** Morningstar says Australian toll roads operator Atlas
Arteria Group's ALX.AX recent 66.7% stake buy in Chicago
Skyway Toll Road will dilute free cash flow per security
** ALX would be better off investing in existing and
adjacent roads where it benefits from synergies, less
competition
** Brokerage cuts fair value estimate to A$6.0 per share
from A$7.05 after the acquisition
** ALX earlier this week announced the stake acquisition for
equity value of $2.01 bln, and announced capital raising of
A$3.10 bln ($2.07 bln) to fund the deal urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL4N30L0CU
urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL4N30J2R2
** IFM Investors, which owns nearly 20% in ALX, opposes the
stake buy, saying it would be highly dilutive to ALX
distributions (https://bit.ly/3BDbtyr)
** Morningstar recommends shareholders to not participate in
equity raising, sees limited long-term value in participation
* Assumes a 25% probability of IFM Investors making a
takeover bid, from earlier 50%
** All nine analysts rate the stock "hold"; their median PT
is A$7.20 – Refinitiv data
** ALX up 12.9% this year, as of last close, vs a 8.1%
decline in the ASX 200 benchmark .AXJO
($1 = 1.4948 Australian dollars)
(Reporting by Sameer Manekar in Bengaluru)
((Sameer.Manekar@thomsonreuters.com; Twitter: https://twitter.com/sameer_manekar))