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REG - BHP Group Limited - Quarterly Activities Report

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RNS Number : 0330U  BHP Group Limited  21 January 2025

21 January 2025

Operational review for the half year ended 31 December 2024

Strong underlying operational performance, with copper production up 10%

"BHP delivered safe and reliable performance in the first half. Our flagship
copper, iron ore and steelmaking coal assets delivered particularly strong
production in the period. Copper volumes rose 10%, with Escondida achieving a
10-year production record, more than offsetting the impact of a
weather-related power outage at Copper SA. WAIO shipped record half-year
tonnes through the port, enabled by supply chain improvements following the
completion of major debottlenecking at the port. Steelmaking coal tonnes from
the BMA operations were up 14%.

We made further progress on our growth pathways in future facing commodities.
In January, we completed the formation of Vicuña Corp. with Lundin Mining to
advance the Filo del Sol and Josemaria projects in Argentina, which we
consider to be one of the most significant global copper discoveries in
decades. In Canada, our Jansen Stage 1 potash project is now 63% complete,
with first production scheduled for late 2026, and we continue to execute
Stage 2 in parallel.

In Brazil, Samarco, BHP Brasil and Vale signed a comprehensive settlement
agreement with the Brazilian government and public authorities for the Samarco
Fundão dam failure, reflecting BHP Brasil's commitment to support the people,
communities and environment affected by the tragedy. Our WA Nickel operations
were safely transitioned into a period of temporary suspension, with many
employees moving into roles to support this phase or within other parts of
BHP.

We are well positioned to continue strong momentum into the second half with a
number of assets now expected to deliver production in the upper half of their
respective ranges, while maintaining tight cost control. BHP is in good shape
and we have a clear pathway for growth."

Mike Henry

BHP Chief Executive Officer

Summary
 Operational excellence                                                                                                                       Guidance
 Strong performance, Escondida up 22%                                                                                                         Executing to plan
 Group copper production increased 10%, driven by a 22% increase at Escondida.                                                                We are on track to deliver production in the upper half of the

FY25 guidance range at WAIO, BMA and NSWEC, as is Samarco. FY25 production
 Strong underlying performance at all other assets, including at WAIO, where                                                                  guidance at all assets remains unchanged, with the exception of Copper SA,
 recent completion of the Port Debottlenecking Project (PDP1) has unlocked                                                                    which has been lowered due to the impacts from the weather-related power
 greater throughput, and at BMA where production increased 14% (excluding                                                                     outage.
 production from the now divested Blackwater and Daunia mines).

                                                                                                                                              We maintain sector leading cost discipline and remain on track to deliver FY25
                                                                                                                                              unit cost guidance across all assets.
 Growth                                                                                                                                       Social value
 Clear pathways for copper growth                                                                                                             Decarbonising our assets and value chain
 In January 2025, we completed the formation of Vicuña Corp.                                                                                  At our 2024 AGM, we received a 92% vote in favour of our second Climate
 (https://www.bhp.com/news/media-centre/releases/2025/01/bhp-and-lundin-mining-complete-the-acquisition-of-filo-corp)                         Transition Action Plan (CTAP)
 , a 50/50 joint venture with Lundin Mining to develop the Filo del Sol and                                                                   (https://www.bhp.com/sustainability/climate-change/climate-transition-action-plan)
 Josemaria copper projects. BHP's total cash completion payment was US$2.0 bn.                                                                . We are taking action to decarbonise our operated assets and to support

