(The following statement was released by the rating agency)
TAIPEI, March 22 (Fitch) Fitch Ratings has affirmed Taiwan-based Hua Nan
Commercial Bank's (HNB) ratings - including its Long-Term Issuer Default Rating
(IDR) - at 'BBB+', and its Viability Rating (VR) at 'bbb-'. The Outlook is
Stable. A full list of rating actions is available at the end of this rating
action commentary.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
IDRS, NATIONAL RATINGS, SUPPORT RATING AND SUPPORT RATING FLOOR
The affirmation of HNB's IDRs and National Ratings is driven by its Support
Rating (SR) and Support Rating Floor (SRF), which reflect the high probability
of support from the state - given its systemic importance and close ties with
government. This is evident in the state's long-term and controlling ownership
(currently around 33%) in HNB's parent, Hua Nan Financial Holding Company, and
the bank's leading franchise with the third-largest branch network and close to
a 6% share of deposits in Taiwan.
VR
The VR affirmation reflects HNB's stable and moderate risk profile and
strengthened capitalisation and loan-loss reserves; these will help absorb
cyclically rising credit costs in a slowing economy in Taiwan and China. Fitch
expects the bank to maintain its adequate capitalisation through measured credit
growth commensurate with its business development and strategy. The FCC ratio
had increased to 10.7% by end-2015 by Fitch estimates (end-2014: 9.9%) due to
earnings retention, which is comparable with similarly rated regional peers.
Fitch expects HNB to continue to manage its offshore risk efficiently -
primarily the China exposure - in line with its modest appetite for growth.
China exposures had fallen to 82% of Fitch Core Capital by end-3Q15 (versus 107%
at end-2014) due to weakened credit demand in China. The sector average is
100%-110%. The exposures are fairly diversified, and focus on investment-grade
Chinese banks and state-owned Chinese entities that have dominant market
positions in their respective industrial sectors - and are hence less vulnerable
to cyclicality.
HNB has gradually enhanced revenue from fee-income generation and margin uplift
in offshore lending in the last few years, and these measures have now
approached the sector average. HNB's pre-tax return on assets rose to an
annualised 0.72% in 9M15 (versus 0.68% in 2014), compared with the sector
average of 0.75%. Fitch expects HNB's earnings to decline moderately like most
of peers, as its credit costs rise from a very low level in 2015.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
IDRS, NATIONAL RATINGS, SUPPORT RATING AND SUPPORT RATING FLOOR Changes in the
Taiwan government's willingness to support HNB could lead to changes in its SR,
SRF, IDRs and National Ratings. Fitch believes the state support will remain
steadfast in the near to medium term.
VR
A VR upgrade could occur if HNB sustains higher profitability and a stronger
risk buffer while asset quality remains satisfactory and the risk profile is not
significantly raised. A VR downgrade would be likely to come from any excessive
growth and/or aggressive acquisition in the region which substantially weakens
HNB's risk profile.
The rating action is as follows:
HNB:
Long-Term IDR: affirmed at 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable
Short-Term IDR: affirmed at 'F2'
National Long-Term Rating: affirmed at 'AA-(twn)'; Outlook Stable
National Short-Term Rating: affirmed at 'F1+(twn)'
Viability Rating: affirmed at 'bbb-'
Support Rating: affirmed at '2'
Support Rating Floor: affirmed at 'BBB+'
Contact:
Primary Analyst
Cherry Huang, CFA
Director
+886 2 8175 7603
Fitch Australia Pty Ltd, Taiwan Branch
Suite 1306, 13F, 205, Tun Hwa N. Rd., Taipei
Secondary Analyst
Clark Wu
Associate Director
+886 2 8175 7602
Committee Chairperson
Tim Roche
Senior Director
+612 8256 0310
Media Relations: Leslie Tan, Singapore, Tel: +65 67 96 7234, Email:
leslie.tan@fitchratings.com; Wai-Lun Wan, Hong Kong, Tel: +852 2263 9935, Email:
wailun.wan@fitchratings.com.
Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com
Applicable Criteria
Global Bank Rating Criteria (pub. 20 Mar 2015)
https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=863501
National Scale Ratings Criteria (pub. 30 Oct 2013)
https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=720082
Additional Disclosures
Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form
https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/press_releases/content/ridf_frame.cfm?pr
_id=1001294
Solicitation Status
https://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=1001294
Endorsement Policy
https://www.fitchratings.com/jsp/creditdesk/PolicyRegulation.faces?context=2&det
ail=31
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