** UBS expects that only a few suppliers will succeed in
delivering full electric vehicle (EV) powertrain systems at
scale, finding mixed market sentiment for suppliers exposed to
the sector
** Broker says that many suppliers exposed to internal
combustion engine (ICE) powertrain - an engine mechanism - have
no other choice than to rapidly shift their content into EV
** It estimates that overall EV powertrain revenue pool size
will exceed pure legacy ICE powertrain revenue pool size by
end-2030, with 2021 as a turning point
** UBS expects the losses incurred by EV suppliers to start
improving sharply, and new major orders from original equipment
manufacturers (OEMs) for EV production from 2023-25
** Findings from a disassembling of Volkswagen's VOWG_p.DE
ID.3 fully-electric model make the broker more optimistic on the
EV powertrain component landscape, setting new standards for
legacy OEMs and suppliers
** Globally, UBS prefers Aptiv APTV.N , Valeo VLOF.PA ,
Denso 6902.T , Nidec 6594.T Toyota Industries 6201.T , Huayu
600741.SS , TE Connectivity TEL.N , Amphenol APH.N , Keysight
KEYS.N and Continental CONG.DE
** Broker upgrades Continental to "buy" from "neutral",
confident that the group can finance the (elevated) investments
in autos while still generating a strong free cash flow
** Its least preferred suppliers globally include Veoneer
VNE.N and Aisin Seiki 7259.T , both rated "sell"
((marta.frackowiak@thomsonreuters.com))