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Mexico's Fresnillo H1 revenue jumps on higher precious metal prices; raises dividend

Mexico's Fresnillo H1 revenue jumps on higher precious metal prices; raises dividend


Overview

  • Mexico precious metals miner's H1 revenue rose 74.7% yr/yr on higher gold and silver prices

  • Adjusted EPS for H1 climbed 227.9% yr/yr to US$175.1 cents per share

  • Company raised interim dividend to 43.4 cents per share


Outlook

  • Fresnillo sees 2026 silver output at 42.0-46.5 moz and gold at 500-550 koz

  • Company expects 2026 capex of $500-550 mln, revised from prior guidance

  • Exploration expenses for 2026 expected to be about $260 mln


Result Drivers

  • PRECIOUS METALS PRICES - Higher realized silver and gold prices drove revenue and profit growth, partly offsetting lower sales volumes

  • LOWER PRODUCTION VOLUMES - Silver and gold output fell due to lower ore grades, equipment delays and weather disruptions

  • COST INFLATION - Adjusted production costs rose on currency revaluation, inflation, and higher maintenance and contractor expenses


Company press release: ID:nRSD1156Pa


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

H1 Revenue

$3.38 bln

H1 Adjusted Revenue

Beat

$3.41 bln

$3.05 bln (2 Analysts)

H1 Net Income

Beat

$1.46 bln

$1.12 bln (1 Analyst)

H1 EBITDA

Slight Beat*

$2.35 bln

$2.33 bln (2 Analysts)

H1 Dividend

$0.43

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 3 "strong buy" or "buy", 9 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the diversified mining peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Fresnillo PLC is GBp3,200.00, about 28.1% above its August 3 closing price of GBp2,498.00

  • The stock recently traded at 11 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 14 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Aug 3 - Mexico mining industry sees investment jump in 2026 as firms expand projects, buy equipment

  • Aug 3 - Mali says mining-backed fund could unlock up to $800 million for infrastructure projects

  • Aug 4 - Rio Tinto signals no rush to revive Glencore deal as standstill ends


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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