                                                                                                                                            decarbonisation in our value chain, including the opening of the Port Hedland
 In November 2024, we outlined our attractive organic copper growth pipeline at                                                               solar and battery project to provide renewable power to WAIO's port facility
 our Chilean copper site tour                                                                                                                 and announcing the site preferred for development of
 (https://www.bhp.com/investors/presentations-events/presentations-and-briefings)                                                             (https://www.bhp.com/news/media-centre/releases/2024/12/bluescope-bhp-and-rio-tinto-select-wa-for-australias-largest-ironmaking-electric-smelting-furnace)
 , with low capital intensity options in both concentrator and leaching                                                                       (https://www.bhp.com/news/media-centre/releases/2024/12/bluescope-bhp-and-rio-tinto-select-wa-for-australias-largest-ironmaking-electric-smelting-furnace)
 pathways.                                                                                                                                    Australia's largest ironmaking electric smelting furnace (ESF)
                                                                                                                                              (https://www.bhp.com/news/media-centre/releases/2024/12/bluescope-bhp-and-rio-tinto-select-wa-for-australias-largest-ironmaking-electric-smelting-furnace)
                                                                                                                                              pilot plant.
 Production                                   Quarter performance                                                                                                         YTD performance                                         FY25 guidance
                                              Q2                              v Q1                            v Q2                                                        HY25                        v HY24                      Previous                    Current

FY25
FY25
FY24
 Copper (kt)                                   510.7                          7%                              17%                                                          987.0                      10%                         1,845 - 2,045               1,845 - 2,045
   Escondida (kt)                              339.8                          12%                             33%                                                          644.0                      22%                         1,180 - 1,300               1,180 - 1,300               Unchanged
   Pampa Norte (kt)(i)                         66.2                           10%                             11%                                                          126.3                      (9%)                        240 - 270(i)                240 - 270(i)                Unchanged
   Copper South Australia (kt)                 71.2                           (3%)                            (13%)                                                        144.6                      (6%)                        310 - 340                   300 - 325                   Lowered
   Antamina (kt)                               30.5                           (16%)                           (22%)                                                        66.8                       (7%)                        115 - 135                   115 - 135                   Unchanged
   Carajás (kt)                                3.0                            30%                             67%                                                          5.3                        77%                         -                           -                           -
 Iron ore (Mt)                                 66.2                           2%                              1%                                                           130.9                      1%                          255 - 265.5                 255 - 265.5
   WAIO (Mt)                                   64.8                           2%                              0%                                                           128.1                      1%                          250 - 260                   250 - 260                   Upper half
   WAIO (100% basis) (Mt)                      73.1                           2%                              1%                                                           144.7                      2%                          282 - 294                   282 - 294                   Upper half
   Samarco (Mt)                                1.5                            14%                             13%                                                          2.8                        9%                          5 - 5.5                     5 - 5.5                     Upper half
 Steelmaking coal - BMA (Mt)(ii)               4.4                            (2%)                            (23%)                                                        8.9                        (21%)                       16.5 - 19                   16.5 - 19
   BMA (100% basis) (Mt)(ii)                   8.9                            (2%)                            (23%)                                                        17.9                       (21%)                       33 - 38                     33 - 38                     Upper half
 Energy coal - NSWEC (Mt)                      3.7                            1%                              (4%)                                                         7.4                        (1%)                        13 - 15                     13 - 15                     Upper half
 Nickel - Western Australia Nickel (kt)(iii)   8.0                            (59%)                           (59%)                                                        27.6                       (31%)                       -                           -                           -

i        HY24 includes 11 kt from Cerro Colorado which entered
temporary care and maintenance in December 2023. Excluding these volumes, HY25
production decreased 1%. Production guidance for FY25 is for Spence only.
Refer to copper (#_Copper) and the production and sales report
(#_Appendix_2_2) for further information.

ii       HY24 production includes 3.5 Mt (6.9 Mt on a 100% basis) from
the Blackwater and Daunia mines which were divested on 2 April 2024. Excluding
these volumes, HY25 production increased 14%. Refer to steelmaking coal
(#_Metallurgical_coal) and the production and sales report (#_Appendix_2_2)
for further information.

iii     WA Nickel ramped down and entered temporary suspension in December
2024. Refer to nickel (#_Nickel) and the production and sales report
(#_Appendix_2_2) for further information.

 

1

 

BHP | Operational review for the half year ended 31 December 2024

Summary of disclosures

BHP expects its financial results for the first half of FY25 (HY25) to reflect
certain items summarised in the table below. The table does not provide a
comprehensive list of all items impacting the period. The financial statements
are the subject of ongoing work that will not be finalised until the release
of the financial results on 18 February 2025. Accordingly, the information in
the table below contains preliminary information that is subject to update and
finalisation.

