgh Investment Trust (LON:EDIN) is the clear winner over both 1 & 3 yrs as well.

4130fab8-6e59-47ef-86ea-24f62c14fecc.png

9
Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

Hi KevinS1,

thanks for replying on the comparison functionality provided by the AIC web site. It's actually very good. One criticism I used to have of the AIC web site is that the charts weren't very clear but they seem to have sorted that out.

I notice that the key says "Edinburgh Investment Ord (Share Price TR)" so presumably includes dividends. That is also good functionality.

City of London Investment Trust (LON:CTY) is actually quite disappointing over the past 5 years. That surprised me.  Edinburgh Investment Trust (LON:EDIN) has produced a total return of 37.68% over the past 5 years, I added the sector average which shows a total return of 41.44%. 

dd520882-5d5c-4ef5-bd5f-a89fca04247d.png

So I then looked at the UK Equity Income sector performance table and it shows that Law Debenture (LON:LWDB) is the best performing trust over the last 5 years. The following is probably too small to see the detail but the 5 year AND 10 year return on Law Debenture (LON:LWDB) is the best in the sector. Edinburgh Investment Trust (LON:EDIN) is in a respectable position but Law Debenture (LON:LWDB) is the clear winner. 

d82db35c-ae0e-4d95-b189-083c25a5af3b.png

And here is the chart comparing Edinburgh Investment Trust (LON:EDIN) and Law Debenture (LON:LWDB).

72bdc7aa-b4a7-4971-9be3-e1c9426575da.png

Hours of fun on the AIC web site :-)

And maybe some reading at the weekend to understand more on Law Debenture (LON:LWDB) .

After I posted this, I clicked on the images and found the best way to view them is as follows: right click on any image and select 'open image in new tab'. A new tab then opens and a much larger image can then be seen along with all the detail.

SSB

7
Avatar for Roy Edwards

Morning Ken,

Rarely do I make a comment but it would be remiss of me not to let you know that, as a major investor in our portfolios using Investment Trusts, I have now found out about this Report Thread and make sure I have a thorough read each day. This feed has enhanced my reasons for using Stockopedia. I find the content here brilliant for me. When I consider my main portfolio of 12 Holdings, all IT's, it is significant that when using the Portfolio View Chart system, only 3 of the 12 show. Really pleased to have found this thread.

10
Avatar for ken mitchell

Thanks Roy; it was Charles Mitchell who got the Investment Trust thread here going, and I agree that there are some superb posts and posters on it. And it’s getting more recognition too. 

E.g The posts from ShoeShineBoy are outstanding and I can’t fathom how he manages  with a full time job and young family, to  find the time to research so thoroughly and follow that research up with such detailed posts and often with very good links included. 

Hope the end result in time is that we all end up holding winning  Investment Trusts,  and helped by this thread, find the best ones in each sector. 

6
Avatar for donald pond

And Investment Week are also on the case: https://www.linkedin.com/posts...

without wishing to claim any credit, after I posted on LinkedIn the editor there asked to connect with me. Just shows the way the world works: their coverage would have come from city grandees talking off the record 20 years ago, now it is much more reflective of the experience of PIs as reported through social media

12
Avatar for ACounsell

Cannot understand why Supermarket Income REIT (LON:SUPR) is down nearly 6% this morning. Most recent announcement was related to scrip dividend alternative but surely announcing payment of dividend in cash can’t have this negative effect? Current yield is over 8% and pretty much covered I believe.  Supermarkets  aren’t going anywhere and will  surely continue to pay rents - they even stayed open in the pandemic! Yet Supermarket Income REIT (LON:SUPR) is on a discount to NAV of over 16%. Any thoughts would be appreciated.

4
Avatar for intuitive6191

RE: SUPERMARKET REIT

I would suggest the following might be a drag on share price and would continue to dampen investment enthusiasm until interest rates reduce.

Over 30% gearing

Net debt of over 1/2 a billion

Also all supermarkets are not the same. Some look vulnerable to hang on to market share and revive profitability. They might decide to try and renegotiate leases as part of cost cutting?


2
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

I sold out recently- I was getting concerned at same presentation every meeting  and debt level looked a bit high.

3
Avatar for ken mitchell

ACounsell. 

The reason for the surprise big fall in the Supermarket Income REIT (LON:SUPR) is a downgrade from Jeffries as posted by indie earlier today. 

Best not to take that too seriously and arguably the share price fall because of it is a good top up opportunity.

To save me time explaining there is a good thread on this on ADVFN and you’ll soon see why to treat this downgrade with a pinch of salt. 

Here’s the link to that ADVFN SUPR thread:-

https://uk.advfn.com/cmn/fbb/t...

9
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

AJ Bell (LON:AJB) Just read this in City wire. I hold both shars and use AJ Bell for my SIPP and ISA's for myself and wife. I have emailed them asking for comments and advised them if this continues I will be looking at other platforms. I do not want to have to call in to deal- why should I when these are freely traded listed securities.

"AJ Bell has added to the outcry over retail brokers restricting investors from buying out-of-favour investment companies on the grounds that they are poor value.

The share-dealing platform has confirmed to Citywire that Chrysalis Investments (CHRY) and Bluefield Solar Income (BSIF) were among listed funds where online trading had been stopped after they failed fair value assessments conducted on behalf of the broker."

14
Avatar for Lincs

Indeed, and our own Kenmitch's comments are included in the article

https://tinyurl.com/48mwv42r

4
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

They are indeed. No response from Bell yet

2
Avatar for donald pond

It is interesting to follow the chain here. Ken posted his difficulties, which I then posted on my LinkedIn page, which attracted comments from Tom Poynton, who has been one of the leading industry figures trying to support investment trusts recently, which then led to Citywire picking up the thread. While it takes a few connections, it does show that we can get these issues pushed up the agenda.

17
Avatar for KevinS1

https://citywire.com/investmen...

Here is the link to the Citywire piece.

I haven't heard anything back from Jonathan Davis at MM yet.

3
Avatar for ken mitchell

Wow!! 

A must read article from Citywire about the farcical situation where Platforms allow investors to buy  a rubbish share likely to go bust with no with no questions asked, but not some Investment Trusts. And the AIC are now fully on to it. 

Here’s the article. There’s no doubt surely that it is thanks to pressure from posters like Donald and Charles here that this stupidity and ignorance is now getting addressed. 

https://citywire.com/investmen...

As an aside it’s also infuriating that Hargreaves Lansdown has the cheek to stop investors investing in ANY Investment Trust when they were recommending Woodford’s awful Open Ended Fund up to the very moment it was suspended! 

8
Avatar for Rusty2

I bought some India Capital Growth Fund (LON:IGC) last year on IG group (LON:IGG) but went to buy some more after the recent fall, but could buy any. However I could Hargreaves Lansdown (LON:HL.).

I agree this a farce, that should be sorted out.

4
Avatar for Snazzytime

hi Ken

As an aside it’s also infuriating that Hargreaves Lansdown has the cheek to stop investors investing in ANY Investment Trust

Forgive my ignorance but is this statement accurate? Hargreaves Lansdown website says they freely trade in Investment Trusts.

I'm mostly an equity investor although I do hold Polar Capital Technology Investment Trust with Interactive Investor. A search on HL website indicates I could easily buy this with HL too.

Please clarify your statement.

Thanks

Snazzy

1
Avatar for ken mitchell

Snazzytime. 

It’s well worth checking out all the posts on this issue on this thread including my first one (to save you time trying to find it, it was on April 9th) and then all the replies to it. The result is that thanks to pressure from posters here the AIC itself is now on to this as you will see if reading this Citywire article:-

https://citywire.com/investmen...

You’ve misunderstood my post about it being a cheek that Hargreaves Lansdown stop investors investing in ANY Trust. That doesn’t mean ALL Trusts but I can see how you have perhaps interpreted it that way. 

That Citywire article explains it all very well…and the AIC made use of information posted on this thread. 

3
Avatar for Snazzytime

Thanks for your reply Ken.

The citywire article appears to be behind a paywall / membership wall.

Your clarification of;

You’ve misunderstood my post about it being a cheek that Hargreaves Lansdown stop investors investing in ANY Trust. That doesn’t mean ALL Trusts but I can see how you have perhaps interpreted it that way.

...does not make sense to a casual reader. The terms any and all, in the context you have written them, have the same meaning.

I suspect what you meant is that brokers like HL are making their own decision as to whether an Investment Trust is considered, in their opinion, not to be fair value or too complex then they may restrict trading in such trusts on their platform. However all other trusts (the majority?) can be traded without restrictions on their platform.

Snazzy

1
Avatar for ken mitchell

Here’s the Citywire article:-

AIC lobbying against ‘frustrating’ platform buying restrictions

The Association of Investment Companies says it will challenge brokers to explain why they are stopping online trading in investment firms deemed not to be ‘fair value’ or ‘complex’.

BYJAMIE COLVINTwitterFacebookLinkedinWhatsAppprintcomments9

The Association of Investment Companies (AIC) has expressed its frustration at share-dealing platforms restricting the buying of certain investment trusts and said it will lobby against them.

Last week, AJ Bell confirmed Bluefield Solar Income (BSIF) and Chrysalis Investments(CHRY) were among listed funds that failed ‘fair value’ tests which meant DIY investors were prevented from online trading in them, although they could phone through dealing instructions.

This follows similar moves by rival brokers Hargreaves Lansdown, Fidelity and Interactive Investors who have restricted trading in investment companies on grounds of either value or complexity.

Hargreaves Lansdown, for example, has also stopped investors from buying investment companies such as Digital 9 Infrastructure, Cordiant Digital and Amedeo Air Four Plus until they pass a questionnaire showing they understand ‘complex investments’.

AIC communications director Annabel Brodie-Smith said the restrictions were ‘disappointing’ because platforms did not explain the rationale behind their decisions.

‘It’s hard to see how restricting consumer choice like this could be helpful for consumers,’ Brodie-Smith said. ‘Surely, it’s up to investors to do their own research and then decide which companies they want to invest in.’

Under the Financial Conduct Authority’s consumer duty regulation, share-dealing platforms are required to alert customers at risk of poor returns and help them make informed decisions.

Brodie-Smith said the upcoming statutory instrument to reverse the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (Mifid) may only provide the FCA with the powers to repeal misleading cost disclosure rules. These have been the subject of a separate campaign against investment companies being required to ‘double-count’ some of their costs.

Aspects of product governance, such as borrowing, liquidity and performance may be the result of rules restricting the use of ‘complex’ investments, although the AIC has always argued that investment companies should not be categorised as such, Brodie-Smith said.

