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REG - BHP Group Limited - Quarterly Activities Report

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RNS Number : 3717F  BHP Group Limited  17 April 2025

   17 April 2025

BHP
Operational review for the nine months ended 31 March 2025

Record iron ore and copper production demonstrating resilience of business

"BHP's performance in FY25 to date demonstrates the resilience of our
business, with our copper and iron ore operations achieving record nine-month
production amid challenging operating and market conditions. Group copper
production rose 10%, underpinned by a 20% increase in output at Escondida and
strong performances at Spence and Copper SA. In our WA iron ore operations, we
continue to demonstrate supply chain excellence from pit to port, and
delivered record tonnes from the Central Pilbara hub. At BMA in Queensland, in
the highest rainfall wet season in more than a decade, steelmaking coal
volumes rose by 5% following a strong performance across the open cut mines.

BHP recently achieved 40% female representation across our global employee
base, a 23 point increase since 2016. The efforts that have underpinned this
have made BHP a safer, more productive, and better performing business. We
have a distinctive competitive advantage in responding to labour and skills
shortages across our sector.

Despite the limited direct impact of tariffs on BHP, the implication of slower
economic growth and a fragmented trading environment could be more
significant. China's ability to shift toward a consumption-led economy and for
trade flows to adapt to the new environment will be key to sustaining the
global outlook.

In the face of global volatility and policy uncertainty, BHP is poised to
benefit from a flight to quality with tier one assets, industry-leading
margins and high-return organic growth opportunities that will underpin value
and returns through the cycle."

Mike Henry

BHP Chief Executive Officer

Summary
 Operational excellence                                                         Guidance
 Record iron ore and copper production                                          Production on track; Escondida MT updated
 BHP delivered record nine-month group copper production of 1.5 million         We are on track to deliver production in the upper half of the FY25 guidance
 tonnes, driven by a 20% increase at Escondida and strong underlying            ranges at Escondida, Pampa Norte and NSWEC, with Samarco expected at the upper
 performances across all other operated copper assets.                          end. FY25 production guidance ranges at all assets remain unchanged, with BMA

                                                                              now no longer guided to the upper half due to wet weather. We also remain on
 We also delivered record nine-month iron ore production, with WAIO             track to deliver FY25 unit cost guidance across all assets, except BMA where
 demonstrating its resilience to offset the impact of Tropical Cyclone Zelia    we expect unit costs to be higher due to weather and geotechnical challenges
 and Tropical Storm Sean, and as Samarco continues to ramp up.                  at Broadmeadow.

                                                                                We have optimised the growth program schedule at Escondida, including
                                                                                extending the expected life of the Los Colorados concentrator beyond FY29.
                                                                                This and other operational measures add ~400 kt of incremental production and
                                                                                extend medium term guidance of 900 - 1,000 ktpa to FY31.
 Growth                                                                         Social value
 Growing in copper and potash                                                   Progress on decarbonisation
 We are executing on our growth program with Jansen Stages 1 and 2 now 66% and  We are on track to achieve our target of reducing operational greenhouse gas
 8% complete (respectively), the formation of the Vicuña joint venture, and     emissions by at least 30% by FY30(i). The pace of development of some
 the submission of the DIA permit relating to the Laguna Seca concentrator      decarbonisation technology has slowed, particularly relating to the
 expansion at Escondida.                                                        displacement of diesel used for materials movement. We continue to work with
                                                                                our Original Equipment Manufacturer partners to advance zero emission
                                                                                technology and we are progressing certain site trials.

 

 Production                                  Quarter performance            YTD performance               FY25 production guidance
                                             Q3 FY25  v Q2 FY25  v Q3 FY24  YTD Mar FY25  v YTD Mar FY24  Previous       Current
 Copper (kt)                                 513.2    0%         10%        1,500.2       10%             1,845 - 2,045  1,845 - 2,045
   Escondida (kt)                            333.6    (2%)       16%        977.6         20%             1,180 - 1,300  1,180 - 1,300  Upper half
   Pampa Norte (kt)(ii)                      67.9     3%         10%        194.2         (3%)            240 - 270(ii)  240 - 270(ii)  Upper half
   Copper South Australia (kt)               78.9     11%        (0%)       223.5         (4%)            300 - 325      300 - 325      Unchanged
   Antamina (kt)                             30.9     1%         (9%)       97.7          (7%)            115 - 135      115 - 135      Unchanged
   Carajás (kt)                              1.9      (37%)      (39%)      7.2           17%             -              -              -
 Iron ore (Mt)                               61.8     (7%)       0%         192.6         1%              255 - 265.5    255 - 265.5
   WAIO (Mt)                                 60.1     (7%)       (0%)       188.3         1%              250 - 260      250 - 260      Unchanged
   WAIO (100% basis) (Mt)                    67.8     (7%)       (0%)       212.5         1%              282 - 294      282 - 294      Unchanged
   Samarco (Mt)                              1.6      11%        39%        4.4           18%             5 - 5.5        5 - 5.5        Upper end
 Steelmaking coal - BMA (Mt)(iii)            3.9      (12%)      (35%)      12.9          (26%)           16.5 - 19      16.5 - 19      Original
   BMA (100% basis) (Mt)(iii)                7.8      (12%)      (35%)      25.7          (26%)           33 - 38        33 - 38        Original
 Energy coal - NSWEC (Mt)                    3.6      (3%)       (13%)      11.0          (6%)            13 - 15        13 - 15        Upper half
 Nickel - Western Australia Nickel (kt)(iv)  2.3      (71%)      (88%)      29.9          (49%)           -              -              -