 Description                                                                      HY25 impact(i)       Classification(ii)

                                                                                  (US$M)
 Unit costs (at guidance FX)
 At HY25, unit costs at Escondida, Spence and WAIO are expected to be within      -                    Operating costs
 their respective guidance ranges. Unit costs at Copper SA and BMA are expected
 to be higher than their respective guidance ranges predominantly due to the
 weather-related power outage, and the longwall move and maintenance activity
 in HY25 respectively
 For FY25, unit cost guidance for all assets remains unchanged, with Copper SA    -                    Operating costs
 now expected to be in the upper half of its range
 Average realised exchange rates for HY25 of AUD/USD 0.66 (guidance rate          -
 AUD/USD 0.66) and

 USD/CLP 947 (guidance rate USD/CLP 842)
 Income statement
 Impact of the weather-related power outage on Copper SA                          ~150                  ↓ EBITDA
 Negative EBITDA for WA Nickel                                                    ~300                 ↓ EBITDA
 The Group's adjusted effective tax rate for HY25 is expected to be within the    -                    Taxation expense
 guidance range of 33 - 38%
 Cash flow statement
 Working capital movements                                                        150 - 250            ↓ Operating cash flow
 Net cash tax paid                                                                3,400 - 3,500        ↓ Operating cash flow
 Dividends received from equity-accounted investments                             ~230                 ↑ Operating cash flow
 Impact of BHP Brasil's obligations relating to the Samarco dam failure           637                  ↓ Investing cash flow
 Final consideration from the divestment of BMC completed in FY22                 150                  ↑ Investing cash flow
 Final consideration in relation to the sale of a 15% interest in Western Ridge   134                  ↑ Investing cash flow
 at WAIO in FY22
 Dividends paid to non-controlling interests                                      ~1,100               ↓ Financing cash flow
 Payment of the H2 FY24 dividend                                                  ~3,900               ↓ Financing cash flow
 Balance sheet
 The Group's net debt balance as at 31 December 2024 is expected to be between    -                    Net debt
 US$11.5 and US$12.5 bn.

 Following the execution of the final Samarco Settlement Agreement, the Group's
 balance sheet will be impacted by the associated cash payments. See iron ore
 (#_Iron_ore) section for further information on Samarco.

 For FY25, the Group's net debt balance is expected to increase to around the
 top end of the net debt target range of US$5 to US$15 bn following completion
 of the Vicuña transaction and payment of the H2 Samarco settlement
 obligations
 Exceptional items
 Financial impact of the Samarco dam failure                                      Refer footnote(iii)  Exceptional item
 Costs associated with WA Nickel transitioning into temporary suspension          300 - 350            Exceptional item

I        Numbers are not tax effected, unless otherwise noted.

Ii       There will be a corresponding balance sheet, cash flow and/or
income statement impact as relevant, unless otherwise noted.

Iii     Financial impact is the subject of ongoing work and is not yet
inalized. See iron ore (#_Iron_ore) section for further information on Samarco
operations.

 

 

 

   Further information in Appendix 1 (#_Appendix_1)

   Detailed production and sales information for all operations in Appendix 2
   (#_Appendix_2_2)

 

2

 

BHP | Operational review for the half year ended 31 December 2024

Segment and asset performance | FY25 YTD v FY24 YTD
Copper
 Production               Total copper production increased 10% to 987 kt. Copper production guidance

                        for FY25 remains unchanged at between 1,845 and 2,045 kt.
 987 kt Up 10%
Escondida 644 kt Up 22% (100% basis)

Escondida achieved a 10-year production record in HY25, primarily due to
 HY24 894 kt              higher concentrator feed grade of 1.03% (HY24: 0.81%) and higher recoveries as

                        mining progressed into areas of higher-grade ore as planned. This was
 FY25e 1,845 - 2,045 kt   partially offset by planned lower cathode production, as the integration of

                        the Full SaL project continued. The project remains on track for first
                          production later in FY25.

 Average realised price   Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 1,180 and 1,300 kt.

