REG - Guanajuato Silver Co - Updated PEA for the El Cubo Mines Complex

Guanajuato SilverAnnouncement

26/06/2023 14:30

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RNS Number : 9339D  Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd.  26 June 2023

26 June 2023

 

Guanajuato Silver Provides Updated PEA for the El Cubo Mines Complex

 

Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd. (the "Company" or "GSilver")
(TSXV:GSVR)(AQUIS:GSVR)(OTCQX:GSVRF) announces that as part of a scheduled
program to update GSilver's NI 43-101 technical reports and resource estimates
for all of its producing mines in Mexico, the Company is presenting positive
results from its new "preliminary economic assessment" of GSilver's 100% owned
El Cubo Mines Complex located in Guanajuato, Mexico titled "Preliminary
Economic Analysis - El Cubo/El Pinguico Silver Gold Complex Project, State of
Guanajuato, Mexico" (the "2023 PEA"). The 2023 PEA, was prepared by Behre
Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc. ("Behre Dolbear") in accordance with
National Instrument 43-101 ("NI 43-101"), is dated June 23, 2023, with an
effective date of December 31, 2022, and is available for review on SEDAR and
at the Company's website at https://www.gsilver.com (https://www.gsilver.com)
. All dollar amounts are expressed in USD.

 

James Anderson, Chairman and CEO, said, "Guanajuato Silver has grown
significantly over the past two years through a strategy of acquiring older
mines in the Guanajuato Mining Camp and the State of Durango, and bringing
them efficiently back into production. Because of the nature and swiftness of
these acquisitions, most of the mineralized material at these mines were
categorized as historical resource estimates. As previously announced, we have
initiated a program to upgrade our existing resources and historical estimates
to current resources (see Guanajuato Silver news release dated February 23,
2023 -"Guanajuato Silver Drills 6,981 g/t AgEq at San Ignacio and Prepares to
Expand Production
(https://gsilver.com/news/2023c/843-uanajuatoilverrills6981gtgqatangnacioand20230223)
"); appropriately, the El Cubo Mines Complex is the first to be updated.  We
anticipate a current resource estimate for our San Ignacio mine to be
completed later this year. The 2023 PEA replaces Behre Dolbear's previous
preliminary economic assessment report issued on May 6, 2021, with an
effective date of January 31, 2021."

 

Mineral Resource Estimate

 

The upgraded mineral resource for the El Cubo Mines Complex as extracted from
the 2023 PEA is presented in Table 1 below:

 

( )

(1) The silver equivalent ("AgEq") ounces shown in this column are not
included in the 2023 PEA and have been estimated and added directly by GSilver
for ease of reference and comparison purposes based on a ratio of 1 ounce of
gold is equal to 80 ounces of silver, (one troy ounce converted to the metric
system equals 31.1035 grams).

 

 

 

Mr. Anderson added, "This updated PEA envisions a six-year mine life; however,
El Cubo has already demonstrated a production history that has extended well
over 100-years. Our goal is to continually increase mineral resources through
in-fill and exploration drilling to end each year with 125% of the total
resources that we started the year with; if we can achieve this, we believe
that El Cubo can continue to be a significant silver producer for decades to
come."

 

The mineral resource estimate used as the basis for the 2023 PEA was developed
by Behre Dolbear using the December 31, 2016 mineral resource estimate and
computer models developed for El Cubo by Endeavour Silver Corp. ("Endeavour"),
El Cubo's previous owner, and GSilver's February 28, 2017 resource estimate
for the El Pinguico property.(2,3) Behre Dolbear has extensively reviewed and
audited the primary drilling data, computer models, wireframes, estimation
methods, and the previous estimates and the El Cubo mill production in 2021
and 2022 to help develop the estimate of the current mineral resources at the
El Cubo Mines Complex.

 

Although Endeavour and GSilver significantly increased the drilling and
sampling data at El Cubo beyond the data in the 2016 database which has been
used for the El Cubo 2023 PEA mineral resource estimate, such drilling was
primarily exploration drilling on parallel vein structures and requires
additional infill drilling to achieve a drill spacing adequate for an inferred
mineral resource estimate. Accordingly, the results from such subsequent
drilling by Endeavour and GSilver have not been used in the calculation of the
mineral resource estimate for El Cubo as of December 31, 2022 in the 2023 PEA.
The 2023 PEA includes a recommendation that targeted drilling should be
completed to increase the mineral resource tonnage, classification, and mine
life prior to a pre-feasibility study (see Section 14.0 Mineral Resource
Estimate and Section 26.0 Recommendations in the 2023 PEA).(4)

 

The remaining mineral resources at El Cubo, as of December 31, 2022, total
approximately 0.45 million tonnes of indicated resources and 1.36 million
tonnes of inferred resources. There is no certainty that all or any part of
the mineral resources estimated will be converted into mineral reserves.
Mineral reserves have not been identified for El Cubo or El Pinguico.

Preliminary Economic Assessment

 

Behre Dolbear also prepared a discounted cash flow model for the El Cubo Mines
Complex excluding El Pinguico ("El Cubo")(5), to determine the Net Present
Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and payback period.