‘However, we have argued in the past for these rules to be changed and we will most definitely be firmly lobbying on this issue again,’ she said.

Investors are furious at what they see as platforms’ heavy-handed implementation of consumer duty regulation, which they say will let them buy risky AIM-listed companies without warnings, but require them to correctly answer a questionnaire to invest in some closed-end funds.

‘You can buy a piece of absolute dross on AIM but you can’t buy Bluefield Solar with its government-backed stable revenues and healthy income cover? Utter nonsense,’ one commenter wrote.

‘For pity’s sake, buying a solid trust on a discount to NAV is better value, other things equal, because it’s boosting your likely forward return. This is the one that’s important, not the historic return that’s been influenced by gapping out from the net asset value.’

A Citywire forum on investment company regulation begun by Tom Poynton of wealth manager Baron & Grant received support. One investor was astonished that nothing had been done to stop the ‘dual harms’ inflicted on the UK and investors from ‘nonsensical and unnecessary Fair Value Assessments’ and the ‘very unfair depiction’ of investment company costs.

‘Why are the FCA and the City minister/Treasury just sitting on their hands and watching the situation worsen by the day?’ the investor wrote. ‘These are not particularly difficult problems to fix and action is needed ASAP.’

5
Avatar for ken mitchell

Snazzy. I’ve now pasted the Citywire article, though you only need to register (there are some very good and regular investment  articles from them every day) to be to be able to read it. 

 I can’t be bothered arguing about my post not making sense to you, since all you need to do is to read previous posts here, and articles like the one from Citywire for it to make sense. 

4
Avatar for Rusty2

Can trade far more on Hargreaves Lansdown (LON:HL.) than on IG group (LON:IGG) who say can't buy, complex or not available in ISAs. 

Can't read the Citywire article either.

2
Avatar for KevinS1

Try my link in the post above.  It is the same article.

If not then it is worth registering - I simply get a daily email from them with all of the trust news which you can delete, spam filter or read, sp it is no bother.  I find it very useful each morning.

ATB Kevin

3
Avatar for Rusty2

Yes, I got in. This is mostly about AJBell, who  l don't but use but was considering for my SIPP, maybe not anymore.

Re HL, you have to do a questionnaire showing you have the understanding of ‘complex investments’. That lasts for a few years, then you can buy most ITs. 
IGG is getting more restricted.

1
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Just caught up on a Feb 2024 BlackRock Frontiers Investment Trust (LON:BRFI) presentation. I hold. It does not aim to be an income fund, but is yielding over 4.0% due to strong earnings growth in the underlying portfolio. It gives exposure to countries which no other fund does- many do not have a ETF either. 

Below is screen grab of the geographic split.

The presentation can be found here.

db4c41e1-3def-45f1-bf42-1f89f46d10fd.png

6
Avatar for KevinS1

Hi Charles,

Frontier/EM is one of those areas where I am comfortable paying a bit more in charges for a Unit-Trust due to there being an outstanding (in my eyes) vehicle.

I enclose the 5yr view below between Redwheel Next Generation Emerging Markets (Unit Trust) & BlackRock Frontiers Investment Trust (LON:BRFI) .  I fully accept that the Inv Trust Universe often throws up good opportunities with pluses like discounts & leverage, but sometimes I do find that the Unit Trust world offers the odd nugget.

I will def look at the presentation though as there is bound to be some useful intelligence in there.

413328d6-37b3-4a1a-a780-9deaf8e656ec.png

6
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Hi Kevin, performance does look significantly better- but I tend to avoid Unit trusts/Opened ended funds due to potential issues if a large net redemption situation happens. Quick look Redwheel are heavy in Mexico which Blackrock are not.  Blackrock are not my favoured Fund management group- impossible to ask fund managers any questions- well you can email but never get a reply ! Maybe I should switch.

7
Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

School night so very short post from me: lots of buying by directors and those associated with directors in investment trusts today.... AVI Global Trust (LON:AGT), Renewables Infrastructure (LON:TRIG) , Nippon Active Value Fund (LON:NAVF) , CC Japan Income and Growth Trust (LON:CCJI) , TR Property Investment Trust (LON:TRY) and Blackrock Throgmorton Trust (LON:THRG) . No doubt related to new ISA funds for the 24/25 tax year.

10
Avatar for chelsea

Anyone any experience /thoughts on £CVCG.  Exposed to floating rate corporate credit in US & Europe so falling interest rates may impact returns however earning yield in the teens according to their corporate video and annual yield 8% + paid quarterly. Seems to have decent ownership within stockapedia community and directors steadily by small chunks. Never going to multibag but yield looks interesting

0
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

CVC Income & Growth (LON:CVCG) Not researched- looks a complex structure. There is a meeting soon and you can ask questions 

CVC INCOME & GROWTH LIMITED is pleased to announce that Pieter Staelens and Mitchell Glynn (Manager of the underlying investment vehicle) will provide a live presentation via Investor Meet Company on 19 Apr 2024, 11:00 BST. This is in advance of the Annual General Meeting of CVC Income & Growth Limited which will take place on 30 Apr 2024, 10.00 BST.

The presentation is open to all existing and potential shareholders of CVC Income & Growth Limited. Questions can be submitted pre-event via your Investor Meet Company dashboard up until 18 Apr 2024, 09:00 BST, or at any time during the live presentation.

Investors can sign up to Investor Meet Company for free and add to meet CVC INCOME & GROWTH LIMITED via:

https://www.investormeetcompany.com/cvc-income-growth-limited/register-investor

3
Avatar for ken mitchell

Below is a post I did last November aimed at any newcomers to Investment Trusts and with suggestions and examples of how to create a balanced portfolio of around 15 Regions or Countries or sectors. So the post below might still be useful for any readers of the posts on this thread wondering where to start! 

The Trusts highlighted were not tips. They were Trusts I thought good value at that time but the suggestion was also to look at the other Trusts in that sector or Region. 

November 2023 was an excellent time to build that portfolio. So none of the Trusts covered have fallen (or given sleepless nights) but quite a few are little changed from those prices last November. So those and others in their sectors not yet bouncing are still worth checking out.  The biggest winners are up around 30%.

I’ve added the prices at the close yesterday to compare with the price last November. 

Here’s that November 2023 post:-

“Using Investment Trusts to invest all round the World, as well as UK.

This is very brief on detail and just as a starting point.

I use Investment Trusts to invest all round the World and to cash in on far better performing markets and not only lousy for too long UK.

Stockopedia figures for Investment Trusts are mostly irrelevant/inappropriate for Trusts and only of use for shares. And Stocko figures exclude must knows like NAV and discounts to NAV etc.

The MUST place for info is the official Investment Trust website aic. Trustnet is also very good.

This link link is the aic link for UK Commercial Property Trusts where there are some exceptional bargains on big discounts and paying big dividends.

https://www.theaic.co.uk/aic/f...

Just click on each individual Trust for a wealth of information. And from the above link it’s easy to access all the aic sectors.

e.g this link for the ASIA PACIFIC sector and Pacific Horizon Investment Trust (LON:PHI) and all the other Trusts in that sector. 

These are Trusts I like (and hold all except 2) in each of the following sectors. Best obviously to check each Trust in the sector for yourselves.

ASIA PACIFIC Pacific Horizon Investment Trust (LON:PHI) £5.35 (Now April 8th 2024 £5.96 and up about 12%) 

BIOTECH International Biotechnology Trust (LON:IBT) £5.74 (Now £6.38) 

COMMODITIES BlackRock World Mining Trust (LON:BRWM) £5.40 (Now also £5.40 but it dipped to £4.94 recently).

COUNTRY SPECIALIST. VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) £2.87  ( Now  £3.80 and up over 30%) 

and VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) £4.48 .(Now £4.69…..so way underperforming VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) for now. Plenty of posts on this thread on why). 

VIETNAM LOOKS A GREAT INVESTMENT TRUST OPPORTUNITY SECTOR for this rapidly growing Country. Current discounts likely to go to premiums when Vietnam becomes more widely understood and is upgraded to full Emerging Market status and not just current frontier market. Make sure you read the very good Monthly Manager updates!

EUROPE Fidelity European Trust (LON:FEV) £3.55 (Now £3.93). 

GLOBAL Monks Investment Trust (LON:MNKS) £9.45 (Now £11.42)  and Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LON:SMT) £6.87 (Now up 25% to £8.62)

JAPAN Fidelity Japan Trust (LON:FJV) £1.63 (Now £1.78). 

PROPERTY UK COMMERCIAL.

Loads to look at. Aew UK Reit (LON:AEWU) 95p  (Now still 95p) has a great record. Supermarket Income REIT (LON:SUPR) 80p  (Now 76p) was ludicrously undervalued until big jump at end of last week.Now just very cheap instead of bonkers too cheap!

PROPERTY EUROPE COMMERCIAL

Tritax EuroBox (LON:EBOX)  51p  Now also 51p) stands out. It rose 12% on Thursday and Friday as was way oversold. Still very cheap.

TECHNOLOGY

Polar Capital Technology Trust (LON:PCT)  £22.70  (Now up 30% at £8.62p) 

and Allianz Technology Trust(LON:ATT) £2.60 (Now also up 30% £3.52p).

UK.

There are SO many to choose from in the 4 UK sectors. Check out the Top 10 holdings for each Trust. I prefer those holding shares I like too (especially so if holding small companies covered in daily Small Company updates here) and also Trusts with conviction portfolios with a high percentage in their Top 10.

The cautious might want to check out the aic “dividend heroes.” These are Trusts increasing their dividends for multiple years. e.g City of London Investment Trust (LON:CTY) £3.86 with increase for 57 years in a row! (Now £4.05p) 

And Merchants Trust (LON:MRCH) £5.07 (Now £5.32p).

Happy hunting! Remember Investment Trusts are currently on the highest discounts to NAV for many years. I.e There are a lot of bargains right now.” 

17
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

The. AIC have responded " We will lobby on the complex investment rules when MIFID is revised. We are expecting that to happen - getting a time frame on this is impossible - but we are pushing hard."

11
Avatar for ken mitchell

Thanks for letting us know that aic are “pushing hard” on this.

This is a link to a very good Citywire article about all this nonsense. 

https://citywire.com/investmen...


5
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Purchased AVI Global Trust (LON:AGT) today- I have looked at this for a few months. Focussing on under valued assets is a strategy I like at the moment. Long term performance has been good and they currently hold some interesting situations in top 10- Princess Private Equity Holding (LON:PEY) Hipgnosis Songs Fund (LON:SONG) Patheon Nv (NYQ:PTHN^I17) . News Corp (NSQ:NWS) they reckon is well undervalued and have a holding in D'leteren which looks an interesting play on a vehicle glass repair and replacement company.  