                        Concentrator feed grade for FY25 is expected to remain above 0.90%.
 US$3.99/lb Up 9%

                        Pampa Norte 126 kt Down 9%
 HY24 US$3.66/lb

                        Pampa Norte consists of Spence and Cerro Colorado. Cerro Colorado remains in
                          temporary care and maintenance having contributed 11 kt in HY24.

                          Spence production decreased 1% in line with lower cathode production.
                          Concentrator feed grade was in line with the prior period and recoveries
                          continue to improve.

                          Production guidance for FY25 for Spence remains unchanged at between 240 and
                          270 kt.

Copper South Australia 145 kt Down 6%

Strong underlying performance in Q1 was followed by a two-week weather-related
                          power outage due to a significant storm at the beginning of Q2. The integrity
                          of all major infrastructure was maintained at Olympic Dam during the outage.
                          Ramp up after the outage was achieved safely over the subsequent two weeks,
                          and since then performance has been strong with 30 kt of copper production
                          achieved across Copper SA in December.

                          Carrapateena continues to perform well, with higher productivity from the
                          sub-level cave enabled by Crusher 2. Production was lower at Prominent Hill
                          due to the impacts of the minor pit geotechnical instability and ventilation
                          constraints in Q1, which was partially offset by inventory drawdowns.

                          Production guidance for FY25 has been revised down to between 300 and 325 kt
                          as a result of the impacts from the weather-related power outage.

Other copper

At Antamina, copper production decreased 7% to 67 kt reflecting planned lower
                          concentrator throughput and a slight decline in ore grade. Zinc production was
                          39% lower at 42 kt, as a result of planned lower feed grades and throughput.

                          For FY25, at Antamina, copper production guidance of between 115 and 135 kt
                          and zinc production guidance of between 90 and 110 kt remain unchanged.

                          Carajás produced 5.3 kt of copper and 4.0 troy koz of gold.

 

 

 

 

 

 

3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

BHP | Operational review for the half year ended 31 December 2024

Iron ore
 Production               Iron ore production increased 1% to 131 Mt. Production guidance for FY25

                        remains unchanged at between 255 and 265.5 Mt.
 131 Mt Up 1%
WAIO 128 Mt Up 1% | 145 Mt (100% basis)

Production increased as a result of continued strong supply chain performance
 HY24 129 Mt              with record volumes delivered from the Central Pilbara hub (South Flank and

                        Mining Area C) following the completion of the ramp up of South Flank in FY24
 FY25e 255 - 265.5 Mt     and a 9% increase in productive movement across the asset. In addition, PDP1

                        which was delivered in CY24, has unlocked improved car dumper cycle times and
                          ship loader performance. This was partially offset by the planned increase in

                        tie-in activity of the multi-year Rail Technology Program (RTP1) and wet
 Average realised price   weather in December.

 US$81.11/wmt Down 22%    Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 250 and 260 Mt (282

                        and 294 Mt on a 100% basis), with production now expected to be in the upper
 HY24 US$103.70/wmt       half of the range.

Samarco 2.8 Mt Up 9% | 5.5 Mt (100% basis)

Production increased in line with the resumption of latent pelletising plant

                        capacity and restart of the second concentrator in December, ahead of
                          schedule. This will increase production capacity to ~16 Mtpa of pellets (100%

                        basis) once fully ramped up, which is expected by early FY26. Production
                          guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 5 and 5.5 Mt, with production
                          now expected to be in the upper half of the range.

                          On 25 October 2024, BHP announced an agreement
                          (https://www.bhp.com/news/media-centre/releases/2024/10/bhp-brasil-reaches-final-settlement)
                          between the Federal Government of Brazil, the State of Minas Gerais, the State
                          of Espírito Santo, the public prosecutors and public defenders (Public
                          Authorities) and Samarco, BHP Brasil and Vale (Agreement). The Agreement
                          delivers a full and final settlement of the Framework Agreement obligations,
                          the Federal Public Prosecution Office civil claim and other claims by the
                          Public Authorities relating to the dam failure 1  (#_ftn1) . The Agreement was
                          ratified by the Supreme Court of Brazil
                          (https://www.bhp.com/news/media-centre/releases/2024/11/samarco-update-ratification-of-agreement-with-brazilian-public-authorities)
                          in Brasilia on 6 November 2024.