Note: Updates with respect to FY25 production guidance since the HY25 Results
Announcement are shown in italics. Refer page 5 for footnotes.

Segment and asset performance | FY25 YTD v FY24 YTD
   Further information in Appendix 1 (#_Appendix_1)

   Detailed production and sales information for all operations in Appendix 2
   (#_Appendix_2_1)

BHP | Operational review for the nine months ended 31 March 2025

Copper
 Production                Total copper production increased 10% to a record 1,500 kt. Copper production

                         guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 1,845 and 2,045 kt.
 1,500 kt Up 10%
Escondida 978 kt Up 20% (100% basis)

Production increased primarily due to strong material mined, higher
 YTD Mar FY24 1,360 kt     concentrator feed grade of 1.05%, increasing from 0.85%, and higher

                         concentrator throughput. This was partially offset by planned lower cathode
 FY25e 1,845 - 2,045 kt    production, as the integration of the Full SaL leaching project continued. The

                         project remains on track for first production later in FY25.

                         Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 1,180 and 1,300 kt
 Average realised price    and is now expected to be in the upper half of this range, as strong

                         operational performance across the year offset the challenges of Union N°1
 US$4.19/lb Up 13%         strike action, sea swells at Puerto Coloso and the national Chilean power

                         outage in February. Concentrator feed grade is now expected to be above 0.95%
 YTD Mar FY24 US$3.72/lb   (previously above 0.90%) for FY25.

                           Following the site visit in November 2024, we have continued to optimise our

                         growth program schedule to reduce production impacts. It is expected the
                           operation of the Los Colorados concentrator will be extended beyond FY29,
                           without any impact to the remainder of the growth program. We anticipate this
                           extension and other operational measures will increase production across the
                           period from 2027 to 2031, to between 900 - 1,000 ktpa, extending current
                           medium term guidance. The actions have the potential to add an incremental
                           ~400 kt of production across the period.

                           Pampa Norte 194 kt Down 3%

                           Pampa Norte consists of Spence and Cerro Colorado. Spence production increased
                           3% due to improved stacked material and grades, notwithstanding the impact of
                           the national Chilean power outage in February. Concentrator feed grade was
                           broadly in line with the prior period.

                           Production guidance for FY25 for Spence remains unchanged at between 240 and
                           270 kt, with production now expected to be in the upper half of the range.

                           Cerro Colorado remains in temporary care and maintenance having contributed 11
                           kt of copper production in HY24.

Copper South Australia 224 kt Down 4%

Strong underlying performance following the weather-related power outage in
                           Q2. The Olympic Dam smelter and refinery demonstrated operating stability,
                           delivering strong copper cathode production and record refined gold and silver
                           production in the quarter.

                           Carrapateena is achieving higher productivity from the sub-level cave enabled
                           by Crusher 2, delivering record mine and concentrator performance. Production
                           was lower at Prominent Hill due to the impacts of the minor pit geotechnical
                           instability and ventilation constraints in Q1, which was partially offset by
                           inventory drawdowns.

                           Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 300 and 325 kt.

Other copper

At Antamina, copper production decreased 7% to 98 kt reflecting planned lower
                           concentrator throughput and a slight decline in feed grade. Zinc production
                           was 22% lower at 68 kt, as a result of planned lower feed grade and lower
                           throughput.

                           For FY25, at Antamina, copper production guidance of between 115 and 135 kt
                           and zinc production guidance of between 90 and 110 kt remain unchanged.

                           Carajás produced 7.2 kt of copper and 5.5 troy koz of gold.

