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EnergyBalancedMid CapContrarian

Canada's Advantage Energy Q1 natural gas and liquids sales fall

Overview

Canada oil and gas producer's Q1 nat gas and liquids sales declined yr/yr

Net income turned positive from a loss in the prior-year period

Q1 production rose 2% from Q4 2025, driven by higher liquids output

Outlook

Advantage sees average production of 90,000 boe/d from Q3 2026 through 2027

Company expects to reach net debt of $400 mln to $500 mln in H2 2026

Advantage may allocate free cash flow to share buybacks through Q2 and summer

Result Drivers

LIQUIDS PRODUCTION - Liquids output rose 3% from Q4 2025, with liquids assets generating 44% of total sales

GAS PRICE VOLATILITY - Company said adjusted funds flow demonstrated resilience during a period of gas price volatility, aided by hedging and market diversification

CAPITAL ALLOCATION SHIFT - Advantage is reallocating capital from gas to oil targets in response to low AECO pricing, with no change to 2026 guidance

Company press release: ID:nCNWgC9Tta

Key Details

MetricBeat/MissActualConsensus Estimate
Q1 Nat Gas & Liquids SalesC$206.92 mln
Q1 Net IncomeC$29.53 mln
Q1 CapexC$124.23 mln
Q1 Free Cash Flow-C$14.98 mln
Q1 Net DebtC$555.87 mln
Analyst Coverage The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 5 "strong buy" or "buy", 3 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell" The average consensus recommendation for the oil & gas exploration and production peer group is "buy" Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Advantage Energy Ltd is C$14.00, about 35.4% above its April 29 closing price of C$10.34 The stock recently traded at 8 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 9 three months ago For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com. (This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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