I also hold SONG directly- the situation has to be resolved in my opinion by a takeover by Managers/Blackrock. Or else it could get very messy.

This is the reason  I buy trusts as a part of our portfolio's- they have exposure to companies I could not hold or research as well as they can do.

Latest GT fact sheet is here.

7
Avatar for ken mitchell

Charles and Donald.

I’ve had a look at ADVFN bb for Amedeo Air Four Plus (LON:AA4) and Chrysalis Investments (LON:CHRY) to se that now AJ Bell are refusing to let their clients buy some Investment Trusts including Chrysalis Investments (LON:CHRY) and Amedeo Air Four Plus (LON:AA4. I hold both of them. 

This nonsense needs to be nipped in the bud NOW! Otherwise it’s going to get to the stage where ordinary investors give up on Investment Trusts!

As you both have direct experience working in the sector could one or both of you or anyone else PLEASE contact aic asap about this. Also the likes of Jonathan Davis/Money Makers. He might decide it merits coverage in their weekly podcasts. 

I tried but both emails were returned as undeliverable and right now I just haven’t the time for health reasons to get in to a possible series of emails with aic so I’m not going to try again. 

Feel free to use and send as much of the  content of my post about this as you want to after Hargreaves refused to let me buy DG19.  I’ve pasted that post below. It only needs these latest examples added to it. 

“ This is scandalous imo.

I want to buy Digital 9 Infrastructure (LON:DGI9) but can’t because Hargreaves Lansdown insist on the investor passing an examination first, and for reasons I can’t fathom, I’ve failed on one question.

It’s sheer stupidity that I can buy a hopeless share at big risk of going bust like Superdry (LON:SDRY) but can’t buy a pooled Investment like DG19 without this farcical test. Pointing out that I was a very experienced investor in Investment Trusts fell on deaf ears.

This needs exposing. Nonsense like this puts small investors off Investment Trusts. Trusts are already finding it hard to get new issues away and there are ever fewer Trusts and if this continues there will be fewer investing in those left.

Is it worth notifying DG19 Management as this is the last thing they will want surely?

Also perhaps getting aic involved too? And the likes of Jonathan Davis? 

Below is the unnecessary and often irrelevant info sheet Hargreaves provide ahead of the questionnaire. Much of.it is irrelevant gobbledygook!

“Why are some investments complex?

Infrequent opportunities to sell or high exit charges: Complex investments can often be difficult or impossible to buy or sell. Some may have dealing restrictions; for instance you may only be able to deal monthly or less frequently. For other investments which have specified maturity or redemption dates, investors may be unable to sell their investment during the life of the product meaning it can be difficult to gain access to your capital before maturity. Where you can sell, there may be high charges for early redemption.

Prices not publicly available: The price of some investments are not publically available or published regularly, or they may be in a currency in which investors cannot deal and could potentially be subject to additional costs when trading.

Where an investment can only be traded with one counterparty – for example the issuer of derivatives that an ETC/ETN is using to track the price of an asset – investors may be reliant on that counterparty offering a fair and correct price.

The investment is a derivative or it embeds a derivative: Some complex investments do not hold assets. Instead they use complex derivatives to match the return of an underlying investment or index. Derivatives carry a number of risks including magnifying the price movement of the underlying investment. There may also be extra costs to the investor through 'roll over' options. This is where derivatives held by the complex investment expire and new ones are bought.

Should the issuer of a derivative become insolvent, investors could lose their entire investment regardless of the performance of the underlying asset that the derivative is tracking. This is known as counterparty risk. This loss is unlikely to be covered under the Financial Service Compensation Scheme (FSCS) and investors may not be able to complain to the Financial Ombudsman Service (FOS).

Convertible risk: Issuers may have the right to forcibly convert from one type of investment to another, for example from a bond or preference share, to an ordinary share. This may be done at a time which is not favourable for investors. The price of a convertible investment is linked to the price of the investment into which it could be converted and may move sharply around the conversion dates. It is also likely investors in convertible shares will be converted into an investment ranking lower in the order of priority for repayment should the issuer go into administration.

Limited or very complicated product information: An investment can often be complex due to a lack of information regarding its structure and risks. Often where details are provided, they may be very complex as they are written with professional investors in mind.”

Here’s the question I apparently got wrong. What IS the correct answer?

“Complex investments can carry counterparty risk. Which of the following is the most accurate description of counterparty risk.

1The loss of money due to the default (insolvency) of the derivative issuer.

OR

2 loss of money due to rolling over future contracts.

OR

3. inability to sell an investment on a stock marketSent from my iPad.”

They let me retry 3 times so I gave a different answer and failed again. The third time I gave the only answer left and still failed!

And finally here’s why I failed:-

“Unfortunately you can't continue

Based on your answers you are unable to buy general complex investments

You may revisit the key risk information section and retake the test, or exit to return to your portfolio overview.

The questions you answered incorrectly are:

  • Which of the following are possible risks of investing in complex investments?
  • Complex investments can carry counterparty risk. Which of the following is the most accurate description of counterparty risk?


So I retook it and gave a different answer but failed again. They let me retake it again so I gave the only other answer left but STILL failed!!

And as a result of all this nonsense I can’t buy DG19!”

6
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Ken- I have already raised it with the AIC. I will email her your comments. I have bought Chrysalis through AJ Bell though. Hope you recover soon.

5
Avatar for KevinS1

Hi Ken,

I will drop an email to Jonathan Davies at MM's.

Hope you are feeling better.

Regards

Kevin


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Avatar for KevinS1

e-mail sent to MM - I will let you know what I hear.

5
Avatar for donald pond

I have posted a piece on LinkedIn as this is a recurrent problem. If cost disclosure stops wealth managers buying and the platforms prevent PIs from buying then where will the buyers come from? https://www.linkedin.com/posts...

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Avatar for ken mitchell

Exactly Donald and it’s all SO disappointing. Investment Trusts have been in existence for around 150 years,  (F&C Investment Trust (LON:FCIT) is the oldest and started in 1868) but unless these big deterrents to investing in Investment Trusts are removed fast their future is looking bleak. 

This article is well worth reading for more info on the wealth management cost disclosure aspect:-

https://www.cityam.com/will-in...

5
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

I have also raised with ShareSoc which I am a member of.

4
Avatar for donald pond

Inspired by a couple of comments on the ever excellent Money Makers podcast I wrote a piece on sub stack about corporate governance in the IT sector and why directors need to focus on retail investors. Please read, share, comment etc. I think we need much more pressure on boards to merge, cut costs and, if persistent discounts cannot be eradicated and ETFs offer a comparable alternative, wind the things up. Just because a manager raises money once doesn’t give them the right to a lifetime annuity in the form of annual fees.
https://open.substack.com/pub/...

17
Avatar for welwichia

What a thoughtful piece - lots of new insights for me and some technical aspects I had not considered before. Thanks very much for writing this up and making it available for everyone!

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Interesting article Donald.

I recall we had similar discussions at Woodmac in the 1980's when trusts languished on 30% discounts , no-one seemed that interested and the chatter was about bids- listed PLC's having a disguised rights issues by bidding for trusts and so on. Boards and managers did change in the 1990's and Trusts had much clearer investment strategies that the bulk at the time which were generalist. A few specialist trusts from Ivory and Sime and a couple of Japanese.

But we did at the time do significant institutional business and that does seem to have changed- back then the institutions had far less research capability and would use trusts. That has changed radically.

As Donald rightly says they will have to adapt again if the Boards/Managers want to continue getting the fees.

A flurry of bids for trusts would help concentrate their minds.

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Avatar for The Phoenix

Any favourites for what you or anyone else would see as prime targets Charles ?

0
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

I wish I knew !! Underperforming general trusts on a big discount would fit the brief- but not sure I would buy them just for that reason. Back in the day I was involved in a few corporate battles for trusts- it was harder to get a result that at first appeared. Watch where the Americans invest-Elliot partners. There was a Trust sector in the USA up to the 1980's- a couple of investors made a lot of money forcing them to mutualise. That is always an option in the UK- force them to become Unit trusts- but Boards/Managers would resist and if it happened funds would disappear out pretty fast.

3
Avatar for Damian Cannon

Final one that seems interesting to me is RIT Capital Partners (LON:RCP) given its long-term track record and recent fall to a 30% discount to NAV. Investor uncertainty isn't unreasonable given the wide range of investments held by the fund but the board seem to have plans to address the situation: https://quoteddata.com/2024/03...

So this seems like an interesting special situation which should recover as private investments are reduced and share buybacks continue.

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

I would agree re RCP Damian. I hold.

2
Avatar for Damian Cannon

Another one that looks interesting is Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust (LON:HSL) which focuses on shares outside the FTSE100. So a fairly wide pool to select from which ensures almost no overlap with my direct holdings. The principal attraction here is the unusually wide discount of 15% to NAV which feels to me unwarranted. You're also getting a yield above 3% which is helpful but not sufficient to make this an income investment.

Top ten holdings are:

Bellway3.33%
Paragon Banking Group3.07%
Oxford Instruments2.74%
Balfour Beatty2.64%
Vesuvius2.63%
Mitchells & Butlers2.61%
Ascential2.56%
OSB Group2.44%
Computacenter1.99%
Impax Asset Management Group1.96%
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Avatar for Damian Cannon

Decent full year trading update from Caledonia Investments (LON:CLDN) today with NAV up 7.4% over the year. I rather like this trust as it's really the Cayzer family investment vehicle which explains the 57 years of dividend growth. What's also attractive is the near 40% discount to NAV despite the portfolio successfully investing in three separate pools: Public companies, Private capital and Funds. Unfortunately the large holding of the Cayzer family means that scope for buybacks is limited but beyond that I like the approach being taken by the investment managers.

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Damian-I sold it a month or so ago- held for 3 years and disappointed by performance. 

0
Avatar for Prof Calculus

Wishing you well Ken !!

3
Avatar for OldSchool05

Get better soon Ken, really value your posts here!

3
Avatar for The Phoenix

First time i've dipped into this monthly thread and must say its very good, with some top table posters contributing, so many thanks Charles for the effort in setting it up and keeping the interest going.

I'm gradually switching out of single stocks into shaping an 100%  investment trust portfolio moving forward.

I'm a way better investor than when I started but equally I don't year on year do much better than the top line fund managers.