2

 

 

 

BHP | Operational review for the nine months ended 31 March 2025

Iron ore
 Production                   Iron ore production increased 1% to a record 193 Mt. Production guidance for

                            FY25 remains unchanged at between 255 and 265.5 Mt.
 193 Mt Up 1%
WAIO 188 Mt Up 1% | 213 Mt (100% basis)

Production increased as a result of continued strong supply chain performance,
 YTD Mar FY24 190 Mt          with record volumes delivered from the Central Pilbara hub (South Flank and

                            Mining Area C) following the completion of the ramp up of South Flank in FY24
 FY25e 255 - 265.5 Mt         and a 13% increase in productive movement.

                              The Port Debottlenecking Project 1 (PDP1), which was delivered in CY24, has

                            continued to unlock improved car dumper and ship loader performance with
 Average realised price       record nine-month shipments of iron ore.

 US$82.93/wmt Down 21%        This strong performance was partially offset by the impact of Tropical Cyclone

                            Zelia and Tropical Storm Sean, and the planned increase in tie-in activity of
 YTD Mar FY24 US$104.53/wmt   the multi-year Rail Technology Programme (RTP1).

                              Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 250 and 260 Mt (282

                            and 294 Mt on a 100% basis).

Samarco 4.4 Mt Up 18% | 8.8 Mt (100% basis)

Production continues to increase following the restart of the second
                              concentrator in December. Ramp up is progressing well and production capacity
                              is expected to increase to ~16 Mtpa of pellets (100% basis) once fully ramped
                              up by the end of FY25 (ahead of schedule).

                              Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 5 and 5.5 Mt, with
                              production expected to be at the upper end of the range.

Coal
Steelmaking coal
 Production                 BMA 12.9 Mt Down 26% | 25.7 Mt (100% basis)

Production increased 5% (excluding the contribution of Blackwater and Daunia
 12.9 Mt Down 26%           in FY24). Strong performance across the open cut mines, underpinned by

                          improved truck productivity and a draw down of inventory, helped mitigate the
 YTD Mar FY24 17.4 Mt       impact of significant wet weatherv in the December and March quarters.

 FY25e 16.5 - 19 Mt         At Broadmeadow, we are operating at slower mining rates to safely manage the

                          geotechnical characteristics of the current longwall panel. We expect this
                            will continue into Q1 FY26.

 Average realised price     Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 16.5 and 19 Mt (33

                          and 38 Mt on a 100% basis). Following the impact of significant wet weather
 US$200.12/t Down 26%       and geotechnical challenges at Broadmeadow, production is now no longer guided

                          to the upper half of the range and unit costs for FY25 are now expected to be
 YTD Mar FY24 US$272.09/t   between US$128/t and US$133/tvi.

                            Our work to improve raw coal inventory levels in prior periods has assisted in
                            stabilising operating performance across the asset, as we have drawn down on
                            inventory this quarter to help mitigate the impact of wet weather and
                            geotechnical challenges. This will extend the inventory rebuild into CY27.

 

 

3

 

 

BHP | Operational review for the nine months ended 31 March 2025

Energy coal
 Production                 NSWEC 11.0 Mt Down 6%

Production decreased as a result of reduced truck availability, increased wet
 11.0 Mt Down 6%            weather and a higher proportion of washed coal, partially offset by a draw

                          down of inventory.
 YTD Mar FY24 11.6 Mt

                          Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 13 and 15 Mt, with
 FY25e 13 - 15 Mt           production expected to be in the upper half of the range.

                            On 16 April 2025, we received approval from the NSW Government to extend

                          mining to 30 June 2030.
 Average realised price

 US$115.99/t Down 4%

 YTD Mar FY24 US$120.97/t

Group & Unallocated
Nickel
 Production           Western Australia Nickel 30 kt Down 49%

Western Australia Nickel (WAN) transitioned into temporary suspension in HY25.
 30 kt Down 49%       No production guidance has been provided for FY25.

 YTD Mar FY24 59 kt   BHP intends to review the decision to temporarily suspend WAN by February

                    2027.

