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Chile's Antofagasta H1 revenue rises on higher metal prices

Chile's Antofagasta H1 revenue rises on higher metal prices


Overview

  • Chile copper miner's H1 revenue rose 18% yr/yr, slightly missing analyst expectations

  • Underlying EPS for H1 grew 81% yr/yr, driven by higher prices and cost discipline

  • Copper production fell 9% yr/yr due to lower output at Los Pelambres and Centinela


Outlook

  • Antofagasta expects 2026 copper production of 625,000-655,000 tonnes

  • Company maintains 2026 capital expenditure guidance at $3.4 bln (excluding Zaldívar)

  • Cash costs before by-product credits seen at $2.40-2.60/lb, after credits at $1.15-1.35/lb


Result Drivers

  • HIGHER METAL PRICES - Co said higher realised prices for copper, gold and molybdenum were the main driver of revenue and earnings growth

  • LOWER PRODUCTION - Co said copper production fell 9% yr/yr due to lower output at Los Pelambres and Centinela, mainly from lower grades and weather-related disruptions

  • COST DISCIPLINE AND BY-PRODUCT CREDITS - Co said disciplined cost control and stronger by-product credits helped lower net cash costs, partially offsetting higher input and labour costs


Company press release: ID:nRSM4876Qa


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

H1 Revenue

Slight Miss*

$4.48 bln

$4.49 bln (3 Analysts)

H1 Adjusted Free Cash Flow

$2.77 bln

H1 Dividend

$0.30

H1 EBITDA

$2.84 bln

H1 EBITDA Margin

63.40%

H1 Pretax Profit

$2 bln

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 6 "strong buy" or "buy", 11 "hold" and 5 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the specialty mining & metals peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Antofagasta PLC is GBp3,900.00, about 3.2% below its August 12 closing price of GBp4,029.00

  • The stock recently traded at 28 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 28 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Aug 11 - Hong Kong's MMG H1 revenue rises, maintains 2026 production guidance

  • Aug 11 - Chile copper output to fall 2.6% in 2026 before rebound, Cochilco says

  • Aug 12 - Codelco's stalled project in El Teniente to start production in 2029, executive says


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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