As such after being in the game for twenty years I'm thinking its time to accept I'm not going to be one of the five per cent high flying private investors but if I can put together a trust portfolio that chugs along at 10-15% per annum I will be more than happy.

The intention is to rebalance monthly and it should mean that rather 15-20 hours of research per week I can decrease it substancially freeing up more time to do other things as I head to late 50's and becoming aware more of the time clock beginning to run down.

On a final note Ken I remember when the Mike Walters site was near the end you were having health problems so I really wish you all the best and hope the horrible sepsis can finally be knocked on the head once and for all.

Regards Andy

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Avatar for KevinS1

Hi Phoenix,

Sounds like an almost mirror image of my own position and thoughts.

I have already made a lot of the transition, but am still holding about 25% in smaller companies/mid-caps  which I think have more to come, but even as these peak/crash/get-sold-out-of I will still keep a small % in small-caps as I enjoy the challenge.

By my calcs I only need about a 5-6% return pa to be comfortable and I would hope in the long-term (even with ups & downs along  the way) this will be achievable.

With my income getting turned off in 2months time (retiring) now is not the time to be going all out for growth and it is time to start to protect my position a bit more - wish I'd been a bit cleverer 2 years ago when I hit my ATH..................hindsight is great.

This thread each month is really useful for highlighting opportunities for further investigation, and when used alongside some other info (such as Money Makers, AIC etc) it really is great, so thanks to everyone.

Get well soon Ken.

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Avatar for The Phoenix

Interesting to hear Kevin for me its partly down to the fact I struggle to outperform the top managers .

So thinking if I can't beat them after two decades of trying I might as well put the family Sipp monies into a more automated approach where its safer to average down and rebalance in bear markets.

My intention is to gradually position my assets as follows ,three years worth of needed future annual income to cash/money market  funds/trusts the thinking being most bear markets end after two years so three years should provide adequate cover bar total melt down.

The middle tier will be 5% in gold, and the balance in short dated corperate bond funds with the income paid out to replenish the three years work of cash buckets.

The final 50% of the portfolio will be in growth trusts US, Europe, UK, Japan, Emerging 
markets and commodities.

The intended plan is in the good years the gains from the growth assets and income from the bond portion will top up replenish the cash drawn down as income and as mentioned if we have a bad period three years of cash should be enough to ride out without selling the growth assets at a low to fund income needs.

Interestingly if you had gone 60% S&P 500 an 40 US treasuries last four years I think you would still be nearly 40% ahead even allowing for 2022 being one of the worst years ever.

I'm not brave enough to plonk eveything into just two asset classes but think 12-15 plain vanilla trusts and three money market funds plus one gold bullion etf shouldn't require more than 2-3 hours per week monitoring , rebalanced monthly.

Regards

Andy

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Hi Andy, I would look at Vietnam and India within your emerging %. Vietnam is still frontier but will become an emerging market soon. Maybe look at Latin America- should benefit from near shoring- Mexico in particular. I hold a Mexican ETF-iShares MSCI Mexico Capped UCITS ETF USD (Acc) (LON:CMX1) . I am feeling bullish on Turkey as well- took a small position in iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF USD (Dist) (LON:ITKY) . ETF's do offer some targeted opportunities that Trusts do not always cover- there are ETF's for Indonesia- which is potentially interesting. The website Just ETF is free and good research tool.

The "Time Travelling Economist" by Charlie Robertson is an interesting read on what the triggers are for countries to develop.

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Avatar for The Phoenix

Thanks Charles I do already hold VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) it hasn't done much but I do see the story developing as the West pulls back from China but most likely we will still want a trade partner to fill our addiction to cheap toasters and kettles and Vietnam seems the most likely fit for that roll.

I think they also have a bigger army (body numbers) than China so the West will most likely take that into account also when looking for new allies.

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Avatar for ken mitchell

The Phoenix

Many thanks and  to the others  who posted their good wishes. Every effort is being made  (e.g  scans) to find the source of the blood poisoning. Much more to it than that but this is an investment bb…….and this one has become a must read now. Some superb posters here . 

As for Vietnam. Our amateur thoughts can be useful but imo it’s an absolute must to read the Monthly Reports and also the Results comment to get a good picture of the investment case. Sometimes the Trust Managers are Vietnamese. This point applies to all our potential foreign Investment Trust choices. 

i.e your points about Vietnam are valid but are just a tiny bit of the investment case. 

Also making maximum use of sites like aic and Citywire, AND the excellent weekly MoneyMakers podcasts helps improve our Investment Trust decision making.  There are some very useful links provided by Charles Mitchell in his header article for this thread. 

As for the Vietnam Trusts, there have been some excellent posts here, including on  why for a good while VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) has way outperformed VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) . I like and hold both and splitting the stake and holding both is well worth considering. 

A while ago I did a post covering 15 Regions and sectors that could be ideal for a core Investment Trust portfolio aimed at those like you looking to hold a quality Investment Trust portfolio. I’ll search it out and post it (and update it a bit) hopefully soon. 



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Avatar for KevinS1

Hi Andy,

That is pretty much my thinking, but I am not a big gold fan, so may miss that out.

I might also consider some of the capital protection trusts instead of the bond funds, dependent upon what rates are available as I switch into them.

Currently am juggling with the quandary of whether to withdraw a small amount out of my SIPP/drawdown each year to make use of lower tax rates, or whether to use ISA's and not touch the SIPP.

A lot to think about during this transition phase, but plenty of trusts out there worth looking at and seems like a reasonable time to invest in some decent discounts.

ATB - Kevin

5
Avatar for The Phoenix

Hi Kevin its worth considering a bullion gold etf as in 2022 it was one of the few things that went up. Bonds and stocks were positively correlated in 2022 now not so much but both will struggle if rates go higher from here.

Gold has benefitted from the enemies of the west hoovering it up as an alternative to US dollars since the Russians had the 300 billion odd of their dollar assets frozen.

Its also worth looking at a dollar tracker etf I think Lyxor do one as again when the world is going to hell in a hand cart as in 2022 the dollar normally does well as a safety asset.

Regards

Andy

4
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Allianz Technology Trust (LON:ATT) Interesting presentation via ShareSoc about this trust. https://youtu.be/iu-4Q7onaoQ?s...

Not a trust I have looked into but will now.

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Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

Thanks to Charles and Ken for responding on my post from last weekend, always good to hear other people's views. Unfortunately, unless it's a quick post, I only get to do proper reading and writing at the weekend. Work and family keep me busy and I am always behind on my investments. At some point, I will spend more time but that is unlikely to be until I go part-time!

Charles, I've come to the conclusion that a small buys into Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LON:SMT) or Polar Capital Technology Trust (LON:PCT) when I make larger purchases into value and dividend paying trusts may be the way to try to get some exposure (much smaller than my value and dividend paying holdings it has to be said).

Ken, thanks for your post on the resource sector, much appreciated. I see BlackRock World Mining Trust (LON:BRWM) is up 8% over the last month. I didn't cut my holding when the price drifted last year so nice to see it recover a little. The dividends over the past few years have been great. My only concern is the report in the WSJ regarding the likely sale by the Norway Sovereign Wealth Fund of their stake in Rio Tinto (LON:RIO). If only one fund selling then okay, no dramas. But if there is pressure on multiple funds to do this then I may take more notice. We will see.

I thought the following was a good summary of the Tritax Big Box REIT (LON:BBOX) acquisition of UK Commercial Property REIT (LON:UKCM). I seems that maybe the price is a little on the low side although it will be interesting to see if Tritax Big Box REIT (LON:BBOX) can get good sell on prices for the 39% of 'non-logistics' assets (retail, offices, hotels) that are part of the UK Commercial Property REIT (LON:UKCM) NAV.

https://tinyurl.com/2s45fkds

I agree with Lincs on BBGI Global Infrastructure SA (LON:BBGI). It looks a good trust to pick up at a 10% discount. All of the assets are operational. I think the following link is the same as produced in Lincs' post.

https://tinyurl.com/5x6j5pbj

AVI Global Trust (LON:AGT) double discount stands at 44% according to this Kepler article. I own the trust and would like to add on weakness. It is a pure value play invested in private equity, Japan and family owned businesses if I remember correctly. Joe Bauernfreund comes across well and has also been buying shares in both AVI Global Trust (LON:AGT) and AVI Japan Opportunity Trust (LON:AJOT).

https://tinyurl.com/bdeu2apm

I never know what to make of the healthcare and biotech sector. I used to like what the managers at International Biotechnology Trust (LON:IBT) said but the SP really hasn't done anything over the last few years and hearing that the sector is in a bear market wears a bit thin after a while regardless of how true it might be.

https://theaic.turtl.co/story/compass-april-24/page/1

fwiw, I liked the following article. It's all pretty basic stuff to Stockopedia subscribers but a good read all the same.

https://tinyurl.com/5d9kschd

SSB

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Avatar for ken mitchell

Another great post ShoeShineBoy. Don’t know how you find the time with those work and family demands. 

Just a quick reply for now on BlackRock World Mining Trust (LON:BRWM) . There’s nothing unusual about investors big and small selling when arguably they should be buying. I can’t see why a lot of big Funds would want to sell Rio Tinto (LON:RIO) or other big Mining shares. 

What affects the share price the most are the things we’ve covered  here like spot commodity prices and China demand. AND then the longer term “green energy” demand and likely supply shortages resulting from that demand. And then the lack of new mines to meet that demand, after the Miners learned their lesson from a reckless mine building spree in a previous boom. 

Short term the sector is guesswork. Longer term it looks imo a no brainer. Hence my suggestion to buy the big dips ….and not to panic buy after what might be another temporary bounce. One day …..SOON?…….that bounce will probably be for real and get built on fast. And Funds that sold might then be irrelevant. 

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Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

Hi Ken,

sorry to hear you are not well. I don't need to tell you sepsis is dangerous but it sounds like you are getting the correct medical treatment so I wish you a speedy recovery. Everything else comes second to good health.

Thanks for the feedback as always. I tend to agree with you, the economics behind the demand and supply of copper particularly are compelling. For the world to complete the electrification process, more copper has to be mined from now going forward than has ever been mined before. I also recall listening to a podcast a year or so back where the panel of 'experts' talked about deep sea mining because some of the existing countries with large copper deposits are either unstable or don't want the environmental side effects of large mines. This all points to the price of copper remaining high. I recall you saying you use the following site, it's certainly very useful.

https://tradingeconomics.com/commodities

Something I had forgotten about but looked up this morning: Ben Rogoff, the manager of Polar Capital Technology Trust (LON:PCT) spoke about the impact of the OpenAI tool "Sora". I looked it up in YouTube today and found the following 2 videos interesting:

Explanation of Sora as a tool:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SkCz4LqzNF4

And also how to spot AI-Generated videos (although I am sure AI will learn and get better):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XllmgXBQUwA

It's compelling stuff. AI is almost certain to have as a big an impact on society (and the markets) as the invention of the internet (which we all take for granted now).