 

Key parameters integral to Behre Dolbear's preparation of the cash flow model
and determination of NPV include:

 

•       All results are expressed in US Dollars (US$).

•       The analysis is based on a 100% equity basis. Specific
business considerations, such as debt or equity financing and detailed tax
strategies, have purposely not been included or analyzed in detail.

•       All cash flows are determined on an after-tax basis.

•       Net Present Values (NPV) are determined, assuming end-of-year
cash flows.

•       All costs and revenues reflect "real" or constant 2023 dollars
without escalation.

•       The measures used in the PEA are metric except where, by
convention, gold and silver content, production, and sales are stated in troy
ounces.

A summary of the updated preliminary economic assessment for El Cubo as at
December 31, 2022 as extracted from the 2023 PEA is set out in Table 2
below.(6)

 

 

 

The following is a summary of certain cash flow model inputs reflected in the
2023 PEA.  Readers should refer to the 2023 PEA directly for a complete
discussion of these and other inputs.

 

● Life of Mine and Production Forecasts. The cash flow model incorporates a
6-year operating and development period prepared on the basis of the diluted
tonnages summarized in Table 22.2 below.  At steady state, the average
monthly targeted production rate is 36,250 tonnes per month for an average
annual total of 435,000 tonnes per year mined and processed. The overall
projected base case production is summarized in Table 22.2. Also shown in
Table 22.2 is the projected silver equivalent recovery with the addition of
the gravity circuit at El Cubo at the end of 2022.

 

 

 

● Commodity Prices and Net Smelter Return. The use of historical metal
prices is a generally accepted methodology for modeling long-term commodity
prices. For the 2023 PEA, Behre Dolbear used base case silver and gold prices
of US$23.00/oz of silver and US$1,850/oz of gold on the basis of the 3-year
rolling average of prices of US$23.43/oz silver and US$1,849/oz gold.

 

The net smelter return (NSR) was determined on the basis of, inter alia,
revenues of 97.5% of payable silver and gold content, less a treatment charge
of US$350 per dry tonne DAP, a refining charge of US$1.00 per ounce of payable
silver and US$8.00 per ounce of payable gold per dry tonne of concentrate, and
freight charges of 30,000 pesos per truck carrying 33 wet tonnes of
concentrate containing 12% moisture.

 

● Operating Costs. Average mining, processing and administration costs for
six years of operations based on current experience at El Cubo are presented
in Table 21.2 below:

 

● Development and Capital Costs. The development and capital costs
associated with mine development and equipment, new tailings facility, and
facility improvements for the remaining mine life at El Cubo are shown in
Table 22.6 below. Included in the sustaining capital costs is the construction
of additional capacity in the Tailings Storage Facility 3-B. The construction
is scheduled to begin in 2023 and will be completed by 2026 at an estimated
capital cost of US$6.0 million. The tailings facility includes a tailings
filtration plant. The other sustaining capital costs include general
improvements to the mine and mill.

 

 

● Other Costs and Taxes.  Other costs include:

 

Mining Rights Tax....................................................... 7.5%
of EBITDA

Government Fee on Precious Metals.......................... 0.5% of silver
gross revenues

Workers Profit Share................................................ 10% of
pre-tax profits

 

These costs are based on the requirements of the Mexican government.
Depreciation was determined on a straight-line basis for 8 years as per
Mexican tax laws. The income tax rate is projected at 30% of operating profit
(sales income or revenue less royalties, operating and other costs, and
depreciation).

 

● Sensitivity Analysis

 

To determine the effect of changes in several of the base case assumptions, a
sensitivity analysis was prepared for each operating scenario. Certain
factors, such as commodity prices, operating costs, and capital costs, could
have a significant effect on the financial performance of El Cubo. The
objective of the sensitivity analyses is to determine the effect of several
varying key parameters, as a point of comparison to the base line results. The
following parameters were evaluated.

 

·    Discount rates ranging from 0% to 10% were applied to determine the
effect on NPV.

·    Commodity prices generally have the greatest effect on mining project
economics. The sensitivity to changes in commodity prices was determined on
the basis of a constant gold-to-silver price ratio of 1:80, which is
consistent with historical data.

·    The cash variable operating costs were varied to determine the effect
on NPV.

·    Both the initial and sustaining capital costs were varied.

 

In each case, the particular parameter was changed for each year during the
life of the mine (LOM) review. In reality, it is unlikely that each of the
varied parameters would experience the same increases or decreases over the
entire LOM. As such, these sensitivity analyses present the best or the
worst-case scenarios in the ranges evaluated. The purpose of the sensitivity
analysis is to provide an indication of the relative effect that a specific
operating parameter can have on the overall project economics.

 

Of the sensitivity factors reviewed, the discounted cash flow was
significantly affected by variations in both the commodity prices and
operating costs.

 

At the 3-year historical average silver price of US$23.00/oz and a gold price
of US$1,850/oz, the 5% NPV is US$31.5 million. At a 20% decrease in silver
equivalent price, El Cubo continues to demonstrate a positive NPV(5), NPV(8),
and an IRR of 85%.

