** Bernstein says that while 2025 will be another tough year
for European autos, it sees scope for positive surprises and
structural tailwinds for tyremakers
** Key catalysts for the sub-sector include positive
replacement market trends, pricing and tariffs which would
largely be net positive (except for Pirelli PIRC.MI ) after
years of intense import competition, it says
** It expects replacement demand to outperform the tougher
original equipment market in 2025, and for cyclical markets to
recover in the second half of the year
** It upgrades Continental CONG.DE to "market perform"
from "underperform" on its strong exposure to improving
replacement trends in Europe, and no imminent negative catalyst
** It cuts Pirelli to "underperform" from "market perform"
citing its exposure to three company-specific risks: tariffs,
downtrading and Italian government investigating a major
shareholder
** It maintains "outperform" on Michelin MICP.PA and
Bridgestone 5108.T
** It says EV growth will boost Michelin's structural growth
from premiumisation, while Bridgestone is more than 10% ahead of
peers on recycled/renewables materials
(Reporting by Amir Orusov)
((Amir.orusov@thomsonreuters.com))