We could see the markets go either way in the next couple of weeks, especially with so much reporting coming out of the US, the following gives a good indication of how the US market has performed year to date. I'm looking at Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust (LON:ASL) and BBGI Global Infrastructure SA (LON:BBGI) so maybe an opportunity to pick some up if there is volatility. One thing is for sure: the BoE won't reduce interest rates before the FED and I think we best we can hope for is a 0.75% cut in total this year. Inflation is proving sticky (just like Peter Spiller said 18 months ago!).

By David Randall and Lewis Krauskopf

NEW YORK, April 5 - The U.S. stock market is the most expensive it has been in around two years. Its valuation could be put to the test as companies report earnings in coming weeks.

The S&P 500 .SPX is up more than 9% year-to-date, following its strongest first-quarter performance since 2019. But the bar may be rising for stocks to keep advancing at that pace, increasing pressure on companies to deliver strong results.

The benchmark index trades at 20.7 times its estimated earnings for the next 12 months, near a more than two-year high of 21.2 hit in late March, according to LSEG Datastream. Unremarkable earnings growth could give investors less reason to hold onto stocks, at a time when elevated yields on Treasuries bolster the attractiveness of bonds.

Investors will also listen for companies’ views on the economy and inflation, to gauge whether the so-called Goldilocks environment of resilient growth and cooling consumer prices can continue.

Signs of stubborn inflation have diminished expectations in recent weeks for how deeply the Federal Reserve will cut rates this year. Stocks rose after another stronger-than-expected employment report on Friday.“If we're going to continue to make significant gains in the stock market, we have to not just meet, but probably exceed.... what those estimates are for earnings,” said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management.

Delta Air Lines DAL.N , BlackRock BLK.N , and JPMorgan Chase & Co JPM.N are among the companies scheduled to release their first quarter results next week. Investors will also be watching for March U.S. consumer price data, expected on April 10.

Analysts expect to see earnings growth of 5% in the first quarter, according to LSEG data. That would be the lowest since the second quarter of 2023. They expect margins to be squeezed by high interest rates, rising commodity costs, and falling corporate pricing power due to slowing inflation. Earnings grew by 10.1% in the fourth quarter of 2023.

The results of megacaps such as Nvidia NVDA.O , Meta Platforms META.O and Microsoft MSFT.O could be key for investor sentiment, following a divergence in the share price performance of the so-called Magnificent Seven stocks that led markets higher last year.

Chipmaker Nvidia, for instance, is up 78% in 2024, while Tesla TSLA.O shares have fallen over 30% due to concerns over its margins and demand. The electric vehicle maker has canceled the long-promised inexpensive car that investors have been counting on to drive its growth into a mass-market automaker, Reuters reported on Friday. "These businesses now need to justify these high valuations," said Bryant VanCronkhite, a portfolio manager at Allspring Global Investments. "The market is looking for every company to talk about their demand drivers and articulate what they see coming ahead."

At the same time, investors will be watching whether evidence of continuing strength in the U.S. economy flows through to rising revenues and earnings for industrial, energy, and other sectors that are closely tied to growth. Shares of these companies have largely performed well this year in a rally that has spread beyond technology and growth names. “If the U.S. economy starts to bounce from here you want exposure to industries with real economy end-markets," said Justin Menne, head of US equities for Harbor Capital Advisors, who is overweight shares of energy companies.

Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, said she expects “punishment” of companies that fail to meet expectations. "What will be critical beyond the beat rate will be the margin stories," she said.

As always, the Fed will loom large in investors’ minds. A robust earnings season and expectations of growing price pressures from companies could be seen as further evidence that the economy is too strong for the central bank to cut rates without risking an inflationary rebound.

March U.S. employment numbers backed up that narrative. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 303,000 jobs last month, far above expectations. Futures markets show investors expect the Fed to deliver around 70 basis points of rate cuts this year, compared to 150 basis points they had factored in January.

Yet weaker earnings could indicate cracks in the economy’s strength. Some investors believe that could boost the case for the Fed to ease monetary policy. "That bad news could actually be good news for the market because it leads to those Fed rate cuts that everyone is hoping for,” said Kevin Mahn, chief investment officer at Hennion & Walsh Asset Management.

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Pershing Square Holdings (LON:PSH) There has been a lot of discussion re fees charged. Here is the March statement. So NAV increased 3% after the fees- which are substantial were paid. I hold and am more than happy with the fees given the returns achieved.

fe0a2d21-a216-4dc2-835c-166f0adeb6df.png

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Canadian General Investments (LON:CGI) been following this for a while and not purchased. Was reminded by the Ian Cowie mention in the AIC compass I received today and bought a few. I have no US exposure and am belatedly looking to gain some. I find it hard given the valuations of some US stocks but I guess as the Manchester and London manager said recently in a couple of years todays prices will look cheap. Time will tell.

4
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Henderson Far East Income (LON:HFEL) ( I hold). Lates Insight "Postcard from Asia: India and Indonesia" https://www.janushenderson.com... NAV performance has picked up +9% over the last 3 months with a yield of 10.95%.

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Utilico Emerging Markets Trust (LON:UEM) have just released their late portfolio news. (I Hold) https://www.uemtrust.co.uk/new...

0
Avatar for ken mitchell

Thanks for the replies. I’ve followed up Charles’s suggestion including pasting my post here to  her. So it included all the ludicrous H/L gobbledygook too. 

The operative at Hargreaves tried to be helpful but didn’t even seem to know what an Investment Trust is!

6
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

I hold Gresham House Energy Storage Fund (LON:GRID) and am disappointed to the share price slide, despite the buybacks happening that the board have not clarified the dividend target for this and next year. It does seem Boards are oblivious to shareholders- well show no concern for informing the smaller private ones. I can find no direct email so have contacted the PR firm suggesting they contact the board with regard to an urgent announcement concerning this. Maybe the journalist David Stevenson who is a Senior Independent director of GRID and writes about trusts for Citywire would like to focus on this company and its shareholders. 

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Avatar for ken mitchell

This is scandalous imo. 

I want to buy 
Digital 9 Infrastructure (LON:DGI9) but can’t because Hargreaves Lansdown insist on the  investor passing  an examination first, and for reasons I can’t fathom, I’ve failed on one question.

It’s sheer stupidity that I can buy a hopeless share at big risk of going bust  like Superdry (LON:SDRY) but can’t buy a pooled  Investment like DG19 without this farcical test. Pointing out that I was a very experienced investor in Investment  Trusts fell on deaf ears. 

This needs exposing. Nonsense like this puts small investors off Investment Trusts. Trusts are already finding it hard to get new issues away and there are ever fewer Trusts and if this continues  there will be fewer investing in those left. 

Is it worth notifying DG19 Management as this is the last thing they will want surely?  

Also perhaps getting aic involved too? 

Below is the unnecessary and often irrelevant info sheet Hargreaves provide ahead of the questionnaire. Much of.it is irrelevant gobbledygook! 

“Why are some investments complex?

Infrequent opportunities to sell or high exit charges: Complex investments can often be difficult or impossible to buy or sell. Some may have dealing restrictions; for instance you may only be able to deal monthly or less frequently. For other investments which have specified maturity or redemption dates, investors may be unable to sell their investment during the life of the product meaning it can be difficult to gain access to your capital before maturity. Where you can sell, there may be high charges for early redemption.

Prices not publicly available: The price of some investments are not publically available or published regularly, or they may be in a currency in which investors cannot deal and could potentially be subject to additional costs when trading.

Where an investment can only be traded with one counterparty – for example the issuer of derivatives that an ETC/ETN is using to track the price of an asset – investors may be reliant on that counterparty offering a fair and correct price.

The investment is a derivative or it embeds a derivative: Some complex investments do not hold assets. Instead they use complex derivatives to match the return of an underlying investment or index. Derivatives carry a number of risks including magnifying the price movement of the underlying investment. There may also be extra costs to the investor through 'roll over' options. This is where derivatives held by the complex investment expire and new ones are bought.

Should the issuer of a derivative become insolvent, investors could lose their entire investment regardless of the performance of the underlying asset that the derivative is tracking. This is known as counterparty risk. This loss is unlikely to be covered under the Financial Service Compensation Scheme (FSCS) and investors may not be able to complain to the Financial Ombudsman Service (FOS).

Convertible risk: Issuers may have the right to forcibly convert from one type of investment to another, for example from a bond or preference share, to an ordinary share. This may be done at a time which is not favourable for investors. The price of a convertible investment is linked to the price of the investment into which it could be converted and may move sharply around the conversion dates. It is also likely investors in convertible shares will be converted into an investment ranking lower in the order of priority for repayment should the issuer go into administration.

Limited or very complicated product information: An investment can often be complex due to a lack of information regarding its structure and risks. Often where details are provided, they may be very complex as they are written with professional investors in mind.” 

Here’s the question I apparently got wrong. What IS the correct answer? 

“Complex investments can carry counterparty risk. Which of the following is the most accurate description of counterparty risk. 

1The loss of money due to the default (insolvency) of the derivative issuer. 

OR  

2 loss of money due to rolling over future contracts.

OR

3. inability to sell an investment on a stock marketSent from my iPad.” 

They let me retry 3 times so I gave a different answer and failed again. The third time I gave the only answer left and still failed! 

And finally here’s why I failed:- 

“Unfortunately you can't continue

Based on your answers you are unable to buy general complex investments

You may revisit the key risk information section and retake the test, or exit to return to your portfolio overview.

The questions you answered incorrectly are:

  • Which of the following are possible risks of investing in complex investments?
  • Complex investments can carry counterparty risk. Which of the following is the most accurate description of counterparty risk?


So I retook it and gave a different answer but failed again. They let me retake it again so I gave the only other answer left but STILL failed!! 

And as a result of all this nonsense I can’t buy DG19! 


12
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Ken- It is not even a complex fund. I use AJ Bell and they have a similar thing for some investments. Just a series of fairly simple questions which I complete- for my wife as well who has never bought a share on her won in her life !. It is a nonsense. I would get onto to Annabel at the AIC. They charge their members to sort this sort of crap.

4
Avatar for ken mitchell

Charles

I followed up your suggestion and emailed annabel at AIC but both attempts were “delivery failure.” 