 

Based on the results of the sensitivity analysis, the average NPV(5) breakeven
price is approximately US$18.00/oz of silver and US$1,440/oz of gold (assuming
a constant gold-to-silver ratio of 1:80). There is minimal difference in the
breakeven price at a 5% or 8% discount rate.

 

● Feed Material from Other Sources

 

The base case cash flow model includes feed material from other sources as per
GSilver's plan of operation including GSilver's San Ignacio mine and VMC in
Guanajuato, Mexico.  If the additional material is not fed to the El Cubo
mill, the base case NPV(5) is reduced by 32% from US$31.5 million to US$21.3
million. If the projected recovery from the gravity circuit is included, the
base case NPV(5) is only reduced by 9%. Behre Dolbear notes that it is
unlikely that additional feed to the El Cubo mill will not be available as
there are remaining mineral resources at El Pinguico as well as potential
additional material from San Ignacio and VMC. The mineral resources at El
Pinguico have not been included in the base case cash flow model.

 

● Footnotes

 

(2) National 43-101 Technical Report: Updated Mineral Resource and Reserve
Estimates for the El Cubo Project, Guanajuato State, Mexico for Endeavour
Silver by Hard Rock Consulting, LLC. Effective Date, December 31, 2016, Report
Date: March 3, 2017. Downloaded from SEDAR.

(3) NI 43-101 Technical Report for the El Pinguico Project, Guanajuato Mining
District Mexico for VanGold Mining, authored by Carlos Cham Dominguez of
FINDORE S.A. DE C.V., effective date February 28, 2017. Downloaded from SEDAR.

(4) ( )See the 2023 PEA for further details of the key assumptions,
parameters and methods used to estimate the current mineral resources at El
Cubo and El Pinguico.

5 GSilver's current mine plan does not include production from El Pinguico's
existing stockpiles as GSilver suspended processing of mineral resources from
such stockpiles in July 2022 to focus on processing higher grade material from
El Cubo and its subsequently acquired San Ignacio mine and Valenciana Mines
Complex ("VMC") in Guanajuato, Mexico.

 

(6) The cash flow model includes indicated and inferred resources for El Cubo
and material from other sources not included in the El Cubo mineral resources
including mineralized material from GSilver's nearby 100% owned San Ignacio
mine and VMC in Guanajuato, Mexico. Also, the current mine plan does not
include production from the existing El Pinguico stockpiles as noted in
footnote 5 above.

 

Cautionary Statement:

The above economic analysis is preliminary in nature and includes inferred
mineral resources that are considered too speculative to have the economic
considerations applied to them that would enable them to be categorized as
Mineral Reserves.  Mineral resources that are not Mineral Reserves do not
have demonstrated economic viability. Further, there has been insufficient
exploration to allow for the classification of the inferred mineral resources
as an indicated or measured mineral resource; however, it is reasonably
expected that the majority of the inferred mineral resources could be upgraded
to indicated or measured mineral resources with continued exploration. There
is no guarantee that any part of the mineral resources disclosed herein will
be converted into a mineral reserve in the future or that the 2023 PEA will be
realized.

 

 

Shares for Debt

GSilver also announces that it has closed its previously announced
shares-for-debt transaction totaling C$47,250.00 (see GSilver news release
dated April 19, 2023 - "Guanajuato Silver Achieves Record Production of
938,047 AgEq Ounces in Q1
(https://gsilver.com/news/2023c/848-uanajuatoilverchievesecordroductionof938047g20230419)
"), and as per TSX.V notice dated June 13, 2023. The Company has issued a
total of 81,465 common shares at a deemed price of C$0.58 per share in
settlement of C$47,250.00. The common shares are subject to a 4 month hold
period expiring October 24, 2023.

 

Technical Information

Reynaldo Rivera, VP of Exploration of GSilver, has approved the scientific and
technical information contained in this news release. Mr. Rivera is a member
of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy (AusIMM - Registration
Number 220979) and a "qualified person" as defined by National Instrument
43-101, Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects.

 

For further information regarding Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd., please
contact:

 

JJ Jennex, Gerente de Comunicaciones, T: 604 723 1433

E: jjj@GSilver.com

Gsilver.com

 

VSA Capital - AQSE Corporate Adviser

T: +44 (0) 20 3005 5000

Simon Barton - Corporate Finance

Thomas Jackson - Corporate Finance

Andrew Monk - Corporate Broking

David Scriven - Corporate Broking

 

About Guanajuato Silver

GSilver is a precious metals producer engaged in reactivating past producing
silver and gold mines in central Mexico. The Company produces silver and gold
concentrates from the El Cubo Mine Complex, Valenciana Mines Complex, and the
San Ignacio mine; all three mines are located within the state of Guanajuato,
which has an established 480-year mining history. Additionally, the Company
produces silver, gold, lead, and zinc concentrates from the Topia mine in
northwestern Durango. With four operating mines and three processing
facilities, Guanajuato Silver is one of the fastest growing silver producers
in Mexico.

 

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