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Archived articleThis is an archived article from 2011 - please note that any content within the article may be out of date.

Medusa Mining - Delivering the goods

Medusa Mining (LON:MML) recently released its Activities Report for the final quarter of 2010 and its key operation the Co-O Mine in the Philippines once again delivered the goods. The mine produced a quarterly record in gold production and continues, on the exploration front, too deliver outstanding results.

It is no surprise that Medusa’s confidence in the Co-O continues to grow. Plans to expand the mines capacity have been put into place and cash flowing from the Co-O mine has allowed an increase in activity at its other project sites. Importantly, the company has not forgotten its shareholders by declaring a maiden dividend in the quarter.

During last year’s final quarter, the company produced a quarterly record with the production of 26,123 ounces of gold, which the company indicated was slightly above their budgeted figure for the quarter. Cash costs were US$185 per ounce which was an improvement on the preceding quarter of US$187.

The company sold 23,224 ounces of gold during the fourth quarter at an average price of US$1,384 per ounce. This price was considerably higher than the US$1,208 per ounce average received over the third quarter of 2010. Medusa is unhedged.

Medusa continues to develop its Co-O mine to ensure mining the ore body is maximised. A number of shaft developments and portals are currently underway to allow access to the vein zones. In addition further resource drilling was undertaken during the period, both surface and underground which has enabled the company to improve its current resource for the Co-O mine. Beyond Co-O, the Bananghilig prospect now has a resource classification with an inferred of 650,000 ounces of gold and other prospects including Anoling, Trento and Suagon are now on the company’s radar.

One particular highlight was the completion of a programme of drilling at Saugon, with 34 holes drilled for a total of 7,493 metres. The Saugon mineral system like that at Co-O is a rich vein system. Assay results from the programme are expected shortly.

The company declared a maiden dividend of US 5 cents per share for the period to 31 December 2010. We expect the company will maintain a progressive dividend policy going forward with dividends rising as the company’s operations can sustain the increase.

For 2011 full year the company has forecast gold production of 100,000 ounces of gold at a cash cost of US$190 per ounce and for 2012 a target in the range 120,000 to 130,000 ounces of gold at a cash cost of US$190 per ounce. In our opinion the company should readily achieve these forecast barring an unforeseen events and in doing so will generate significant cash flow from high operating margins.

This report was produced by Senior Research Analyst, David Lennox.

Disclaimer

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2 comments


Avatar for p3dr036

An excellent post Mark,

Medusa is the long term jewel in the crown in the ISAs my wife and I have. I can't think of another gold miner with better future propects than Medusa. Geoff Davis and his team continue to under-prmose and over-achieve.

Your post rightly concerns the Co-O mine alone as this was the main emphasis of the quarterly update.

However the future for Medusa also includes their many other projects nearby which all add to the attractivemness of MML as a long term hold.

Peter

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Avatar for marben100

...a few points to add/note/clarify:

  • Medusa's FY ends in June, so the 100,000oz target is for the FY ending June 2011. Over 51,000oz has already been produced in the 6 months to December 2010. Medusa seems set to beat its target, as usual. The 120,000 -130,000oz target is for FY end June 2012.
  • Mill capacity is being increased in the short term, which will allow the increased 2011/12 production target to be hit:

Installation is underway of two new leach tanks to increase the leaching capacity to approximately 1,000 tonnes per day.

  • Cash and bullion on hand stands at US$87.2m, up from US$69.4m at the end of the previous quarter - demonstrating how hugely cash generative this company is, despite payment of a dividend and CAPEX.
  • Medusa's Board has authorised the construction of an entirely new mill, with 200,000oz p.a. capacity, devoted to processing Co-O ore. Whilst  Co-O reserves currently only stand at 505koz (which seems to make this size of mill excessive), it must be borne in mind that this is a narrow vein mine, where it is only economic to define reserves as mine development proceeds. Given the superb track record of Medusa's management, it seems reasonabe to presume that the conceptual exploration target of 3-7m oz for Co-O will ultimately be realised.
  • The new mill should produce a big step change in production towards the 400,000oz p.a. ultimate target. Once in operation, the existing mill can be used to process ore from the other deposists that are currently being explored/evaluated.
  • The cash & bullion mentioned above should be sufficient to finance construction of the new mill - leaving plenty of scope for larger dividend payments, as mentioned in the article, as well as cash for further explo & development.

Medusa's strong, low cost, production growth prospects make this a substantial core holding of mine, irrespective of the short-term vagaries of the gold price.

Regards,

Mark

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