I would have tried alternative way but have just been diagnosed with sepsis again so have to prioritise that short term, and hospital stay etc. It doesn’t stop me posting as I’m otherwise fit and time spent on investment research/posting etc helps take the mind off it, but it’s the wrong time for a possible series of emails with aic. 

IF anyone wants to take the nonsense up with aic then do so and feel free to paste my post here  to them. 

4
Avatar for Lincs

Hi Ken

Inappropriate tick box exercise by HL to cover their backside against any future claims - you've just got to look at PPI and the recent motor vehicle loan claims to see what totally unexpected claims (and in my view, unwarranted) come out of the woodwork. Anyway, back to your question - I did exactly the same and thought there must be some kind of weird algorithm at work - I cleared my history and cookies and tried again - hey presto, I'm now a qualified investor! I'm still waiting for my certificate that I'll frame and proudly hang on the wall :-) Ludicrous eh? 

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Avatar for KevinS1

Hi Ken,

I thought I'd see how things were with respect to my HL account.  Unfortunately it allowed me to place an order for Digital 9 Infrastructure (LON:DGI9) without a problem - I guess I must have already passed the test - I have a vague recollection sometime back maybe having to prove myself professional enough...........it might have been with Pershing Square Holdings (LON:PSH) which I bought back in 2021 and top-ups through 22 & 23..

So apologies, I couldn't help - but I did cancel the order very quickly as I am not wanting to hold Digital 9 Infrastructure (LON:DGI9) but do appreciate others will, and see the opportunity here.

Might be worth a quick call to their helpdesk, which I find normally pretty helpful.

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Does anyone have a view on Real Estate Credit Investments (LON:RECI) . Price is falling but all the latest from the company seemed positive. Yield now plus 10%

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Avatar for Tommy H

Hi Charles

I hold in mum's ISA (pension), my ISA and my sisters ISA.  So one in current income and two in reinvestment imminent income, big sis just had major operation so might be any day if that is not successful(ish).

I like the fund, overall happy with it, obviously the share price slide and negative capital position is not what I want, but at the same time I do not question what the fund is doing.  I guess there are a lot of people out there still thinking there are a lot of offices that are half empty most of the time, surely there is going to be a property crash and a much higher level of defaults, and also how many warehouses does Amazon really need...

Then again people bought Begbies Traynor (LON:BEG) on the basis Covid was going to create a boom in insolvencies, which we are still waiting to happen, and not sure where they were going to hire another 50% more staff to deal with it...but people like the story!

So concluding, yes there is a risk in property, the world has changed since Covid, but as a small (1-2% position) I am happy with that risk, and will take the income.

I am currently moving some of my SIPP from Vanguard to AJBell, to start developing the first stage of my retirement income portfolio, so will also probably put a small position in that too.

Tommy

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Thanks Tommy

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Spring newsletter from Oakley Capital Investments (LON:OCI) (I hold). Follow this link https://mailchi.mp/oakleycapit...

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Avatar for Indie

Strategy question – multiple different viewpoints welcomed from the wise collective.

Fidelity Special Values (LON:FSV)  was bought for me by my stockbroker and was one that I kept when I transferred everything into my Barclays SmartInvestor ISA last year. Its aim is to find UK companies which are undervalued or where the potential has not been recognised by the market. According to the AIC website, its total share price returns have been: 9.4% over 1yr; 15.1% over 3 yrs; 24.9% over 5 yrs; and 97.9% over 10 yrs. I’m happy with that return, plus it has low ongoing charges of 0.7% and a dividend yield of 3.07%.

I recently looked at the full list of companies it owns, not just the top ten, and it contains about 10% companies that I hold or have held, plus more that have been on my watchlist – so it feels like it fishes in very much the same pond in which I stockpick.

My first thought was a sort of smug vindication – they and I are clearly on the right lines and I can carry on my course to a fabulous capital growth future by both doing it myself and having Fidelity in my corner.

My second thought was that there’s an overlap and therefore lack of diversity. I should sell Fidelity as it’s doing what I’m doing and use the money for an investment trust that complements my stockpicking.

My third thought was that it would be a lot less work to just let Fidelity get on with it and not go to the bother of stockpicking – I could sell the shares and pile the money into Fidelity.

I’m now in indecision paralysis.

My investments are in roughly a third global tracker, a third investment trusts and a third shares that I stockpick.

Any suggestions?

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

I recently bought FSV for my wife's ISA. They have a good record- and I took the view they could do a better job than me for her with less grief for me !! I did work at Fidelity briefly when they launched in the UK in the 1980's so maybe slightly biased

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Avatar for Indie

Thanks, Charles, v useful and in line with my third thought.  A positive bias for someone you've worked for is a good situation to be in! 

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

It was only for 18 months- Anthony Bolton was the fund manager of FSS- I was keen, but they had no small fund I could manage so moved back to stockbroking- specialising in Investment Trusts !

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Avatar for KevinS1

I sold out of my renewable holdings Foresight Solar Fund (LON:FSFL) & NextEnergy Solar Fund (LON:NESF) earlier in the year - lost about 15% on both, but felt they still had a way to drop and with a lot of uncertainty around interest rates and their model I felt it was better out than in.

I found the following article quite interesting with regards to Gresham House Energy Storage Fund (LON:GRID) which has had a horror show for the last few months - down about 75% I think, but to be fair National Grid has not helped, but there  might be some light at the end of the tunnel for it.  It pulled its dividend back in Feb, so don't take the Stocko div figures into account.

Anyway, an interesting one to do more research on and see if it holds a recovery story.

https://www.itinvestor.co.uk/2...

The author (Stuart Watson) writes the very detailed reviews of all of the IT's on Money Makers and is very good.

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Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

Tend to agree KevinS1. I sold NextEnergy Solar Fund (LON:NESF) a good while back. Whilst the dividends were good, they have never really executed on their plan of selling assets to reduce debt. I recall they sold one asset but that was a 'subsidy-free' solar farm which was something I suspect they really wanted to keep. Bluefield Solar Income Fund (LON:BSIF) has the best execution in the sector it seems but still trades on a large discount of 26%. Some of the renewable trusts are difficult to value maybe.

SSB 

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Avatar for OldSchool05

Morning all,

NextEnergy Solar Fund (LON:NESF) has been a disappointment.  It was Peter Spiller on a recent Money Makers podcast who raised similar concerns about this Trust, adding that the sale they did make was to a related party.  More concerning in this case is the loan to value being quite high, with about half of those loans being at floating rate.   He makes the point that it is very difficult to borrow at a rate of, say, 7% floating, and make a profit on these renewable assets.

I do hold Bluefield Solar Income Fund (LON:BSIF) as I think they have a better track record and have been more active to raise funds and exit certain assets through a joint venture with a large pension fund.

I am considering putting money into BBGI Global Infrastructure SA (LON:BBGI).  I watched the recent Kepler Trust Intelligence interview and was impressed with the investment manager.  They have now paid off their RCF and have a good track record of growing dividends, as opposed to HICL Infrastructure (LON:HICL) who have been stagnant.  Does anyone have a view on BBGI Global Infrastructure SA (LON:BBGI) ?

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Avatar for Lincs

Unfortunately for me I'm still holding NESF at a 20% loss but I am (maybe incorrectly) convincing myself that it is at / near bottom so would be daft to sell. I did sell out of GSF and HEIT and re-invested most of the funds that released into TRIG. 

I already hold BBGI and will top up when funds permit. The interview served to re-enforce much of what I already know and like about the co. I see the existing poor SP as being hit by the downturn effecting all prop / infrastructure co.s but that doesn't take account of the fact that BBGI is (unlike a lot of others) debt free and highly cash generative with a great track record of value adding for it's investors. Video recording here

https://www.investormeetcompan...

Edit Kepler just released analysis

BBGI Global Infrastructure (BBGI) has released its results for 2023. The trust saw a small 1.2% decrease in NAV over the 12 months period. This was the first decline in NAV since IPO in 2011 and was almost entirely due to macro factors outside of the managers' control, including an increase to the discount rate, movements in the currency markets, and proposed changes to Canadian tax legislation.

Long-term performance for the trust remains strong. Annualised returns since IPO in 2011 to the end of 2023 equalled 8.6% on a NAV total return basis.

The trust met its higher dividend target for the year of 7.93p per share, a 6% increase on 2022. Dividends were fully covered at 1.4x. BBGI reaffirmed its dividend target of 8.40p per share for 2024 - another 6% year-on-year increase. This is also expected to be fully covered.

The ability to maintain a progressive dividend policy looks secure. Projected cash flows from the existing portfolio would be enough to sustain annual dividend growth for the next 15 years, even if no further investments were made.

The trust fully paid down its revolving credit facility last year, using surplus cash generated by the underlying portfolio. BBGI made use of the facility in 2022 to make two investments, demonstrating that BBGI can grow organically without going to the equity markets.

BBGI Chair Sarah Whitney said: "The investment environment has fundamentally altered over the last 24 months, but BBGI's portfolio has all the defensive qualities required to deliver a solid income stream. Our management team continues to manage the company's risk profile with their customary attention to detail and will review opportunities to extend the life of the portfolio in order to maintain the duration of our asset base for the benefit of shareholders in the years ahead."

Kepler View

We think BBGI Global Infrastructure (BBGI) possesses numerous strengths as a means to gain exposure to infrastructure assets today.The trust continues to offer investors a secure source of long-term income and capital growth potential, with the small dip in NAV last year largely due to macro factors, rather than investment decisions the managers have made.

BBGI now has no debt on the trust level, with management meeting their commitment to fully repay by the 2023 year end a revolving credit facility that they made use of in 2022 to fund two investments. That those repayments were made entirely from surplus cash flows is a sign that the trust can continue to grow organically, without issuing new equity.

Dividend growth continues to be compelling, with the 6% increase made last year being matched in 2024 with an equivalent growth target. That the trust can continue to pay a progressive dividend for 15 years, assuming no further investments are made, is testament to the stability of cash flows in the underlying portfolio.

Ultimately we think BBGI sits an interesting juncture. The trust trades at a wide discount and the potential for rate cuts in the near term mean there is potential for investors to enjoy an uplift to capital, as well as the ability to lock in an attractive forward yield.

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Avatar for ken mitchell

I bought Chrysalis Investments (LON:CHRY) in January after excellent  posts from Donald Pond. In case anyone hasn’t already seen it, there’s a good thread  here on Chrysalis started by Donald:-

https://www.stockopedia.com/co...