                          The Agreement creates separate 'Obligation to Pay' and 'Obligations to
                          Perform' for BHP Brasil. As announced on 25 October 2024, the cash impact of
                          the Obligation to Pay was expected to be ~R$11.0 bn in FY25, ~R$7.0 bn in FY26
                          and ~R$5.0 bn in FY27 (100% basis). The Obligations to Perform were expected
                          to be ~R$6.6 bn in FY25, ~R$14.7 bn in FY26 and ~R$3.1 bn in FY27 (100%
                          basis) 2  (#_ftn2) . The cash impact of the obligations relating to the
                          Samarco dam failure was US$637 m in HY25 3  (#_ftn3) . The HY25 financial
                          impacts associated with the Agreement are the subject of ongoing work that
                          will not be finalised until the release of the financial results on 18
                          February 2025.

Coal
Steelmaking coal
 Production               BMA 8.9 Mt Down 21% | 17.9 Mt (100% basis)

Production increased 14% (excluding 3.5 Mt in HY24 from the now divested
 8.9 Mt Down 21%          Blackwater and Daunia mines) underpinned by improved strip ratios and

                        increased prime stripping as a result of an uplift in truck productivity. This
 HY24 11.3 Mt             was partially offset by slower production rates at Broadmeadow following the

                        longwall move due to geotechnical characteristics as well as the planned
 FY25e 16.5 - 19 Mt       increase in raw coal inventory to improve the stability of the value chain.

                          Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 16.5 and 19 Mt (33

                        and 38 Mt on a 100% basis), with production now expected to be in the upper
 Average realised price   half of the range. We remain focused on restoring value chain stability, in

                        particular building raw coal inventory, which will continue into CY26.
 US$206.37/t Down 23%

 HY24 US$266.43/t

 

BHP | Operational review for the half year ended 31 December 2024

Energy coal
 Production               NSWEC 7.4 Mt Down 1%

Production was broadly in line despite a higher proportion of washed coal.
 7.4 Mt Down 1%           Inventory was drawn down to offset the impacts of reduced truck availability

                        and unfavourable weather conditions.
 HY24 7.5 Mt

                        Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 13 and 15 Mt, with
 FY25e 13 - 15 Mt         production now expected to be in the upper half of the range.

                          We still expect an outcome from the NSW Government in Q3 FY25 regarding the

                        modification to extend the mining consent to 30 June 2030.
 Average realised price

 US$124.42/t Up 1%

 HY24 US$123.29/t

Group & Unallocated
Nickel
 Production               Western Australia Nickel 28 kt Down 31%

Production decreased significantly as expected, as we successfully
 28 kt Down 31%           transitioned the Nickel West supply chain (and West Musgrave project) into

                        temporary suspension in line with schedule. Production outcomes benefited from
 HY24 40 kt               the drawdown of inventory to realise additional value.

                          We expect costs to be elevated in HY25, as a result of operational and ramp

                        down activities combined with the drawdown of inventory as the operations
 Average realised price   transitioned to temporary suspension.

 US$16,386/t Down 12%     We have redeployed over 800 employees, with the majority moving to roles

                        across the Australian operations. BHP intends to review the decision to
 HY24 US$18,602/t         temporarily suspend Western Australia Nickel by February 2027.

                          No production guidance has been provided for FY25.

Quarterly performance | Q2 FY25 v Q1 FY25
 Copper                                                                                           Iron ore
 511 kt Up 7%      Higher production at Escondida and Spence due to higher grades and mine        66 Mt Up 2%      Higher production at WAIO as a result of strong supply chain performance,

                 sequencing, partially offset by lower volumes at Copper SA due to a
                partially offset by significant wet weather.
 Q1 FY25 476 kt    weather-related power outage impacting Olympic Dam.                            Q1 FY25 65 Mt
 Steelmaking coal                                                                                 Energy coal
 4.4 Mt Down 2%    Lower production due to significant wet weather and the longwall move at       3.7 Mt Up 1%     Higher production due to higher wash plant feed, partially offset by lower