Quarterly performance | Q3 FY25 v Q2 FY25
 Copper                                                                                            Iron ore
 513 kt Up -%     Higher production at Copper SA with strong performance following the             62 Mt Down 7%    Lower production at WAIO as a result of the impact of Tropical Cyclone Zelia

                weather-related power outage in Q2 was offset by lower production at Escondida
                and Tropical Storm Sean.
 Q2 FY25 511 kt   due to a national Chilean power outage and high sea swells which prevented       Q2 FY25 66 Mt
                  concentrate loading onto vessels resulting in a temporary suspension to
                  upstream concentrator operations.
 Steelmaking coal                                                                                  Energy coal
 3.9 Mt Down 12%  Lower production due to significant wet weather, partially offset by inventory   3.6 Mt Down 3%   Lower production due to reduced wash plant availability and the impact of wet

                draw down.
                weather.
 Q2 FY25 4.4 Mt                                                                                    Q2 FY25 3.7 Mt

 Nickel
 2.3 kt Down 71%  Inventory was drawn down as operations transitioned into temporary suspension

                in HY25.
 Q2 FY25 8.0 kt

 

4

 

BHP | Operational review for the nine months ended 31 March 2025

Footnotes

i     Our operational GHG emissions are the Scopes 1 and 2 emissions from
our operated assets. Our FY30 reduction target is from our FY20 baseline,
adjusted for acquisitions, divestments and greenhouse gas emission calculation
methodology changes. The latest BHP GHG Emissions Calculation Methodology is
available at bhp.com/climate.

ii    YTD March FY24 includes 11 kt from Cerro Colorado, which entered
temporary care and maintenance in December 2023. Excluding these volumes, YTD
March FY25 production increased 3%. Production guidance for FY25 is for Spence
only. Refer to copper (#_Copper) and the production and sales report
(#_Appendix_2_2) for further information.

iii   YTD March FY24 production includes 5 Mt (10 Mt on a 100% basis) from
the Blackwater and Daunia mines, which were divested on 2 April 2024.
Excluding these volumes, YTD March FY25 production increased 5%. Following the
impact of significant wet weather and geotechnical challenges, production is
now no longer guided to the upper half of the guidance range. Refer to
steelmaking coal (#_Metallurgical_coal) and the production and sales report
(#_Appendix_2_2) for further information.

iv    Western Australia Nickel ramped down and entered temporary suspension
in December 2024. Refer to nickel (#_Nickel) and the production and sales
report (#_Appendix_2_2) for further information.

v    649mm of rainfall recorded at Moranbah in the nine months ended 31
March 2025, 32% higher than the nine months ended 31 March 2024 (493mm).

vi    FY25 unit cost guidance is based on an exchange rate of AUD/USD 0.66.

 

5

 

 

BHP | Operational review for the nine months ended 31 March 2025

Appendix 1
Average realised prices(i)
                                 Quarter performance            YTD performance
                                 Q3 FY25  v Q2 FY25  v Q3 FY24  YTD Mar FY25  v YTD Mar FY24
 Copper (US$/lb)(i)(i)           4.56     22%        18%        4.19          13%
 Iron ore (US$/wmt, FOB)         86.85    6%         (18%)      82.93         (21%)
 Steelmaking coal (US$/t) (iii)  184.98   (7%)       (34%)      200.12        (26%)
 Energy coal (US$/t)(iv)         97.81    (21%)      (16%)      115.99        (4%)

i    Based on provisional, unaudited estimates. Prices exclude sales from
equity accounted investments, third party product and internal sales, and
represent the weighted average of various sales terms (for example: FOB, CIF
and CFR), unless otherwise noted. Includes the impact of provisional pricing
and finalisation adjustments.

ii    Sales from Carrapateena and Prominent Hill acquired through the
purchase of OZL are included since Q4 FY24 period.

iii   From FY25, steelmaking coal refers to hard coking coal which is
generally those steelmaking coals with a Coke Strength after Reaction (CSR) of
35 and above. Comparative periods include impacts from weak coking coal, which
refers generally to those steelmaking coals with a CSR below 35, which were
sold by Blackwater and Daunia mines, divested on 2 April 2024.

iv    Export sales only. Includes thermal coal sales from steelmaking coal
mines.

Current year unit cost guidance
                         FY25 guidance(i)
 Unit cost               Current
 Escondida (US$/lb)      1.30 - 1.60    Unchanged
 Spence (US$/lb)         2.00 - 2.30    Unchanged
 Copper SA (US$/lb)(ii)  1.30 - 1.80    Upper half
 WAIO (US$/t)            18.00 - 19.50  Unchanged
 BMA (US$/t)             128 - 133      Increased

i         FY25 unit cost guidance is based on exchange rates of AUD/USD
0.66 and USD/CLP 842.

ii        Calculated using the following assumptions for by-products: gold
US$2,000/oz, and uranium US$80/lb.

Medium term guidance(i)
                    Production        Unit cost
                    guidance          guidance(ii)
 Escondida(iii)     900 - 1,000 ktpa  US$1.50 - 1.80/lb
 Spence             ~250 ktpa         US$2.05 - 2.35/lb
 WAIO (100% basis)  >305 Mtpa         

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