Hardly anyone agreed with my enthusiasm for Amedeo Air Four Plus (LON:AA4. They’ve announced the next quarterly dividend which is, as expected, 2p. That’s a yield of 4.8% just for that dividend and it’s 19% annual yield. The share seems to have bottomed now.  Share goes ex dividend on 11th April and pay day 30th April.

As posted before including on a separate Mining sector thread, the chances of a long and sustained Mining bull market are high. The big doubt is when it will start. The sector has been strong recently and not impossible that it’s already started. 

BlackRock World Mining Trust (LON:BRWM) NAV was up 13p today at £5.73p compared with £5.60 yesterday. Share price is only modestly above recent £4.94p low at £5.31p. Looks a great lockaway. Dividend yield may well have bottomed and the lower the investor buy price the better the yield. 

Digital 9 Infrastructure (LON:DGI9) . I sold but after reading Donald Pond’s post on the separate “DG19 falling knife or opportunity” thread am very tempted to buy it back. IF aic NAV figure of £1 (compared with share at just 22p) really is realistic then regardless of the short term negatives covered by Donald, buying now could pay off in time. 

Again in case anyone hasn’t seen it here’s that Digital 9 Infrastructure (LON:DGI9) thread.  Scroll to Donald’s post there at 3.30 today. 

https://www.stockopedia.com/co...

VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) I know I’m like a stuck  record on Vietnam and this Trust but it still looks so worthwhile bothering to check it out. NAV is up  to £6.06 today and up 52p so far this year, The share price at £4.68 is only up 12p this year, with main reason for the lag being the widening discount to NAV. 


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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Sold my poor investment in BH Macro (LON:BHMG) which has been a bad 18 month holding and bought Chrysalis Investments (LON:CHRY) which I have been following for a while. AVI stake was a factor, plus Donald Pond's excellent note "Chrysalis - about to become a butterfly (again)". Citywire just issued a report saying AVI now hold 8.4%.

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Avatar for Lincs

Late to the party; bought in yesterday. Been watching since Donald brought this to our attention in January (thanks Donald) and the AVI news was all I needed to hit the buy button.

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Avatar for Albertos

BlackRock World Mining Trust (LON:BRWM) is looking very good at the moment - although these things can turn on a sixpence.

Discount has now (due I think mainly to a bank holiday and not catching up to the US) gone out to over 9% by my calculation.

If you think commodities have a way to run then this looks good at the moment - a 9% discount on BlackRock World Mining Trust (LON:BRWM) is unusual in my experience.

I hold.

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Avatar for KevinS1

Looking at the chart it looks like since late 2020 the discount has closed,  but previously has traded at a reasonable discount.  If the commodity prices start to tick up then it should close - copper has done very well recently and I think many of the other commodities appear to be coming back a bit, so here's hoping it has made a base and will climb back to its previous highs.

d8551a22-a51b-4cd5-9f84-c113bbf4d054.png

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Supermarket Income REIT (LON:SUPR) The company have announced that the managers have basically a 2 year pay off in various scenarios. Not sure if the Trust feels a possible takeover is being considered- given the discount is only 13% and yield only just above the latest purchase of a Tesco store which yields 7.5% which is being funded by borrowings through the current revolving credit facility not sure what the huge attraction would be. I have held the shares but the disappointing share price did not justify holding on for the yields. The managers do talk a great story- but  I have just rather lost confidence in anything other than the yield providing a return-to be fair the dividend would appear pretty safe. 

"

The Company also announces that it has entered into an amended and restated investment advisory agreement (the "Revised IAA") with its investment adviser, Atrato Capital Limited (the "Investment Adviser"), and its alternative investment fund manager, JTC Global AIFM Solutions Limited.

The principal amendments to the existing IAA relate to the termination provisions of the agreement and seek to reflect the original commercial intentions of the Board and Investment Adviser. The Board has agreed to make these amendments to provide clarification for all parties in the event of a takeover, delisting or liquidation (a "Relevant Event"). As described below, the Revised IAA allows for a payment in lieu of written notice to the Investment Adviser following a Relevant Event, limited to the equivalent of the fees that would have been due over the existing rolling two-year written notice period. The two-year written notice period was agreed in July 2021 (RNS Number: 2849F), in conjunction with a reduction in the investment advisory fees.

In particular, the Revised IAA:

· clarifies that fees relating to the period following a Relevant Event are calculated on the basis of the last available net asset value prior to the Relevant Event;

· gives the Company the right, in addition to its existing right to terminate on two years' written notice (where notice would be required to be worked), to terminate the agreement following the announcement of a takeover, a possible takeover or a delisting. Such termination would take effect upon the Relevant Event becoming effective and the Investment Adviser would, on that date, receive a payment in lieu of written notice (such that notice would not be required to be worked) equal to fees for a period of two years less the time since the notice was given or (if earlier) since the date on which any earlier termination notice was given; and

· clarifies that if there is a liquidation or similar event in relation to the Company, and the Investment Adviser terminates the agreement with immediate effect (as it has always been entitled to do), the Investment Adviser would immediately receive a payment in lieu of written notice (such that notice would not be required to be worked) equal to fees for a period of two years less (if applicable) the time since any earlier termination notice was given.

"

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Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

The managers are ex-Goldmans Charles. I think they've done a pretty good job paying out the dividends but today's announcement has a bit of bad smell about it. Feels like they're setting themselves up to get out quick if the opportunity arises and without doing any more work! We shall see.

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Avatar for chelsea

Just increased their borrowing facility with Mitsui today!

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Avatar for Indie

I see today in the Europe Research Round-up that Jefferies cuts target price of Supermarket Income REIT (LON:SUPR) to 60p from 90p, and cuts to underperform from buy.

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Life Science Reit (LON:LABS) I recall when it launched thinking this was a good idea-the demand for labs seemed to be greater than the supply. However I did not invest as I could not quite understand the investment strategy. Sadly for those who did invest my caution was warranted. Very disappointing results re the dividend. Personally nothing would induce me to invest now- I note they now state dividend will reflect earnings . 

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Avatar for ShoeShineBoy

Hi Charles, ditto other people's sentiments re this thread. Really enjoyable and so many different trusts discussed.

fwiw, one or two links, thoughts and the usual unanswered questions from me! In no particular order:

Renewables Infrastructure (LON:TRIG) continues to sell assets at prices higher than 31.12.23 NAV but the SP keeps sliding! Now on a 22% discount to NAV. 7% yield is covered but AIC web site says revenue reserves are zero. What I have learnt in the past is that the AIC do not always populate 'revenue reserves' if the number is not easily available from annual reports. Any thoughts ? I have a small holding currently at a loss to my buy price but the dividends keep rolling in. 

https://tinyurl.com/mu9dyuh5 

Kepler article on BlackRock World Mining Trust (LON:BRWM).

https://tinyurl.com/3y7uaw2z

What caught my eye was the following:

Chairman of the board David Cheyne said: “Inflationary pressures are easing in the US and UK and inflation is expected to return towards target in 2024. Remaining COVID-19 pandemic era supply disruptions are also fading and the Chinese government has moved forward with a series of stimulus measures to turn round its ailing economy which should support commodity demand. The energy transition to a low carbon economy is also set to increase demand for materials in the supply chain for low carbon technologies, including copper, steel and lithium, which is a positive tailwind for selective parts of the mining sector.” 

I have kept my pretty much all my holding even though HL says the SP is down 21% over the last year. Copper is the key for me. It is in short supply and the time taken to get new mines up and running is significant. Does China have significant reserves built up ? Maybe but it's western nations that are demanding it more now for electrification.

Charles, you have said in the past Tritax Big Box REIT (LON:BBOX) is one of your core holdings. I understand the acquisition of UK Commercial Property REIT (LON:UKCM) is going through at a 10% premium to NAV. I looked up the UK Commercial Property REIT (LON:UKCM) assets and they look pretty decent from a web site perspective (nothing compares with seeing stuff in real life). Tritax Big Box REIT (LON:BBOX) is currently trading at an 11% discount to NAV with a covered dividend of 5%. 

It seems the UK Commercial Property REIT (LON:UKCM) assets will only make the combined NAV better in terms of quality: 

Aubrey Adams, chairman of BBOX said: “The Board of BBOX believes the Combination has compelling strategic and financial rationale for both BBOX and UKCM Shareholders. UKCM has assembled a high-quality logistics-oriented portfolio with a South-East and Midlands focus and significant embedded rental reversion potential, all characteristics which are complementary to BBOX’s current portfolio. The Combination grows BBOX’s exposure to “last mile” and urban logistics assets which have the potential to enhance returns of the existing portfolio. This Combination represents a continuation of the highly successful strategy that BBOX has delivered since IPO and which over recent years has included acquiring selected “last mile” and urban logistics assets.

Any particular views on the combined entity going forward ?

https://tinyurl.com/drmb6yfh

2 trusts that I would like to top up on at some point are HgCapital Trust (LON:HGT) and AVI Global Trust (LON:AGT). On HgCapital Trust (LON:HGT), I read a recent CityWire article (apologies, I can't find the link) that said the average PE is 26. That seems full to me but the trust keeps selling holdings at above NAV so maybe not too over the top.

On AVI Global Trust (LON:AGT), the discount has narrowed but lots of the holdings are trading on wide discounts to NAV, especially the private equity and Japan trusts so the headline discount (very much like Migo Opportunities Trust (LON:MIGO) and TR Property Investment Trust (LON:TRY)) is not the end calculation that private investors need to understand. 

Monthly update read well and the trust manager has recently bought. Joe Bauernfreund was interviewed by MoneyWeek recently and provided a useful summary of Japan over the last 30+ years. I like the Japan theme and also the big holding in Oakley Capital Investments (LON:OCI). Not on such a steep discount these days but I like the value approach. I already own and may add. fwiw, Pershing Square Holdings (LON:PSH) gets a mention in the attached link.

http://tinyurl.com/yxjfyxu9

fwiw, I have noticed that Nippon Active Value Fund (LON:NAVF) typically goes up on bad days. No idea why.

I liked the following articles by George Ensor: 

Why buy UK small caps ? Because they're as good as S&P500.

http://tinyurl.com/3cnvkz7w

4 things we need for the big small-cap recovery.

http://tinyurl.com/84xh2vrd

Finsbury Growth & Income Trust (LON:FGT), I have posted about this a few times on Stockopedia but still not bought it. Focus is on a concentrated portfolio of mainly UK listed companies with high margins and ROCE. Investing in companies making high use of AI is also frequently mentioned.

http://tinyurl.com/bddkh2u4

Trust managers also recently released a 30 minute video. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cDmSMadolzA

Perhaps I should also just take the plunge on Finsbury Growth & Income Trust (LON:FGT) given it's good underlying quality stats and the fact Warren Buffett is buying Diageo (LON:DGE).