                 Broadmeadow, partially offset by inventory drawdown.
                yield.
 Q1 FY25 4.5 Mt                                                                                   Q1 FY25 3.7 Mt

 Nickel
 8.0 kt Down 59%   Inventory was drawn down as operations transitioned into temporary suspension

                 as planned.
 Q1 FY25 19.6 kt

5

 

 

 

BHP | Operational review for the half year ended 31 December 2024

Appendix 1
Average realised prices(i)
                                    Quarter performance             YTD performance
                                    Q2 FY25   v Q1 FY25  v Q2 FY24  HY25      v HY24
 Copper (US$/lb)(i)(i, iii, iv)      3.73     (12%)      1%          3.99     9%
 Iron ore (US$/wmt, FOB)(v)          82.11    3%         (25%)       81.11    (22%)
 Steelmaking coal (US$/t)(vi, vii)   198.65   (8%)       (32%)       206.37   (23%)
 Thermal coal (US$/t)(viii)          124.52   0%         3%          124.42   1%
 Nickel metal (US$/t)(ix)            16,842   3%         0%          16,386   (12%)

i        Based on provisional, unaudited estimates. Prices exclude
sales from equity accounted investments, third party product and internal
sales, and represent the weighted average of various sales terms (for example:
FOB, CIF and CFR), unless otherwise noted. Includes the impact of provisional
pricing and finalisation adjustments.

ii       The large majority of copper cathodes sales were linked to index
price for quotation periods one month after month of shipment, and three to
four months after month of shipment for copper concentrates sales with price
differentials applied for location and treatment costs.

iii     At 31 December 2024, the Group had 427 kt of outstanding copper
sales that were revalued at a weighted average price of US$3.95/lb. The final
price of these sales will be determined over the remainder of FY25. In
addition, 430 kt of copper sales from FY24 were subject to a finalisation
adjustment in the current period. The displayed prices include the impact of
these provisional pricing and finalisation adjustments.

iv      Sales from Carrapateena and Prominent Hill acquired through the
purchase of OZL are included since Q4 FY24 period.

v       The large majority of iron ore shipments were linked to index
pricing for the month of shipment, with price differentials predominantly a
reflection of market fundamentals and product quality. Iron ore sales for HY25
were based on an average moisture rate of 7.0% (HY24: 6.7%).

vi      The large majority of steelmaking coal and energy coal exports
were linked to index pricing for the month of scheduled shipment or priced on
the spot market at fixed or index-linked prices, with price differentials
reflecting product quality.

vii    From FY25, steelmaking coal refers to hard coking coal which is
generally those steelmaking coals with a Coke Strength after Reaction (CSR) of
35 and above. Comparative periods include impacts from weak coking coal, which
refers generally to those steelmaking coals with a CSR below 35, which were
sold by Blackwater and Daunia mines, divested on 2 April 2024.

viii   Export sales only. Includes thermal coal sales from steelmaking coal
mines.

ix      Relates to refined nickel metal only, excludes intermediate
products and nickel sulphate.

Current year unit cost guidance
                         FY25 guidance(i)
 Unit cost               Current
 Escondida (US$/lb)      1.30 - 1.60    Unchanged
 Spence (US$/lb)         2.00 - 2.30    Unchanged
 Copper SA (US$/lb)(ii)  1.30 - 1.80    Upper half
 WAIO (US$/t)            18.00 - 19.50  Unchanged
 BMA (US$/t)             112 - 124      Unchanged

i        FY25 unit cost guidance is based on exchange rates of AUD/USD
0.66 and USD/CLP 842.

ii       Calculated using the following assumptions for by-products:
gold US$2,000/oz, and uranium US$80/lb.

Medium term guidance(i)
                    Production        Unit cost
                    guidance          guidance(ii)
 Escondida(iii)     900 - 1,000 ktpa  US$1.50 - 1.80/lb
 Spence             ~250 ktpa         US$2.05 - 2.35/lb
 WAIO (100% basis)  >305 Mtpa         

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