I was surprised by the announcement this week from Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LON:SMT). If these guys can't find somewhere decent to invest money then no one can. Will the buybacks work ? Not sure but I quite liked the announcement, simply for the fact that Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LON:SMT) are upbeat on the cash generation of their existing holdings. 

Maybe I should cut my (small) losses on Capital Gearing Trust (LON:CGT) and Caledonia Investments (LON:CLDN), and invest the proceeds into Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LON:SMT) at a 15% discount for the next few years ? Accept there will be some ups and downs along the way. I have too many boring holdings anyway :-)

A discount has opened up on City of London Investment Trust (LON:CTY). In fact the biggest discount in 10 years. Yield of 5% with 0.44 years of that covered by revenue reserves. I could be tempted to switch my Edinburgh Investment Trust (LON:EDIN) holding over to City of London Investment Trust (LON:CTY).

Finally, I notice the stats in the most recent AIC Compass update: "And for those who like buying at discounts, there’s some interesting research that my colleague, Nick Britton, has done which shows that investing when discounts are more than 10% can lead to better returns in the following years. The difference based on historic data is quite significant – annualised returns of 13.6% over the next five years when investing at a double-digit discount, compared to 9.3% when investing at a discount narrower than 5%. That’s more than four percentage points difference"

We knew that already right ?! Just nice to see  some stats confirm it.

https://theaic.turtl.co/story/compass-march-2024/page/2/3

Thoughts on any of the above welcome.

SSB

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Thanks Shoe Shine- always good to discuss Trusts. I am considering increasing Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LON:SMT) holding. Managed to buy near the bottom but I can only see upside. I missed HGT but been a long term holder of Oakley Capital Investments (LON:OCI) . Still hold BBOX- but maybe just because we did well for many years. I am  hopeful they will bounce back.

Just bought CTY for my wife's ISA- looks good value.

The main part of my Trust portfolio is overseas. I could be wrong but confident India, Vietnam and Latin America will provide good returns. Taken a punt on Turkey through an EFT and hold Georgia Capital (LON:CGEO) .

6
Avatar for ken mitchell

Another great post ShoeShineBoy; thanks. And yes, thanks again to Charles. His efforts are being rewarded via significantly increased interest in these Investment Trust threads. 

A few random thoughts.

Like Charles I’ve held Oakley Capital Investments (LON:OCI) for a good while, and City of London Investment Trust (LON:CTY) which I bought in the 2020 dip. CTY is a bit of a plodder but useful income and a rock solid choice for cautious investors. Dividend increases for over 50 years, but sometimes those increases are very small! 

I prefer Tritax EuroBox (LON:EBOX) to Tritax Big Box REIT (LON:BBOX) mainly because while waiting for the upside when at last interest rate cuts ahead get priced in via rising share  prices. The REIT sector is seeing amalgamations that could well continue. I continue to hold Aew UK Reit (LON:AEWU) bought in 2020 at just 63p to give fab 13% dividend yield, Alternative Income REIT (LON:AIRE) Schroder Real Estate Investment Trust (LON:SREI) (up today after apparently being given a plug in Mail Midas tipping column) Schroder European Real Estate Investment Trust (LON:SERE) Supermarket Income REIT (LON:SUPR) and abrdn Property Income Trust (LON:API) …plenty going on with that one and current 50p looks a steal. 

Following up your section on the Mining Sector ShoeShineBoy……I’m going to get round to doing a post on the “Big Mining Sector bull market” thread soon. That bull market might have started. China remains key, but imo less so than in the past as “green” demand could see a big sustained rally. And the good news is that BlackRock World Mining Trust (LON:BRWM) at £5.27p (up10p today) is still not far off the recent £4.92 low. BlackRock World Mining Trust (LON:BRWM) is the best choice for exposure to the big Mining Companies and is ideal for anyone keen to invest in the sector but not up to speed on it.  I have also held CQS Natural Resources Growth and Income (LON:CYN) and Blackrock Energy and Resources Income Trust (LON:BERI) since the 2020 crash and they are well worth checking out too, but BlackRock World Mining Trust (LON:BRWM) yield is better. 

I missed out on Pershing Square Holdings (LON:PSH). 

As for those big Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LON:SMT) buybacks. I just don’t like them. If Managers are any good they should be able to invest that money with shrewd new investment choices. So get NAV UP THAT WAY and not by wasting it on buybacks. So often Investment Trusts buying back don’t see the narrowing of the NAV discount they are looking for by buying back. AND if the NAV discount does narrow for a while, it often widens again when the buyback programme ends. 

Good to see Henderson Far East Income (LON:HFEL) at long last continuing to recover. Dividend is still over 10%. 

Finally. Fwiw…..I STILL think Vietnam is going  to CONTINUE to be a great investment  and any of the 3 Vietnam Trusts VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) Vietnam Enterprise Investments (LON:VEIL) and VOF should reward. I hold VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) and VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) but right now it’s VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) on a wide 20% or so discount that looks the best choice. VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) share price performance has been much better, partly because the wide discount has narrowed so much. High chance that VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) will now catch up helped perhaps by a narrowing of that too wide discount to NAV. 

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Ken, Thanks for the post. I have bought API- with the latest NAV at 78.31 it does look very cheap- assuming the Board do not mess up the wind down. I half expect an offer to appear as well.

3
Avatar for ken mitchell

I agree Charles. abrdn Property Income Trust (LON:API) is looking a low risk buy at current 50p. 

For any who haven’t followed recent events it’s worth checking out the investment case now as this next bit is just the briefest of summaries.

 The all share merger with Custodian Property Income Reit (LON:CREI) was voted down. So abrdn Property Income Trust (LON:API) have now decided to go for winding down their portfolio. That needs a 50% vote to succeed (unlike the merger that needed 75%).

With the 37% discount  to NAV and a case to be made that the valuation of some of their properties is conservative, there’s a high chance that there would be a very good  return over the next couple of years as  the wind down takes place. IF they also maintain the big  8% dividend that would be an added bonus. 

Should the wind down also be voted down then the share looks very cheap anyway should it end up with the Trust just continuing as now. 

AND finally, there must be a chance of further corporate action and perhaps a successful bid next time. 





8
Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Ken- it will be interesting to see re dividend. As I currently see no reason to cut while they are getting the income and given the name of the trust it would be strange if they reduced/cancelled it.

0
Avatar for sevenccc

Support your views on Vietnam Ken. Interested to see the difference in performance and discount though between VOF and VNH so far this year.

VOF 474p currently. YTD up about 3.5% with NAV up 6% and discount around 20%.

VNH 381p currently. YTD up about 15% with NAV up 10.5% and discount only 3%.

VOF looks good value but VNH seems to have more momentum. Discount on the latter has only reduced from 7% or so at start of year. Any clues as to what this might be down to?  Is the difference in the FPT holdings that we mentioned before do you think?

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

VNH have announced that there would be an annual redemption opportunity. They are also , in my opinion, way ahead in shareholder communication. (I hold both)

4
Avatar for ken mitchell

Yes sevenccc; I can answer your question about why the VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) discount  is wider than usual and the VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) discount narrower than in the past . 

I can answer because bothVinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) and VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) commented on their discounts in their recent Results statements. 

Here’s VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) explanation why their discount has narrowed:-

“It is worth noting that the Fund has the narrowest discount of the three London-listed Vietnam focused funds. Over the last twelve months the discount was at an average of 13.3% versus 17% for its peers. At the end of December, the discount was 7.7%, versus an average of 19.5% for peers. I believe the narrower discount is partly a reflection of the innovative redemption facility that was proposed to shareholders in November and unanimously approved in December. Starting this September, shareholders will have the option to redeem shares on an annual basis at NAV[1]. Of course, investors are also free to buy and sell shares in the market at any time.”

And VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) explained why their discount has widened even more. It’s because of a big institutional seller reducing its exposure to Vietnam.

Another reason for the bigger VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) discount is doubts about the valuation of their non quoted holdings. 

There’s no doubt that VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) has been the better performer for a while now, and their 6 month NAV was up 8% while VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) NAV was flat. BUT note that if VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF) discount was the same as VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) is now the VOF share price would be about 560p compared with current 473p but if VietNam Holding (LON:VNH) discount was the same 19% as VOF their share price would be 320p instead of 380p. 

I hold both VOF and VNH and have held for most of this century,only dumping them during the early days of the covid falls. Both have proved to be fabulous winning investments.  And imo that’s going to continue for many years ahead too with the inevitable temporary Vietnam market dips being top up opportunities for those (unlike me) not already holding as many as we want. 

The obvious solution is to split the stake and hold both. That stops the need to guess which one will prove to be the better performer from now. 


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Avatar for OldSchool05

Hi Charles, thanks so much for keeping this thread going, and growing.  

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

Georgia Capital (LON:CGEO) A PE frontier fund focussed on Georgia. The main holding is Bank of Georgia (LON:BGEO) -about 33% of the fund asset value. Bank of Georgia has just purchased Ameriabank- a large bank in Armenia. CGEO trades at a discount of 55% to NAV- and you can see the NAV every 15 minutes on their website. https://georgiacapital.ge/inve...

I hold the fund. Biggest risk is obviously Russia starting another invasion- but unlikely at the moment in my opinion. But it is a risk and there is some unease at the number of Russians who fled Russia after the war with Ukrainian started and moved mainly to the capital Tbilisi. 

I am keen on frontier and emerging market funds- personally think  the risk is outweighed by potential returns given shifts in international sourcing of goods .I also hold BlackRock Frontiers Investment Trust (LON:BRFI) , Blackrock Latin American Investment Trust (LON:BRLA) , iShares MSCI Mexico Capped UCITS ETF USD (Acc) (LON:CMX1) and iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF USD (Dist) (LON:ITKY) . 

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Avatar for Charles Mitchell

India performed poorly last month as a shakeout of local Private investors took place. It seems to have stabilised now and a rally is anticipated. Macau Property Opportunities Fund (LON:MPO) was down- a fund I have dealt in pre covid and did well. Whether Macau property prices will recover is the question- the fund is winding down. I am monitoring it.

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Avatar for Brucie5

Maybe take a look at GPM, which looks like breaking up strongly off the back of rising gold prices.  I noticed Ed Shing wrote a piece about PoG this weekend;  GPM should be a beneficiary and its upwards/downwards trends are fairly clear.

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